December 7, 2012 at 4:27 am #385712
Who do you think will win?December 7, 2012 at 6:08 am #385714
My mind is telling me Kelly Clarkson, but my gut is telling me Adele. Since this is just a live recording and Adele won big last year, voters may pass on Adele. Kelly has all the nominations to win this category. I’ll just pick Kelly, but I’m still not 100% sure on it.December 7, 2012 at 7:07 am #385715
This is obviously Adele vs. Kelly. No one else has a chance. Kelly seems to have everything in her favour, but the Grammys might want to continue the lovefest for Adele. It’s a total tossup. I’ll go with Kelly.December 7, 2012 at 8:06 am #385716
Kelly vs. Adele
I’m on the fence, and I’d be happy with either.
Kelly has the stars aligned for this win, but Adele smells like a spoiler. If Kelly is to win one Grammy, it’s this one. However, you can never count Adele out of a Grammy race.December 7, 2012 at 8:19 am #385717
5. Rihanna, Where Have You Been?
Rihanna certainly looks like the least likely winner. It’s her first nod in this kind of competition and it isn’t undeserving as the song is memorable and her vocal performance isn’t bad. Plus the fact that she scores #1s so easily can make her bigger threat. Still, she looks like a longshot at best at least in this category plus she has bigger chances elsewhere.
4. Katy Perry, Wide Awake
5 consecutive nominations is quite a lot for Katy Perry who still can’t win this category. This MIGHT be the year. Just like with her pal, Rihanna, the fact that her music sells so well helps her very much. I’m not that impressed with her vocal abbilities but there isn’t a clear frontrunner this year (unlike in the previous years) so it might be the year but I wouldn’t bet on it.
3. Adele, Set Fire to the Rain (Live)
She won many Grammys last year and it’s her only nod this year. I think voters won’t feel the need to reward her that much once again. “Set Fire to the Rain” is still amazing showcase from her and vocally she is in a different league and nobody from that line-up can catch her (maybe Kelly can). It’s similar situation to the one when she was nominated for “Hometown Glory” the year after she won for “Chasing Pavements” but the voters have moved on. And I feel it will be the case again this year.
Important question is whether “Skyfall” was submitted and snubbed or not eligible.
2. Carly Rae Jepsen, Call Me Maybe
Maybe I overrate her but CRJ’s advantage is that her song was arguably one of the biggest hits of the year and certainly the biggest in this line-up. She scored corresponding SOTY nod which certainly can help. If the confused voters will want to go for cute ingenue, this will be hers.
1. Kelly Clarkson, Stronger
“Stronger” received nods in both SOTY and ROTY. I know it doesn’t make it sure. Kelly herself won over Gwen Stefani when the latter had nods in General Field. Still, in this situation with no clear lock, she can score the win as it’s probably her biggest chance out of her 4 nods and she has great history in this category (when it was Pop Female). Plus in recent years ROTY nominee always win this category. She looks like the one to beat.December 7, 2012 at 10:36 am #385718
We can immediately eliminate Carly Rae Jepsen and Rihanna. Katy Perry is a perennial nominee here and won’t sail to victory. This will be an Adele vs. Kelly Clarkson showdown. Clarkson and her song were unexpectedly nommed in ROTY and SOTY. She could very well win here. However, Adele is not to be played with. If voters still have a hard-on for Adele (which they probably do), she’ll win. Plus, Adele had a great year, biggest selling album and a #1 single. I believe she’ll win due to all those factors.
SHOULD WIN: Adele, “Set Fire To The Rain (Live)”
WILL WIN: Adele, “Set Fire To The Rain (Live)”December 7, 2012 at 3:17 pm #385719
As much love as Adele has, Kelly clearly has more support this year. She isn’t a lock, but Kelly is obviously out front. BTW, put “Stronger (What Doesn’t Kill You)’s” vocals against “Call Me Maybe” and tell me Carly could still win. Also, this category and AOTY are clearly sexist. And yes, ladies, sexism is a door that swings both ways.December 7, 2012 at 5:22 pm #385720
Kelly’s last grammy was like 2006…. Adele won like 8 in the last 3 years……. They are not giving adele another grammy.December 7, 2012 at 5:33 pm #385721
Let’s immediately dismiss Katy Perry and Rihanna. Neither got many nominations this year and, for the past 30 years, the artist who had GF nods and/or a Pop Album bid won here. The rules could change since the categories merged.
I think Carly Rae Jepsen is out, too. She was snubbed in ROTY, BNA and Pop Album. The full support clearly isn’t there. She’s obligatory “thin voiced, big hit nominee” this year.
The lovefest for Adele could spill over to this year especially with categories merged. But Adele was snubbed in her other eligible categories (ROTY, Short-Form and Long Form Video) so I think she sits this out here.
With ROTY, SOTY and Pop Album bids, it’d be a major upset if KC lost this one.December 7, 2012 at 5:33 pm #385722
Kelly Clarkson is the assumed frontrunner due to her nominations for ROTY, SOTY and Pop Album.
BUT – Most people thought Kelly Clarkson’s duet with Jason Aldean was a lock for Country Duo/Group last year but lost to The Civil Wars.December 7, 2012 at 5:35 pm #385723
@ DD – Carly Rae Jepsen’s album was released after the eligibility period.December 7, 2012 at 5:38 pm #385724
Carly’s (dreadful) album was released on Sept. 18. It was eligible.December 7, 2012 at 7:49 pm #385726
“Wide Awake” is one of Katy’s weakest singles ever, “Where Have You Been” is just bad, and “Call Me Maybe” is too bubblegum to win this. It’s a race between Adele and Kelly, and Kelly’s Record of the Year and Song of the Year noms for this seal the deal. Does Adele REALLY need a 9th (10th?) grammy? I don’t understand all the people saying this is a weak Kelly song… to me, “Stronger” and “Dark Side” from Stronger are two of her best songs ever. I’d rather listen to “Stronger” than “Since U Been Gone” any day, and it has an empowering message and her vocals are strong as ever. It’s Kelly.December 8, 2012 at 12:32 am #385727
Kelly Clarkson will and should win… The only one who might beat her is Adele, but I think Kelly will reign this year. The other three women dont have a shot and I’m shocked they got in over Jason Mraz, Norah Jones and P!nk. I mean it’s a vocal award, isn’t it? … But hey, I’m thrilled for Kelly.
Ranking all five contenders this year…
1. Kelly Clarkson
3. Katy Perry
4. Carly Rae Jepsen