Hello… I’ve published a new post about the odds that this year’s new artists have to get into all of the 4 GF categories. With a poll for you guys to vote for. Feel free to leave any comments.
I don’t think any of them will get in all four, but if I had to pick one I would prob say M&RL as the highest chance. Didn’t think Fun. would get into AOTY, as that album wasn’t particurarly praised critically, so you never know.
I don’t think any artist will get in all four General field categories.
Lorde will probably be the closest thing to it. She’ll get into three out of the four (ROTY, SOTY, BNA).
The person that has the best shot is Macklemore.
Lorde by far has the best chance. A lot of people within the industry are looking at her as this new powerhouse. She just signed a $2.5 million contract to just write music. The only category she might not get into is album of the year, but for now I am probably going to put her in my fifth slot.
I actually have a hard time seeing M&RL even getting in ROTY, let along album. If they had submitted “Can’t Hold Us” I would consider them a lock. But NARAS doesn’t really nominate novelty songs like this in ROTY. “Fuck You” and “Gold Digger” could fit there, but “Thrift Shop” is a step beyond even those two.
They will probably get swept in based on overall popularity, but I view it as far from a lock.