October 15, 2017 at 9:43 pm #1202238143
I mean… I get why Sheeran is seen as the frontrunner for all the major categories, but where does the certainty come from that he’s going to sweep, with an album that scored 62 on MTC and a song with arguably sexist lyrics? Sure he’s won a couple of Grammys before, but hardly enough to establish him as a Grammy favorite, yet.
And sure, he did very well commercially this era, but Divide is only the 5th bestselling album of the year so far, and plenty of bigger hits than Shape of You have been snubbed in the past. Hardly a smashing success that can’t possibly be ignored.October 15, 2017 at 10:07 pm #1202238152
Honey, first of all, you posters need to stop thinking Metacritic scores matter. Metacritic means nothing to voters. Mumford & Sons won Album of the Year with like a 60. Also, voters don’t dissect lyrics. They just vote for who they like. Since Ed Sheeran is well-liked, he’s an automatic name-check.
Sheeran is not sweeping the General field. I doubt he wins Album of the Year. However, he’s poised to win Record of the Year, Best Pop Solo Performance, Best Pop Vocal Album, and possibly Song of the Year.October 15, 2017 at 11:15 pm #1202238196
I doubt he sweeps. I think he’ll get RotY, Pop Solo, and Pop Album.October 15, 2017 at 11:28 pm #1202238197
How likely is the Grammys to allow back-to-back sweeps happen to two separate Brits?
Pop Album is probably a lock. Bruno Mars won’t stop Ed. Bruno has already won the category and Ed hasn’t yet. The other contenders won’t matter either.
Pop Solo could be his as well. People say “Million Reasons” will edge out “Shape of You,” but this is a relatively new category, and all years have been fairly predictable. They always go with the biggest hit/name there.
Record of the Year could be a lock, but not necessarily 100%.
Song of the Year will depend on what he submits there: “Shape of You” or “Castle on the Hill.” Both of them were his first singles. I’m still standing by the fact that “Castle on the Hill” will be submitted to Song of the Year. If “Shape of You” is submitted, it will be as a double entry with “Castle on the Hill,” and I see “Castle on the Hill” being Ed’s nominated song there. “Shape of You” will undeniably be placed in ROTY. It will be a Beyoncé/U2 situation. Count on it.
The voters have disappointed many people over the years when it comes to AOTY, but this is a year where they do not have to be obligated towards the big pop album by a pop star (see Adele and Taylor Swift). They have already rewarded two big pop albums the last two years, and Ed’s album wasn’t by far the most successful album of the year stateside (WW is another story).
There is really no reason to give Ed every single [major] award this year, especially after giving a Brit everything last year. The Grammys will definitely spread the love in 2018. I just have that gut feeling.
I predict three awards for Ed Sheeran. Four may be pushing it. Basically, what most people were predicting for Adele (3 to 4 awards with only one win in the general field – Adele’s sweep was not a forgone conclusion to every single predictor) is what will happen to Ed this season.October 16, 2017 at 2:18 am #1202238224
Yeah SoTY was awarded to a british singer three years in a row lol…
If Ed or Sam Smith win again, that would be 4 years in a row.October 16, 2017 at 5:28 am #1202238282
I don’t think he’ll sweep. His track record so far has been 2 Wins/11 Noms – which means that he is generally well-liked, but not a Grammy darling.
Predictions on likelihood of winning (most likely to least likely):
- Best Pop Vocal Album – Extremely weak category overall. The only real threat here is Bruno Mars’ 24K Magic (that’s assuming that the album is Pop). I think it’s 50/50 chance here. Divide is has a more “mainstream” sound but it was a rather bland album compared to 24K Magic.
- Record Of The Year – It really depends on who is eventually nominated. But given that “Shape Of You” is more or less a lock, I would think that he stands a decent chance of winning.
- Best Pop Solo Performance – Rather strong competition in this category. I can see Sam Smith or Bruno Mars (if nominated for “That’s What I Like”) and even possibly Lady Gaga upsetting Ed Sheeran here.
- Song Of The Year – I stick to my position that “Shape Of You” will not be nominated bcos of the plagiarism issue. And even if it does, it should not win. I don’t think Ed Sheeran will win for “Castle On The Hill” (sounds very Coldplay-ish) or “Perfect” (Thinking Out Loud 2.0) – they were not as impactful I guess.
- Album Of The Year – I think that Divide is too weak to win. I personally found Multiply a 100000x better album then Divide and I believe that if Multiply didn’t win then, Divide won’t win now. I can see the voters actually supporting a Rock/Country album instead of Divide (given that most of them are biased against urban music).
Conclusion: I predict that he will go home with 2 Grammys?October 16, 2017 at 5:59 am #1202238295
Ed only deserves to win SOTY if Castle on the Hill is nominated over Shape of You. Shape of You will win ROTY I believe, but it doesn’t deserve SOTY.
I could see them spreading the wealth for the Pop Album and Pop Solo categories, which is why part of me thinks Ed could still win AOTY. I’ll definitely be rooting for it, especially since it is filled with plenty of great songs such as Castle on the Hill, New Man, Galway Girl, Eraser, Barcelona, etc.October 16, 2017 at 8:48 am #1202238444
I think I agree with the other commentators here – I havent even heard that much hype about him sweeping the board this year, and it would be unlikely given how the awards have been distributed in the last few years. I definitely think he stands a great chance at AOTY but for the other top-hit categories its less likely.October 16, 2017 at 9:04 am #1202238448
He’s definitely getting the 5 noms, but I think he’ll only win 2-3 of them.October 16, 2017 at 2:01 pm #1202238652
He will win Pop Solo and probably ROTY. But he’s beatable in AOTY, SOTY, and Pop Album (depending on where Bruno submits).October 16, 2017 at 2:48 pm #1202238692
He’s got Pop Album and ROTY locked I think. The others will go to Gaga, & Bruno or Kendrick probably.October 16, 2017 at 2:48 pm #1202238693
I’m hoping he walks away empty handed lol he has been nominated plenty of times before and walked away empty handed. Doing well on the charts doesn’t mean you are worthy of grammys.October 16, 2017 at 2:59 pm #1202238695
He won’t sweep. Hasn’t there only been 3 sweeps in the last 20 years (Adele x2, Dixie Chicks). I don’t think his year compares to those to be honest.
I think ROTY is more or less guaranteed. SOTY could easily go to Lady Gaga if it’s nominated.
AOTY could easily to Kendrick Lamar or Foo Fighters if they are nominated.
Pop Vocal and Performance are likely but Bruno Mars or Lady Gaga could upset him.
I say he gets Record, Pop Vocal album, and performance, But this would be easier once we find out who he’s up against.October 16, 2017 at 4:35 pm #1202238740
I don’t think he sweeps, but he will win at least two.
I see SOTY is locked instead of ROTY and Pop Solo is another lock. But there is something we should consider here. He’s released Perfect as an official single on Sep 26. As the second “Thinking Out Loud,” he may go with Perfect for SOTY. It was very popular before released as a single, now it will go up on charts and maybe become #1.
I really want to see his submission list.October 16, 2017 at 5:53 pm #1202238809
Bruno is not winning against Multiplatinum 12 week #1 hit Shape of You or #1 Platinum Album Divide. Stop reaching. Divide wasn’t even “panned”, it just received decent to mixed reviews.
Plus, with Perfect hitting the top 30 this week, we can all see who has more longevity, and who the public likes more. Bruno could miss AOTY for all we know.
Ed’s winning Pop Vocal Album, Pop Solo, and maybe ROTY, if Kendrick loses.
SOTY will not go to either Castle on the Hill or Shape of You or Perfect, it will probably go to Million Reasons or Logic.
I doubt Ed will win AOTY. If it doesn’t go to Kendrick, it’ll go Lorde or the indie nominee. He’s getting his nomination, but I don’t think he’ll beat Kendrick and Lorde, both who got way, way more critical acclaim. Mixed reviews can only get you so far.
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