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Seriously, who is going to win Best Supporting Actor?

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dannyboy.
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TV12
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Marcus Snowde..
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  • Macbeth
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    #541671

    I have never been so confused and uncertain about an Oscar category in my life. This is by far the most interesting race of the year, and of all the recent Academy Award ceremonies.

    So, in order to try and gain knowledge as to who the real frontrunner is, I created a poll. Please vote for who you think will win this award

    The irony lies in the fact that no matter who wins, the internet will be ablaze with comments about how it is an upset. I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if there is a five-way tie and each of the gentlemen get their second (or in DeNiro’s case, third) Oscars…wouldn’t that be memorable?

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    TV12
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    #541673

    Seriously, there is an entire thread already devoted to answering this redundant question. If you want to know who the frontrunner is, as if people on this site actually know who the frontrunner, look at the prediction center.

    Someone lock this thread.

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    Marcus Snowden (The Artist Formerly Known as msnowden1)
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    #541674

    Arkin has no chance. I haven’t seen The Master, so I can’t  comment on PSH’s performance . So, to me, it was between the other three performances. I chose De Niro because the guy’s a legend.

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    dannyboy.
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    #541675

    I prefer both female performances in SLP than the boys, they were quite obviously not trying so hard (I’m sure at Russell’s advisement). However, because of DeNiro’s work over so many decades, Mean Streets, Taxi Driver, and Raging Bull are three pretty killer performances that actors would be lucky to have just one on their resume. Godfather part two was just ok for me, certainly not near the worst of its category but not up to his personal best. However, I would like to see him join the three timers club over Day-Lewis, was very good here, and Sally Field, who was trying soooooooooo hard.

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    Laactingnyc
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    #541676

    1. Philip Seymour Hoffman – An Amazing performance, Oscar Worthy!
    2. Tommy Lee Jones – A fantastic Performance in a film that the Academy LOVES.
    3. Christoph Waltz – He won the Golden Globe, and he is lead hence more screen time, so maybe the voters will go for him.
    4. Robert De Niro – He should win his 3rd in the future with a better performance.
    5. Alan Arkin – He might win a 2nd one day ( i don’t think so ) but not for this performance.

    Conclusion: I am rooting for Hoffman, but if Jones wins i won’t be too upset.

    Leo D should have been nominated this year.

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    dannyboy.
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    #541677

    PSH and Waltz were both co-leads.. Each picture couldn’t have existed without their characters and they were ‘supporting’ no one. In a world where nomination totals don’t factor into buzz or box office, they would both be duking it out for Best Actor.. While Day-Lewis is working off his Oscars, hey look at me I am A-cting, with a very nice performance that either he or Spielberg or the Editor deserve credit for keeping restrained.

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    eastwest
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    #541678

    First of all, the prediction center is not truth. Secondly, these threads can be moved to the polls place. And third, I agree, STOP W/THE MULTIPLE POST ON THE SAME TOPIC. People have been here for awhile and should know better at this point.

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    Daniel B.
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    #541679

    I think it’s a very close call between Jones, Waltz, Hoffman, and De Niro, and wouldn’t be surprised if any of them won. Today I think Hoffman (based on the Critics Choice win), but it changes from day to day.

    I wouldn’t even be that surprised if Arkin won, but he generally isn’t one of the four I keep going back to thinking they’ll take it.

    Once SAG and BAFTA give out their prizes, we may have a clearer idea of who is going to win.

    I think each actor has pros and cons:

    Alan Arkin
    pros: at 78, he is the oldest nominee in the group, and his nominations date back the furthest (1966); has been nominated at all the right places (Globes, SAG, BAFTA, Critics Choice); could be an easy place to award Argo
    cons: has won virtually no precursor awards for this role; still a recent winner for Little Miss Sunshine

    Robert De Niro
    pros: Oscar comeback; most beloved actor in the group (7 nominations, 2 wins); arguably the most legendary actor in the group
    cons: has done a lot of not-so-great movies in the past few decades; no Golden Globe or BAFTA nominations; no major wins at this point

    Phillip Seymour Hoffman
    pros: plenty of critics groups wins (Critics Choice, Chicago, Vancouver, Washington DC, Florida); has had the most Oscar nominations in the last 10 years of all nominated actors; plenty of screen time; has been nominated at all the right places (Globes, SAG, BAFTA, Critics Choice)
    cons: the only one not in a Best Picture winner; still quite young; hasn’t showed up at any major precursors

    Tommy Lee Jones
    pros: 
    several critics groups wins (San Francisco, Las Vegas, Dallas Fort-Worth); could be swept up in the Lincoln love; it’s been awhile since he’s won; his recent resume is pretty impressive (No Country for Old Men; In the Valley of Elah; The Three Burials…); has been nominated at all the right places (Globes, SAG, BAFTA, Critics Choice)
    cons: his last Oscar win for The Fugitive was really an overdue win for JFK, beating out Ralph Fiennes for Schindler’s List; nomajor wins for his role in Lincoln at this point

    Christoph Waltz
    pros: 
    Golden Globe win; San Diego win; like Basterds, a safe place to award Tarantino’s Django; plenty of screen time
    cons: 
    the most recent Oscar winner of the group; no SAG nomination (but he wasn’t eligible in this category)

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