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Three Locks for Sup. Actor, Who Will Take Up Those Other Two Slots?

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  • Tyler The Awesome Guy
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    #546276

    So far, I think that the only three Supporting Actors this year that are certain locks are Michael Fassbender for Twelve Years a Slave, Tom Hanks for Saving Mr. Banks and Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers’ Club. That leaves two slots. I think that it could be anyone’s guess as to who will appear in there. Who do you think is the most likely to occupy one of the two slots?

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    Beau S.
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    #546278

    Michael Fassbender will not be campaigning and is not a certain lock.
    Tom Hanks’ film could be a huge flop (unlikely) and is not a certain lock.

    If we pretend they’re locks, then I would assume right now that the other two slots go to Hill and Cooper. Abdi and Gandolfini next in line.

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    Tyler The Awesome Guy
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    #546279

    Michael Fassbender will not be campaigning and is not a certain lock.
    Tom Hanks’ film could be a huge flop (unlikely) and is not a certain lock.

    If we pretend they’re locks, then I would assume right now that the other two slots go to Hill and Cooper. Abdi and Gandolfini next in line.

    I consider Fassbender, Hanks and Leto to be “locks” because they are the three most likeliest to get nominated. I would be truly shocked if any of those three names are left off come nomination morning. 

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    ETPhoneHome
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    #546280

    I thought Bruhl had the best supporting performance so far this year, I would put him slightly above Fassbender. He really should be classified as lead, but he definitely deserves a nomination. I’m not sure about the fifth spot, but I would support a Gandolfini nomination, and it could definitely happen. I expect that the last nomination will come from American Hustle or Wolf of Wall Street.

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    TomHardys
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    #546281

    For the hundredth time: Hanks does nothing in Saving Mr.Banks. Nothing. He’s his normal charismatic self with a great final monologue but other than that, nothing. He’s certainly not a lock. I would say Leto and Fassbender are the closest to locks that we have. Jake Gyllenhaal is getting a lot of press. He was the best part about Prisoners. Raw performance. Abdi could benefit if Captain Phillips does well.

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    24Emmy
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    #546282

    Hmm, be careful — Ben Affleck and Kathryn Bigelow were considered certain locks last year.

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    travis112096
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    #546283

    @jonjon893 i think all 5 main actors from american hustle will get nominated this year

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    Riley
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    #546284

    Hmm, be careful — Ben Affleck and Kathryn Bigelow were
    considered certain locks last year.

    I still consider them certain
    locks.  Just, how did that happen?

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    CanadianFan
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    #546285

    I believe we could be in for a shocker this year as well due to the dates (something like a day between DGA noms and ballot deadines for Oscar voters, I believe).

    That’s why I’ll continue to predict J.C. Chandor for All Is Lost; the movie is a critical favorite, and it’s incredibly stylistic with only a few lines of dialogue. He’s my ‘Benh Zeitlin’ of the year, because really, who expected that?

    As for the supporting actors, I’m leaning toward Jonah Hill and Bradley Cooper. I’m betting everything on American Hustle because I think the timing is too great, they have ridiculously confident producers, and there’s no director better at getting acting noms than O Russell. I have a theory that SLP placed 2nd or 3rd last year, and this looks like a tone that the academy can get behind, rather than a screwball romantic comedy.

     

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    babypook
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    #546286

    [quote=”24Emmy”]Hmm, be careful — Ben Affleck and Kathryn Bigelow were considered certain locks last year.

    I still consider them certain locks. 

    Just, how did that happen?
    [/quote]

    A miracle?

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    KT
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    #546287

    I was upset Kathryn Bigelow wasn’t nominated.  They were wrong not to include her.  There were no gimmicks in that film, no overreliance on music to tell emotion, no shortcuts, just pure direction.

    I wrote a few times back before the Oscars happened that Silver Linings was likely the BP runner-up.  I wonder how close it came to winning?  With all that had happened last year I was kind of hoping for a surprise.  I actually picked Russell to win Best Director, which was a wide open category.

    But alas, to best supporting actor.  I don’t view Hanks as a lock, and I hope he is ignored here for more worthy candidates.  I’d rather not see him get two nominations in a strong year.  Fassbender and Leto will be in, of course.  A few weeks ago I thought Barkhad Abdi would be nominated, maybe it’ll happen if there’s enough support for Captain Phillips.  James Gandolfini has a great shot of getting in, though unfortunately for the wrong reasons.  Maybe he’ll contend for the win?  I think the American Hustle guys and Wolf of Wall Street guys stand a strong chance.  I prefer Renner over Cooper as an actor, but it’s unclear right now who will have the better role.  And there’s already talk of Jonah Hill, though he’s not my favorite.  

     

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    Halo_Insider
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    #546288

    I’ve had Cooper in my predictions for so long now. No way I’m giving him up, unless he gets completely passed over during the awards season. 

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    Riley
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    #546289

    [quote=”thedemonhog”][quote=”24Emmy”]Hmm, be careful
    — Ben Affleck and Kathryn Bigelow were considered certain locks last
    year.

    I still consider them certain locks. Just, how did that
    happen?[/quote]A miracle?[/quote]I will give you half a miracle and it
    allowed Benh Zeitlin to get in, which was richly deserved.  Correct me
    if I am wrong; I think that you never saw the other one.

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    babypook
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    #546290

    Why? Is this what SF says? Lol. I saw it on DVD, and hated it.

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    24Emmy
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    #546291

    George Clooney and Harrison Ford

    I might drop Clooney and add Barkhad Abdi in the near future. Clooney’s streak of nominations has to end at one point (2005, 2007, 2009, 2011).

    BFCA — Jared Leto
    Golden Globe — Tom Hanks
    SAG — Harrison Ford
    BAFTA — Michael Fassbender

    and the Oscar goes to . . . *suspense*

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