Similar to my other forum poll, only this time, I have picked out of the “safe bets”, as I call them, people who seem very likely to get nominations, but could potentially pull off an upset and not even get nominated.
There are a lot of these that A.) I don’t think alot of people are calling safe bets and B) probably won’t happen
August: Osage County, outside the performances of Streep, Roberts, and some honorable mentions for Martindale, has not been getting enough good reviews to be nominated for Best Picture. Many people will point to The Blind Side’s best picture nomination as proof it can still get in, but The Blind Side got in when BP had at least 10 nominations. Now, the rules have changed to it can have anywhere from 5-10 nominations, based on votes.
And I haven’t heard anyone call Jennifer Lawrence a safe bet for a nomination. It has yet to be proven whether American Hustle will or could be a hit with Oscars. I have a feeling that outside Best Picture and Best Director, it’s only other chance at a nomination will be for Amy Adams in Best Actress. But even that may not be happening, and Adams is more of a hit with the Oscars than Lawrence. Just because Lawrence won Best Actress last year doesn’t mean she is returning for Best Supporting Actress this year.
Isn’t Tom Hanks’ role in Saving Mr. Banks a near-cameo? I know he’s well-liked enough to surpass a roadblock like that, but it seems like way too competitive of a field (Fassbender, Leto and Bruhl have already been seen and raved about, Cooper said to be outstanding in Hustle) for a cameo to get in. He’s not a “safe” bet by any means.
I also wouldn’t go so far as to call Oprah a safe bet for even a nomination, the film has already been about 80% forgotten and will undoubtedly be overshadowed by films yet to come.
A:OC for sure is the true safe bet that is not actually “safe”
the movie until now only gets traction for the performances
but afterall, the help and the blind side can sneak in BP then why the hell not this movie?
I’ve seen A:OC and she’s fabulous, but with Best Actress being so strong this year and her being so generously rewarded over the years I just don’t see her racking up those 1st place votes. I think she’ll get in but I wouldn’t be at all surprised if she ended up 6th.