May 16, 2013 at 11:17 am #544593
I figure Blanchett mostly just because her win was for supporting. She seems like someone they’d want to give a lead award to before they start giving other actresses two leads.
Also I really like Jennifer Lawrence and think she’s really talented, but she needs to start playing more parts that are at least near her actual age. Just had to vent about that.May 16, 2013 at 2:16 pm #544594
It was close between Blanchett, Kidman and Winslet. Since Kate hasn’t had a nomination since The Reader that sort of works against her in a way, Kidman choses odd roles often times that aren’t widely loved…so I went with Cate. Like nkb325 said, her win was for supporting so that helps her. Plus with all of her nominations (possibly excluding Elizabeth 2) she most likely came in either 2nd or 3rd.May 16, 2013 at 3:41 pm #544595
This year I can see Julia Roberts or Cate Blanchett winning in whatever category they are in.May 16, 2013 at 5:11 pm #544596
Blanchett will likely have to settle for another nomination or two before finally getting that lead Oscar.
Winslet, as previously mentioned, needs at least one, probably two, nominations since her win before she gets another one.
Roberts will need to wow everybody. Really WOW. But she could do it.
Cotillard if and only if The Immigrant becomes a major Best Picture contender.
Lawrence will be back at the podium but probably not for a while. But who knows? Voters seem to really like her so far.
Probably not happening again (at least any time soon) for Spencer and Bullock.
Kidman is best poised. She has a baity role, a director who has directed an Oscar-winning performance before and the backing of Weinstein. Not to mention it has been over ten years since her win, she has been nominated since and is already probably making the rounds pseudo-campaigning at Cannes.May 16, 2013 at 5:37 pm #544597
My top two from this list are Cotillard and Blanchett with Lawrence having the potential to be the spoiler.
Lawrence’s best chance is in supporting where she has a good shot at a nomination, but her chance at a win is highly conditional…first and foremost Adams has to go lead. Second her performance in Serena has to be amazing because she’s going to have to have not one but two stand out performances that seemingly leave the academy no other option, otherwise it’s just to soon for another win.
Blanchett and Cotillard both have two films that will show their range and that also have the potential for great ensemble performances which will help get their films seen giving them both critical and commercial appeal.
Cotillard gets the edge because I think the academy owes her a bit after she didn’t even get a nomination for Rust and Bone last year.May 16, 2013 at 8:38 pm #544598
From this group I’ll put my chip next to Nicole. She’s been building up great work and credibiliy over the past few years with The Paper Boy , Rabbit Hole, and H&G. She has two films this year and both of them have potential.
Of course, all of these women are worthy of a second. I guess we’ll see.May 18, 2013 at 7:32 pm #544599
Octavia SpencerMay 19, 2013 at 8:36 am #544600
KNowing next to nothing about any of these films, I’ll just say I admire the talents of Lawrence, Cotillard, Blacnhett & Winslet enough to say I wouldn’t mind seeing them all have another oscar.
Not much of a fan of either Kidman or Roberts…so NO to them!!!
I am a fan of Bullock’s – in easy going fair (she should not have been even nominated for her winning performance!) So NO to her as well.
Spencer – all I want for Spencer is to get work and lots of it…she is a fine actress, not that I wanted her to win for THE HELP though.May 21, 2013 at 7:19 am #544601
I vote for Lawrence. She has the makings of being the next Meryl Streep in my opinion. But I may be wrong, time will tell.
I also think Blanchett, Cotillard and Winslet are going to win a lead actress oscar.
But my main vote goes to Lawrence.