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May 25, 2015 at 11:23 am #349474
1. Only one HBO drama has ever won this award, “The Sopranos” for its fifth season and sixth season’s second half. “Boardwalk Empire,” “True Blood,” and not even “Six Feet Under” could ever nab the network another win. It’s clear that the Emmy’s don’t want to give this award to just any hot HBO drama. They want to give it to one that’s had a huge impact on society, has been consistently exceptional for several years, and has pushed the limits for what television and premium channels can do. “Game of Thrones” is that show, becoming HBO’s most iconic staple since “The Sopranos.”
2. Unlike last year when “Game of Thrones” had to go up against the unbreakable “Breaking Bad,” not to mention “True Detective,” the competition this year is significantly weaker.
The Emmy voters might give “Mad Men” a farewell hug via a win in the Drama Writing category and an overdue Best Actor win for Jon Hamm (fingers crossed). After winning four years in a row and then losing three years in a row, however, there’s no way they’re giving it a fifth win. “The West Wing” couldn’t come back, “30 Rock” couldn’t come back on the comedy side, and “Man Men” won’t come back either, even if it is considered the greatest drama series of all time.
“Homeland” underwent a huge creative resurgence this year, but it was still kicked out of Drama Series last year for its disappointing third season. Even if Emmy voters take it back in, they’re unlikely to welcome it with open arms.
“House of Cards” seemed like the preordained frontrunner, but it’s third season wasn’t nearly as good as its first and second seasons. Between “Orange is the New Black,” “Bloodline,” and “Daredevil,” most people would argue that it’s not even the best drama on Netflix, although it is the most “prestigious.”
“Empire” is a flavor of the month soap opera. It may get nominated, but it’s not nearly influential enough to bring the Emmy’s back to the broadcast networks.
As for “Downton Abbey,” forget about it.
Everything else, from “The Affair” to “Better Call Saul,” will just be lucky to get nominated.
3. Emmy voters have repeated three different formulas since 2000 in the Best Drama category:
A) Four Wins in a Row – “Man Men” and “The West Wing”
B) One First Season Win – “Lost” and “Homeland”
C) Finally Won For the Fifth Season – “The Sopranos,” “Breaking Bad,” and “24”
That last one especially applies to “Game of Thrones,” which is in its fifth season and is still going strong. Returning to the competition, I don’t see “Man Men” breaking the all time record with a fifth Emmy, “Homeland” ever winning here again, “House of Cards” winning for this particular season, or “Empire” winning in its entire run. Statistics show that this is the year for “Game of Thrones.”
Granted, there are just as may reasons why the odds are against “Game of Thrones,” i.e. it’s a fantasy series. If it can’t win this year, though, it’s unlikely the show ever will. Let’s not let that happen!May 25, 2015 at 11:32 am #349476
Those are all very specious and misguided reasons. It may win but none of your reasons factor in quality, which this season is lacking in spades.May 25, 2015 at 11:45 am #349477
One reason why Game of Throwns WON’T win the Emmy this year: “ It has NOT had a huge impact on society THIS YEAR, it has NOT been consistently exceptional for THIS season, and has NOT pushed the limits for what television and premium channels can do THIS YEAR“.
I can give 3 reasons why Downton Abbey, Mad Men. House of Cards and even Boardwalk Empire can win the Emmy this year.May 25, 2015 at 11:50 am #349479
Second season was last year.May 25, 2015 at 2:24 pm #349481
It seems pretty wide open to me.
I could see ‘Orange is the New Black’ winning at this point. ‘House of Cards’ feels like the annointed frontrunner, but even its most ardent fans acknowledge how weak this past season was.May 25, 2015 at 5:58 pm #349482
I wonder why you didn’t mention Orange in your point, which at this point is almost starting to feel like the frontrunner to me. I had been advocating for Game of Thrones in the past, but this season has been weak as hell (as were both HoC S3 and Mad Men S7B). Orange S2 was pretty solid, and if S3 is on par or even better it could get some advantage by having “fresh buzz” just in time for voting (just like Mad Men for its first 3 years or Breaking Bad for 5A).May 25, 2015 at 11:14 pm #349483
I wonder why you didn’t mention Orange in your point, which at this point is almost starting to feel like the frontrunner to me. I had been advocating for Game of Thrones in the past, but this season has been weak as hell (as were both HoC S3 and Mad Men S7B). Orange S2 was pretty solid, and if S3 is on par or even better it could get some advantage by having “fresh buzz” just in time for voting (just like Mad Men for its first 3 years or Breaking Bad for 5A).
All. Of. This.May 26, 2015 at 6:59 am #349484
Totally agree that GoT can win this.
Orange is way too gritty and lacks snob appeal.May 26, 2015 at 7:04 am #349485
This would be a good formula for saying why Game of Thrones will win, if it weren’t for the fact that it just does not have the episodes this year to win. Both the critical and fan reception of this series so far has been pretty mixed, particularly compared to previous seasons.May 26, 2015 at 7:17 am #349486
When was the last time that a historical dramatic FANTASY series won this? Did Lost win? The first time for a Fantasy or Sci-fi, right? And Orphan Black? What’s going on with that?
I wont say anymore, but I’d love to regardless.
Fingers are crossed.May 26, 2015 at 7:17 am #349487
I think Orange is the New Black has this year in the bag. This has been a very mixed season of GOT and final seasons rarely win.May 26, 2015 at 7:21 am #349488
I think Mad Men has the edge so far, followed by House of Cards, Orange Is The New Black and then maybe Bloodline/Homeland if they get in based on the tapes they will submit.
The tapes will determine this year much more than it has the past few years I think, because there is not front runner at all.May 26, 2015 at 7:21 am #349489
Sure, except that some of us feels this is GoT’s best season yet so far, and it isnt the ‘final’ season.