69TH ANNUAL PRIMETIME EMMY – Winners Predictions

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  • eastwest
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    #1202210380

    Supporting drama actress is one that I can’t land on. Right now I have Ann Dowd since I think that The Handmaid’s Tale is going to do well with acting wins. But Millie Bobby Brown makes me pause since she’s the heart of the show and the most popular character in a drama frontrunner. Then there’s Chrissy Metz with the narrative and great performance.

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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    #1202210385

    Outstanding Comedy Series
    Veep (HBO)

    Outstanding Drama Series
    The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)

    Outstanding Limited Series
    Big Little Lies (HBO)

    Outstanding Television Movie
    Black Mirror: San Junipero (Netflix)

    Outstanding Reality-Competition Program
    RuPaul’s Drag Race (VH1)

    Outstanding Variety Talk Series
    Last Week Tonight With John Oliver (HBO)

    Outstanding Variety Sketch Series
    Saturday Night Live (NBC)

    Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series
    Donald Glover as Earn Marks, Atlanta (FX)

    Outstanding Lead Actor In A Drama Series
    Sterling K. Brown as Randall Pearson, This Is Us (NBC)

    Outstanding Lead Actor In A Limited Series Or A Movie
    Ewan McGregor as Ray Stussy / Emmit Stussy, Fargo (FX)

    Outstanding Lead Actress In A Comedy Series
    Julia Louis-Dreyfus as Selina Meyer, Veep (HBO)

    Outstanding Lead Actress In A Drama Series
    Elisabeth Moss as Offred, The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)

    Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Series Or A Movie
    Nicole Kidman as Celeste Wright, Big Little Lies (HBO)

    Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Comedy Series
    Tituss Burgess as Titus Andromedon, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt (Netflix)

    Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Drama Series
    Ron Cephas Jones as William Hill, This Is Us (NBC)

    Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Series Or A Movie
    Alexander Skarsgård as Perry Wright, Big Little Lies (HBO)

    Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Comedy Series
    Leslie Jones as Various characters, Saturday Night Live (NBC)

    Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama Series
    Thandie Newton as Maeve, Westworld (HBO)

    Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Limited Series Or A Movie
    Michelle Pfeiffer as Ruth Madoff, The Wizard of Lies (HBO)

    Outstanding Directing For A Comedy Series
    David Mandel, Veep (HBO) [“Groundbreaking”]

    Outstanding Directing For A Drama Series
    Reed Morano, The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu) [“Offred (Pilot)”]

    Outstanding Directing For A Limited Series, Movie, Or A Dramatic Special
    Ryan Murphy, FEUD: Bette and Joan (FX) [“And The Winner Is… (The Oscars Of 1963)”]

    Outstanding Directing For A Variety Series
    Don Roy King, Saturday Night Live (NBC) [“Jimmy Fallon”]

    Outstanding Writing For A Comedy Series
    Donald Glover, Atlanta (FX) [“B.A.N.”]

    Outstanding Writing For A Drama Series
    Bruce Miller, The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu) [“Offred (Pilot)”]

    Outstanding Writing For A Limited Series, Movie, Or A Dramatic Special
    David E. Kelley, Big Little Lies (HBO)

    Outstanding Writing For A Variety Series
    Last Week Tonight With John Oliver (HBO)

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    sofan
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    #1202210391

    Imagine This Is Us winning Supporting Actor and Actress as well as Lead Actor. I don’t know who’d fume the most, the people here or Mandy Moore?

    • This reply was modified 1 week, 4 days ago by  sofan.
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    pulp50
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    #1202210393

    Imagine This Is Us winning Supporting Actor and Actress as well as Lead Actor. I don’t who’d fume the most, the people here or Mandy Moore?

    I’d be much more angry than Mandy Moore, trust me.

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    Teridax
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    #1202210403

    Supporting drama actress is one that I can’t land on. Right now I have Ann Dowd since I think that The Handmaid’s Tale is going to do well with acting wins. But Millie Bobby Brown makes me pause since she’s the heart of the show and the most popular character in a drama frontrunner. Then there’s Chrissy Metz with the narrative and great performance.

    Heart of the show + Individual SAG nominee + No chance of vote-splitting because of the Winona Ryder snub + Drama Series frontrunner = WIN. Chrissy Metz was okay, but MBB had a lot more character development throughout her season, and it clearly showed in her performance as Eleven. Don’t overthink this, it’s MBB. Westworld doesn’t have the passion, Dowd will surely lose some votes to Wiley, Aduba I’ve decided is yesterday’s news and her nomination is her reward.

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    Teridax
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    #1202210404

    If Stranger Things really is going to win Series, shouldn’t MBB go along for the ride?

    That’s what I am predicting. I think MBB will actually be Stranger Things’ only other major win besides Series.

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    Riley
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    #1202210405

    All three lead actor frontrunners are sketchy, but the alternatives are sketchy themselves, so I am sticking with Ahmed/Brown/Glover. The lesson from the guest categories this year is just to go with the obvious choice, so I have finally succumbed to John Lithgow (but not Alec Baldwin). We shall see if the Emmys have changed from last year or if the guest categories just happen to be the ones that were obvious this year (as Fey/Poehler were last year) and our Martindale/Mendelsohn/Scolari upsets are still to come.

    Limited supporting actor is the toughest acting call for me. The Creative Arts have complicated two more races for me: limited writing and directing because Big Little Lies did not sweep at all like The People v. O.J. Simpson and Olive Kitteridge.

    The People v. O.J. Simpson screamed sound mixing the least of any of the nominees (Fargo, The Night Manager, Sherlock, True Detective), so the loss by Big Little Lies to The Night Of there is significant. Editing was triple Fargo versus single The Night Of versus single Big Little Lies, so it really was pick-one-or-the-other. If anything, Big Little Lies had the advantage going in because male-skewing Fargo more likely detracted from The Night Of and in the general limited series race, female-skewing Feud will more likely pull from Big Little Lies, which is also closer in terms of their camp elements, compared to the serious The Night Of.

    All of this is to say that this is a close race and one that could provide inconsistent writing and directing results, as it has already done with the casting and editing split, which we have not seen since tapes for limited series and still have not seen with drama. With its support from groups like the cinematographers, as well as its DGA win, I would think that The Night Of is positioned better for directing now, but the directors just contributed to the casting win, so I am holding with Big Little Lies. The Night Of potentially taking it also reminds me of the craft/directing sweeps that we have seen at so many Oscars lately.

    I have always had a hard time seeing Big Little Lies winning writing because the talking heads were so ridiculous, which is largely why I have gone with a Black Mirror upset. The Night Of losing WGA keeps me skeptical of it, but I am moving it ahead of Big Little Lies.

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    pulp50
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    #1202210406

    The Ryder snub is particularly interesting, at first I thought it might have meant that they didn’t love the show quite as much as I thought, but that’s clearly not the case. Brown was just the big standout I guess.

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    pulp50
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    #1202210408

    Limited supporting actor is the toughest acting call for me.

    Skarsgård. Why is it so hard for people to come around to him? I could see a Molina or Thewlis upset happening, but Skarsgård definitely seems like the obvious choice to me.

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    M
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    #1202210411

    Skarsgård. Why is it so hard for people to come around to him? I could see a Molina or Thewlis upset happening, but Skarsgård definitely seems like the obvious choice to me.

    His youth and beauty. These attributes are liabilities for voters for male nominees during award season.

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    Atypical
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    #1202210412

    Imagine This Is Us winning Supporting Actor and Actress as well as Lead Actor. I don’t know who’d fume the most, the people here or Mandy Moore?

    If Moore gets more screentime this season and is actually a damn Lead, then by all means, get that nomination next year. It’s sketchy enough for Ventimiglia as it is, so I’m crying no tears for her greediness that backfired.

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    Teridax
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    #1202210413

    Limited supporting actor is the toughest acting call for me.

    Skarsgård. Why is it so hard for people to come around to him? I could see a Molina or Thewlis upset happening, but Skarsgård definitely seems like the obvious choice to me.

    Same. Last night I briefly switched to Bill Camp, but then I realized there wasn’t the consensus I thought there was about which Night Of supporting actor was better. Dern seems like such an obvious consensus pick for BLL, on the other hand, I just don’t buy Regina King 3-peating anymore like I once thought she might.

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    Teridax
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    #1202210416

    All three lead actor frontrunners are sketchy, but the alternatives are sketchy themselves, so I am sticking with Ahmed/Brown/Glover. The lesson from the guest categories this year is just to go with the obvious choice, so I have finally succumbed to John Lithgow (but not Alec Baldwin). We shall see if the Emmys have changed from last year or if the guest categories just happen to be the ones that were obvious this year (as Fey/Poehler were last year) and our Martindale/Mendelsohn/Scolari upsets are still to come.

    Limited supporting actor is the toughest acting call for me. The Creative Arts have complicated two more races for me: limited writing and directing because Big Little Lies did not sweep at all like The People v. O.J. Simpson and Olive Kitteridge.

    The People v. O.J. Simpson screamed sound mixing the least of any of the nominees (Fargo, The Night Manager, Sherlock, True Detective), so the loss by Big Little Lies to The Night Of there is significant. Editing was triple Fargo versus single The Night Of versus single Big Little Lies, so it really was pick-one-or-the-other. If anything, Big Little Lies had the advantage going in because male-skewing Fargo more likely detracted from The Night Of and in the general limited series race, female-skewing Feud will more likely pull from Big Little Lies, which is also closer in terms of their camp elements, compared to the serious The Night Of.

    All of this is to say that this is a close race and one that could provide inconsistent writing and directing results, as it has already done with the casting and editing split, which we have not seen since tapes for limited series and still have not seen with drama. With its support from groups like the cinematographers, as well as its DGA win, I would think that The Night Of is positioned better for directing now, but the directors just contributed to the casting win, so I am holding with Big Little Lies. The Night Of potentially taking it also reminds me of the craft/directing sweeps that we have seen at so many Oscars lately.

    I have always had a hard time seeing Big Little Lies winning writing because the talking heads were so ridiculous, which is largely why I have gone with a Black Mirror upset. The Night Of losing WGA keeps me skeptical of it, but I am moving it ahead of Big Little Lies.

    The fact that James Marsh got nominated for directing just 1 episode of The Night Of shows how passionately loved it is by the directors branch. They could have instead opted for a 2nd Feud or Fargo episode, but NOPE! The best thing about the Marsh nod is that it won’t lead to vote-splitting, with DGA winner Steven Zaillian having helmed every other episode of the season. Jean-Marc Vallee may have directed all 7 episodes of Big Little Lies, but Zaillian still directed 7 of The Night Of’s 8 episodes, so really they are about even in regards to quantity produced. Last year when O.J. vote-split in Directing there were 3 nominees, not only 2 like with TNO this year, and unlike TNO with “The Beach,” there really wasn’t that clear of a frontrunnner. 🙂

    I just switched to Big Little Lies over my previous predicted winner San Junipero last night. I think looking at some other program winners like The Tony Awards and United Shades of America, I didn’t predict those because they didn’t have that many nominations compared other nominees, so I mistook that for a lack of passion overall. Black Mirror: San Junipero only has 2 nominations, and I think it is more likely to win TV Movie than Sherlock, which I think only won last year for its convoluted “The Abominable Bride” because they felt they owed it 1 after His Last Vow won basically everything except for TV Movie. Now, “The Lying Detective” has less nominations than even “The Abominable Bride” had, unlike last year’s winner it won nothing at the Creative Arts, it could not even win Sound Editing. I think Black Mirror will win TV Movie for the same reasons the Tonys and United Shades of America won their big categories in spite of not a single win anywhere else and almost no recognition anywhere else: PASSION. Last year Sherlock had the passion, this year it will be San Junipero.

    David E. Kelley will win (NOT should win) the Writing Emmy for Big Little Lies because San Junipero I don’t realistically think will sweep both of its only nominations, both Feud episodes cancel each other out, Fargo’s 3rd season’s primary criticism specifically was the messy Writing, and as much as I loved The Night Of’s finale “The Call of The Wild” I recognize that it wound up being somewhat divisive among some fans who wanted closure as to who the killer was. BLL wins Writing by default, in my book. Thoughts?

    “All three lead actor frontrunners are sketchy, but the alternatives are sketchy themselves, so I am sticking with Ahmed/Brown/Glover.” I don’t think there is any kind of consensus about SAG-snubbed Glover being the clear alternative to Tambor, I think Anthony Anderson and even 2-time SAG winner William H. Macy have every bit as much of a shot as Glover does. With no clear alternative choice to 2-time Comedy Lead Actor Emmy winner Jeffrey Tambor, I don’t see how he isn’t the frontrunner or how anyone else could upset him.

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    pulp50
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    #1202210417

    Same. Last night I briefly switched to Bill Camp, but then I realized there wasn’t the consensus I thought there was about which Night Of supporting actor was better. Dern seems like such an obvious consensus pick for BLL, on the other hand, I just don’t buy Regina King 3-peating anymore like I once thought she might.

    Yeah, even if there was a conscen about which night of actor was better, I don’t think either of them would win, their roles aren’t really being talked about much. I’m predicting King, but it’s one I’m not confident in at all. If I switch anything, it’ll probably be her to Dern, who I still think is vulnerable to vote splitting, but what I’m thinking about lead actor could apply here, which is that even with vote splitting, the night of guys are so far ahead it won’t matter. They could finish 1st and 2nd in the race, I can also see most of votes for supporting actress going to BLL. The first two wins for King were unexpected to me, so I’m trying not to underestimate her anymore.

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    PoweR
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    #1202210420

    I would love for Regina King to go 3/3 for American Crime, especially since she was never the “frontrunner” for any of her nominations.

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