69TH ANNUAL PRIMETIME EMMY – Winners Predictions

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  • Lord Freddy Blackfyre
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    #1202210423

    Outstanding Comedy Series
    Will and Should Win: Veep (HBO)

    Outstanding Drama Series
    Will Win: Stranger Things (Netflix)
    Should Win: The Crown, Stranger Things or Wesworld
    Could Win: The Crap-maid’s Tale

    Outstanding Limited Series
    Will Win: Big Little Lies (HBO)
    Should and Could Win: The Night Of

    Outstanding Television Movie
    Will Win: Sherlock: The Lying Detective
    Could Win: Black Mirror: San Junipero
    Should Win: None

    Outstanding Reality-Competition Program
    RuPaul’s Drag Race

    Outstanding Variety Talk Series
    Last Week Tonight With John Oliver (HBO)

    Outstanding Variety Sketch Series
    Saturday Night Live (NBC)

    Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series
    Will and Should Win: Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent

    Outstanding Lead Actor In A Drama Series
    Will Win: Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul (AMC)
    Could Win: Sterling K. Brown, This Is Us (NBC)/ Anthony Hopkins, Westworld

    Outstanding Lead Actor In A Limited Series Or A Movie
    Will and Should Win: Riz Ahmed as Nasir “Naz” Khan, The Night Of (HBO)

    Outstanding Lead Actress In A Comedy Series
    Will and Should Win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus as Selina Meyer, Veep (HBO)

    Outstanding Lead Actress In A Drama Series
    Will Win: Elisabeth Moss as Offred, The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
    Could Win: Claire Foy as Queen Elisabeth II, The Crown

    Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Series Or A Movie
    Will Win: Nicole Kidman as Celeste Wright, Big Little Lies (HBO)
    Should Win: Susan Sarandon as Bette Davis, Feud: Bette and Joan (FX)
    Could Win: Jessica Lange as Joan Crowford, Feud: Bette and Joan (FX)

    Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Comedy Series
    Will Win: Louie Anderson, Basket (FX)
    Should Win: Matt Walsh as Mike McLintock, Veep (HBO)
    Could Win: Alec Baldwin as Donald Trump, Saturday Night Live (NBC)

    Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Drama Series
    Will and Should Win: John Lithgow as Winston Churchill, The Crown (Netflix)
    Could Win: Jeffrey Wright, Westworld

    Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Series Or A Movie
    Will and Should Win:Alexander Skarsgård as Perry Wright, Big Little Lies (HBO)
    Could Win: Bill Camp as Homicide Det. Dennis Box, The Night Of (HBO)

    Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Comedy Series
    Kate McKinnon as Various characters, Saturday Night Live (NBC)

    Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama Series
    Will and Should Win: Thandie Newton as Maeve, Westworld (HBO)

    Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Limited Series Or A Movie
    Laura Dern as Renata Klein, Big Little Lies (HBO)

    Outstanding Directing For A Comedy Series
    David Mandel, Veep (HBO) [“Groundbreaking”]

    Outstanding Directing For A Drama Series
    Will and Should Win: Jonathan Nolan, Westworld (HBO) [“The Bicameral Mind”]
    Could Win: The Duffer Brothers, Stranger Things (Netflix) [“Chapter One: The Vanishing Of Will Byers”]

    Outstanding Directing For A Limited Series, Movie, Or A Dramatic Special
    Steven Zaillian, The Night Of (HBO) [“The Beach”]

    Outstanding Directing For A Variety Series
    Don Roy King, Saturday Night Live (NBC) [“Jimmy Fallon”]

    Outstanding Writing For A Comedy Series
    Aziz Ansari and Lena Waithe, Master of None (Netflix) [“Thanksgiving”]

    Outstanding Writing For A Drama Series
    Will Win: The Duffer Brothers, Stranger Things (Netflix) [“Chapter One: The Vanishing Of Will Byers”]
    Should Win:Peter Morgan, The Crown (Netflix) [“Assassins”]
    Could Win: Bruce Miller, The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu) [“Offred (Pilot)”]

    Outstanding Writing For A Limited Series, Movie, Or A Dramatic Special
    David E. Kelley, Big Little Lies (HBO)

    Outstanding Writing For A Variety Series
    Last Week Tonight With John Oliver (HBO)

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    Teridax
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    #1202210424

    Same. Last night I briefly switched to Bill Camp, but then I realized there wasn’t the consensus I thought there was about which Night Of supporting actor was better. Dern seems like such an obvious consensus pick for BLL, on the other hand, I just don’t buy Regina King 3-peating anymore like I once thought she might.

    Yeah, even if there was a conscen about which night of actor was better, I don’t think either of them would win, their roles aren’t really being talked about much. I’m predicting King, but it’s one I’m not confident in at all. If I switch anything, it’ll probably be her to Dern, who I still think is vulnerable to vote splitting, but what I’m thinking about lead actor could apply here, which is that even with vote splitting, the night of guys are so far ahead it won’t matter. They could finish 1st and 2nd in the race, I can also see most of votes for supporting actress going to BLL. The first two wins for King were unexpected to me, so I’m trying not to underestimate her anymore.

    Same! Keep in mind that when Regina King won for the past 2 years, American Crime (A) hadn’t been cancelled yet and (B) was also nominated for Limited Series.

    I had Regina in 4th place both times she won, I believe. I had Sarah Paulson predicted to finally win for AHS: Freak Show and Jean Smart predicted to win for Fargo. Even though I didn’t think Smart had that much range throughout the season, she still smartly (no pun intended) submitted her best episode “Fear and Trembling” where she is quietly menacing to some rival mobsters, and I thought that her episode might push her over the finish line in such a tight race between what I wrongly assumed was between just her and Olivia Colman. Never underestimate last year’s winner is the big lesson I learned from that, which is why I am predicting all 4 Comedy Acting winners w/ Comedy Series to be repeats of last years winners.

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    The Cool Guy
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    #1202210429

    Outstanding Comedy Series Veep (HBO)
    Outstanding Drama Series.                                                                                        Strangee Things(Netflix)
    Outstanding Limited Series
    Big Little Lies (HBO)
    Outstanding Television Movie Black Mirror: San Junipero (Netflix) Outstanding Reality-Competition Program RuPaul’s Drag Race (VH1) Outstanding Variety Talk Series Last Week Tonight With John Oliver (HBO)
    Outstanding Variety Sketch Series Saturday Night Live (NBC) Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series Donald Glover as Earn Marks, Atlanta (FX)
    Outstanding Lead Actor In A Drama Series Liev Schreiber as Ray Donavan-Ray Donavan(Showtime)
    Outstanding Lead Actor In A Limited Series Or A Movie Riz Ahmed as Nasir “Naz” Khan-The Night Of (HBO)
    Outstanding Lead Actress In A Comedy Series Julia Louis-Dreyfus as Selina Meyer, Veep (HBO)
    Outstanding Lead Actress In A Drama Series Elisabeth Moss as Offred, The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
    Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Series Or A Movie Nicole Kidman as Celeste Wright, Big Little Lies (HBO)
    Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Comedy Series Alec Baldwin as Donald Trump, Saturday Night Live (NBC)
    Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Drama Series John Lithgow as Winston Churchill, The Crown (Netflix)
    Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Series Or A Movie Alexander Skarsgård as Perry Wright, Big Little Lies (HBO) Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Comedy Series Kate McKinnon as Various characters, Saturday Night Live (NBC)
    Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama Series Thandie Newton as Maeve, Westworld (HBO)
    Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Limited Series Or A Movie Laura Dern as Renata Klein-Big Little Lies (HBO)
    Outstanding Directing For A Comedy Series Donald Glover, Atlanta (FX) [“B.A.N.”]
    Outstanding Directing For A Drama Series The Duffer Brothers, Stranger Things (Netflix) [“Chapter One: The Vanishing of Will Byers”]
    Outstanding Directing For A Limited Series, Movie, Or A Dramatic Special Jean-Marc Vallée, Big Little Lies [HBO]
    Outstanding Directing For A Variety Series Don Roy King, Saturday Night Live (NBC) [“Jimmy Fallon”]
    Outstanding Writing For A Comedy Series Aziz Ansari & Lena Waithe, (Netflix) [“Thanksgiving”]
    Outstanding Writing For A Drama Series The Duffer Brothers, Stranger Things (Netflix) [“Chapter One: The Vanishing of Will Byers”]
    Outstanding Writing For A Limited Series, Movie, Or A Dramatic Special David E. Kelley, Big Little Lies (HBO)
    Outstanding Writing For A Variety Series Last Week Tonight With John Oliver (HBO)

    • This reply was modified 1 week, 4 days ago by  The Cool Guy.
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    pulp50
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    #1202210433

    There’s definitely a lot of reason to doubt. For the creative arts predictions in changed 2 at the last minute and got both wrong and don’t want to be burned again, but of course there were a few that I thought of changing but didn’t and the nominee I was thinking of changing ended up winning. So, I feel like if I stick with King, Dern will win, but if I switch to Dern, King will win. I love Dern so much though, so if I had to be wrong, I guess I’d rather it be for predicting her than anything else.

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    Riley
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    #1202210437

    All three lead actor frontrunners are sketchy, but the alternatives are sketchy themselves, so I am sticking with Ahmed/Brown/Glover.

    I don’t think there is any kind of consensus about SAG-snubbed Glover being the clear alternative to Tambor, I think Anthony Anderson and even 2-time SAG winner William H. Macy have every bit as much of a shot as Glover does. With no clear alternative choice to 2-time Comedy Lead Actor Emmy winner Jeffrey Tambor, I don’t see how he isn’t the frontrunner or how anyone else could upset him.

    We can argue about the merits of the frontrunners, but the frontrunners themselves are quantifiable. Two thirds of Gold Derby are predicting Glover, which is also more than four times any single competitor.

    The fact that James Marsh got nominated for directing just 1 episode of The Night Of shows how passionately loved it is by the directors branch. They could have instead opted for a 2nd Feud or Fargo episode, but NOPE!

    The only thing that that shows me is that The Night Of is ahead of Feud and Fargo (not necessarily Big Little Lies), which we seem to all be on the same page about now anyway.

    San Junipero I don’t realistically think will sweep both of its only nominations

    It certainly could have taken two out of three (cinematography) with tapes, but it does seem to be a less plausible notion under the current system.

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    Teridax
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    #1202210442

    There’s definitely a lot of reason to doubt. For the creative arts predictions in changed 2 at the last minute and got both wrong and don’t want to be burned again, but of course there were a few that I thought of changing but didn’t and the nominee I was thinking of changing ended up winning. So, I feel like if I stick with King, Dern will win, but if I switch to Dern, King will win. I love Dern so much though, so if I had to be wrong, I guess I’d rather it be for predicting her than anything else.

    Laura Dern is not only overdue and having HER YEAR (Guest role on UKS, Twin Peaks, F Is For Family, etc.) I think there is a strong argument to be made she could even have played Shailene Woodley’s part better than Woodley hereself played it.

    I almost switched to Hank Azaria and I was even considering Gordon Ramsay, so I’m glad I stuck with my gut on the winners I had already predicted. On the other hand, a couple last-minute changes I wanted to make but didn’t have the nerve to go with were Letter To The Free for Music and Lyrics and especially Fargo for Music Composition. Does Tituss Burgess still have shot at winning Supporting Actor even after the big song he performs in his episode lost Music and Lyrics? I believe the correct answer is “Hell No.” 😉

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    Teridax
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    #1202210444

    @riley Two thirds of Goldderby don’t know what they’re doing then, because even with SAG snubbing the Ensemble of Transparent, they still found room to nominate Tambor AND Anderson AND Macy over Glover, in a year they were abnormally inclusive to first season shows. Tambor will 3-peat, because like Louie Anderson in Supporting he has the most transformative and dramatic role, and I know the actors branch are suckers for those kinds of things, especially on the Comedy side. IF episodes matter at all, it does not hurt Tambor that he submitted a bottle episode of his show where his character is the sole focus. I think Glover will win Directing, but the actors branch clearly doesn’t even know what Atlanta is, as evidenced by Bryan Tyree Henry and Zazie Beetz getting snubbed. Glover actually winning with both their snubs makes ZERO sense. Atlanta is so weak not only was it snubbed in Editing, it couldn’t even win for Best Casting over Veep, which won for a 3rd year in a row just like it will win Series a 3rd year in a row, and just like how Jeffrey Tambor will win for a 3rd year in a row.

    Also, why the heck do you have The Americans winning Writing? Me and most of Goldderby has it dead last, I believe because of its Series snub. They only ever nominate it out of “guilt” but really fear of the fanboy backlash. I could see arguments for any of the other nominees, even possibly Stranger Things if it were to really sweep. But not The Americans!

    Jean-Marc Vallee could still definitely win, I have him in 2nd for Directing. However, I am still going with Zaillian to win Directing because passion. I also have The Night Of winning Limited Series and for Riz Ahmed, and so I’m sure it will also win either Writing or Directing, and the DGA win for the latter gives confidence to predict it there.

    Under the current popular/plurality vote system, I can’t buy Black Mirror winning both Writing and TV Movie as San Junipero’s only nominations. David E. Kelley is so beloved by the TV industry, that he just makes sense to win based on his and the shows popularity alone. I have SNL also winning Writing over Last Week Tonight because passion + popularity. Last year I knew Key and Peele would win Sketch Series even after Inside Amy Schumer won Directing, because the former just had the passion on its side and the latter had already won the previous year. Same in Variety Series Writing this year. SNL didn’t pull off a clean sweep, but it still won 5, so I feel confident about it winning Writing, with Last Week Tonight and all the other Variety Talk Shows splitting the support for those kinds of shows in that category.

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    Lord Freddy Blackfyre
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    #1202210447

    For predictions I’m operating on the basis that every drama category, except Lead and Supporting actor, it’ll come down between ST, WW and Crap-maid’s Tale.

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    Teridax
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    #1202210455

    For predictions I’m operating on the basis that every drama category, except Lead and Supporting actor, it’ll come down between ST, WW and Crap-maid’s Tale.

    Aw, does the whiny baby not know how to pronounce one of the decade’s best new dramas, The Handmaid’s Tale? 😉

    I want THT to win Drama Series so badly, not only because I genuinely believe it is the best, but to watch all the Trump supporters and haters who don’t get its genius and beauty shit themselves with rage!

    null

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    pulp50
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    #1202210457

    I think there is a strong argument to be made she could even have played Shailene Woodley’s part better than Woodley hereself played it.

    She could have played everyone’s role better.

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    Teridax
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    #1202210461

    I think there is a strong argument to be made she could even have played Shailene Woodley’s part better than Woodley hereself played it.

    She could have played everyone’s role better.

    Not Reese’s, who played her role to Election-perfection! I think Nicole did such heartfelt and layered work as Celeste that I find it very hard to picture anyone else playing that part, but admittedly Dern plausibly could have done well with the same material. BLL won Casting for good reason, every actor fit their role extremely well.

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    pulp50
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    #1202210462

    Definitely think SNL will beat John Oliver for writing, it seems way too popular to lose, plus what Teridax said about Oliver splitting votes with other talk shows. We’ve already seen a few examples of them going for the orange in a group of apples.

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    Teridax
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    #1202210467

    Definitely think SNL will beat John Oliver for writing, it seems way too popular to lose, plus what Teridax said about Oliver splitting votes with other talk shows. We’ve already seen a few examples of them going for the orange in a group of apples.

    Hence why I also have an anthology episode that is only an hour long winning TV Movie. “San Junipero” stands out from all the other nominees in a very unique way that will catch the attention of voters, the same way SNL stands out in Writing as the only Sketch Series nominee. 🙂

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    Reis
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    #1202210494

    I am having a hard time in predicting some categories.

    Supporting Actor: John Lightow gave one of the strongest performances that I saw on TV but he losing in Globes make me think that maybe he is not unstoptable. So I think maybe Jeffrey Wight or Ron Cephas Jones could win.

    Drama Actor: Sterling vs Hopkins for me. For me Westworld don’t see weak like some people said. If the This is Us leads vote spiling, I think Hopkins can upset.

    Drama Supporting Actress: MBB vs Newton. MBB is the heart of Stranger Things, but she is just a child and Newton have a such strong arc and narrative, delivering a powerful and loved performance.

    Comedy Supporting Actor: I know this is not gonna happen, but I will stick with Tituss until the end (and lose some points). Something says to me that he have a good narrative and could be a great political winner, more than a Trump personation.

    Limited Supporting Actress: I will stick with King, but I don’t know, I can see Dern wining this. Shailenne give a strong and emotional performance in BLL and we know that a part of the voters watched the serie, so they know she is good. But Dern is such a legend..

    Limited Supporting Actor: I think anyone besides Tucci can win this. But I have a feeling that MKW will win. But anyone can win, so..

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    Teridax
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    #1202210500

    I am having a hard time in predicting some categories.

    Supporting Actor: John Lithgow gave one of the strongest performances that I saw on TV but he losing in Globes make me think that maybe he is not unstoppable. So I think maybe Jeffrey Wight or Ron Cephas Jones could win. Lithgow won SAG for a Supporting role, he won Critics Choice, his Globe loss should be completely discounted because he lost to a performance that isn’t even competing this Emmy year. The Emmys love to Award John Lithgow and love to Award actors who play Winston Churchill, don’t overthink this one. Wright won’t win due to the lack of passion for Westworld, and Cephas Jones won’t win because his role isn’t nearly as transformative and difficult to pull off as Lithgow’s was.

    Drama Actor: Sterling vs Hopkins for me. For me Westworld don’t seem weak like some people said. If the This is Us leads vote splitting, I think Hopkins can upset. Sterling will win, his show got a Drama Series nomination largely because of the power of his performance as Randall. He also received an Individual SAG nod and TCA nod, unlike Hopkins and Ventimiglia, so vote-splitting won’t happen because he is such a strong frontrunner.

    Drama Supporting Actress: MBB vs Newton. MBB is the heart of Stranger Things, but she is just a child and Newton have a such strong arc and narrative, delivering a powerful and loved performance. Stranger Things won’t win Drama Series and nothing else on the big Emmy night, so predict Millie Bobby Brown just to be safe. The child thing won’t hurt her, as she even was popular enough to receive an individual nomination with SAG.

    Comedy Supporting Actor: I know this is not gonna happen, but I will stick with Tituss until the end (and lose some points). Something says to me that he have a good narrative and could be a great political winner, more than a Trump personation. LOUIE ANDERSON WILL REPEAT, due to his show having added another acting nomination and him giving the most transformative performance.

    Limited Supporting Actress: I will stick with King, but I don’t know, I can see Dern winning this. Shailene give a strong and emotional performance in BLL and we know that a part of the voters watched the series, so they know she is good. But Dern is such a legend. Dern is an overdue legend who will receive her due this year. Shailene will probably just end up with the 2nd most votes behind Dern.

    Limited Supporting Actor: I think anyone besides Tucci can win this. But I have a feeling that MKW will win. But anyone can win, so… Skarsgard will win because vote-splitting will kill all the other nominees, and Thewlis will lose because some people (NOT ME) found his performance too cartoonish and silly, and because the actors branch doesn’t care for Fargo in general.

    You’re welcome, Reis. 🙂

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Teridax - Sep 21, 2017
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