July 28, 2015 at 5:03 pm #356514
Pamela Adlon / Louie / “Bobby’s House”
Pro: a) she has a support (see: nominated three consecutive years – for writing, comedy series and now for guest role); b) her interaction with Louis CK always a pleasure to watch (and I think that both men and women can find her character as very realistic, truthful and compelling person); c) among all nominees she seems as a passion pick, people can rooting for her as underdog who reminds them about their own life.
Contra: a) already an Emmy winner (for voice-over performance); b) she is amusing at times but more melancholic than comedic; c) has to overcome two contenders with overdue factor (Baranski and Cusack) which is difficult task.
Elisabeth Banks / Modern Family / “Fight or Flight”
Pro: Honestly, I don’t see any fair arguments for actress to win. She was clearly nominated because of blind voting and name checking.
Contra: a) she doesn’t have decent screentime, only appears in the beginning and the end of an episode; b) she isn’t funny in the episode, even more melodramatic character; c) inner competition – was overshadowed by Nathan Lane.
Christine Baranski / The Big Bang Theory / “The Maternal Combustion”
Pro: a) overdue for the second Emmy (20 years since the first win); b) beloved and respected veteran in the TV industry; c) she nominated for playing Dr. Beverly Hofstadter in the third time, which indicates that voters love not only actress, but also her character in the series.
Contra: a) still could win for “The Good Wife”, voters will be think about this and could reward another contender in the guest category (see: Jane Lynch was nominated for “Two and a Half Men”, but won for “Glee”; Blythe Danner was nominated for “Will and Grace”, but won for “Huff”); b) inner competition – personally I don’t think that she was overshadowed by Laurie Metcalf, but some voters may think this way; c) only one nominee in guest category won for “The Big Bang Theory” – Bob Newhart who was clearly overdue for an Emmy (Baranski already an Emmy winner), which means that voters mostly love to reward Jim Parsons, not somebody else for this sitcom.
Joan Cusack / Shameless / “Milk of the Gods”
Pro: a) she nominated fifth consecutive time in guest category which is impressive and indicates about strong support inside TV industry; b) she’s always a treat in this entertaining role, her interaction with William H. Macy and Emily Bergl works on many levels; c) in this category we have a very stiff competition which can help Cusack because voters who can’t decide which guest actress was better may vote for overdue actress (fifth consecutive nomination – I don’t believe that voters don’t know about this fact, if Cusack has this consistent support for 5 years).
Contra: a) that’s not her best submission, “Liver, I Hardly Know Her” in the last year was much better, and she lost to newcomer; b) sure, she has a consistent support for 5 years, but it’s really enough for win or only for countless nominations? c) she’s in the part of big ensemble which is distracting attention from her character and doesn’t help for win.
Tina Fey / Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt / “Kimmy Goes to Court!”
Pro: a) she is the beloved actress in the TV industry; b) she playing a court scenes which voters always love.
Contra: a) inner competition – was overshadowed by Jon Hamm; b) her chances was hurt by bad material for her character, she barely did anything funny; c) the only actress among nominees who earlier won Emmy in guest category.
Gaby Hoffmann / Girls / “Home Birth”
Pro: a) she playing a furiously and hilariously at the same time, voters love this combination of play, unpredictability of the character (see: Jean Smart, “Frasier”; Cloris Leachman, “Malcolm in the Middle”; Elaine Stritch, “30 Rock”; Melissa Leo, “Louie”); b) she’s the double nominee and if voters can’t reward her for role in the “Transparent” (which they definitely saw because of hype even before nominations), they would vote for her in both categories to play it safe, and in the guest category she has much more chances; c) voters can also reward actress for bravery, it’s rare case when actress goes for this risky decision to show herself a naked on the TV (she did what Lena Headey didn’t in the famous scene of Game of Thrones).
Contra: a) it’s controversial episode and character, the humor in this submission is very specific and not for everyone; b) some voters can don’t vote for her, thinking that she may winning as supporting actress in the “Transparent”; c) she’s totally dominates in the submission, but it’s still a piece of an ensemble (Dunham, Driver, Kirke, Moss-Bachrach) where is everyone very good players.
Frontrunners: Pamela Adlon (passion pick), Joan Cusack (overdue), Gaby Hoffman (strong submission)
Spoiler: Christine Baranski (overdue)
Outsider: Elisabeth Banks, Tina FeyJuly 28, 2015 at 6:07 pm #356516
I think I’m picking Adlon primarily because she’s the contender that really stands out, both in the content of her episode and in the range she gets to display. She gets to be excited and quiet in her conversations with conversations with Louie. Additionally, a lot of the scenes are really focused on her doing the acting while C.K. is doing the reacting, which I think helps her quite a lot. It reminds me a lot of the year Melissa Leo won, where she triumphed despite marginal concern about the black comedy in her material because of how much it stood out.
Other than that, I don’t know what to make with this category. Numbers 2-4 are pretty interchangeable for me. I could imagine any one of them pulling off a victory. Numbers 5 and 6 are right at the bottom.
Cusack has some good moments, but I mostly have her that high based on the chance that voters will want to reward her after so many nominations.
Gaby Hoffman is a big question mark, given how so few people were predicting her to get either of her nominations this year. I guess it wasn’t entirely truthful to say that Adlon is the one that stands out, because I wasn’t expecting to see Hoffman naked in that tub when I started this episode, so it gave me a quick jolt when we first got to her. I’m just not sure how voters will take it. But it is another that is *different*, so I’m willing to risk ranking her highly.
Baranski’s delivery is sharp, as per usual, and her narrative is actually a mixture of both Cusack’s and Hoffman’s, in that she’s a double nominee who clearly has earned a lot of good will with voters over time. The thing that’s keeping me at bay from ranking her higher is that it’s more of a static performance. She plays it mostly on the same level throughout the episode, and I feel like the final gag (with her opening up to Leonard) relies more on the others reacting to her than the other way around. But, then again, it’s Christine Baranski, and there’s the chance that some voters end up finding her the most *broadly* enjoyable performance of the bunch.
Tina Fey is decent, but isn’t a dominant character. It never feels like her performance rises above the material.
And Elizabeth Banks does nothing in this episode. I wouldn’t be surprised if she just got in based on the success of Pitch Perfect 2 and her previous nominations for 30 Rock.
1) Pamela Adlon, Louie
2) Joan Cusack, Shameless
3) Gaby Hoffman, Girls
4) Christine Baranski, The Big Bang Theory
5) Tina Fey, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
6) Elizabeth Banks, Modern FamilyJuly 28, 2015 at 6:31 pm #356517
This is a very weak category. At least Tyne Daly didnt get in for doing nothing. I could see Cusak, Fey, Adlon, or Hoffman winning. No one else really
Give Paul Thomas Anderson an Oscar.July 28, 2015 at 6:39 pm #356518
1. Gaby Hoffmann, Girls
2. Christine Baranski, The Big Bang Theory
3. Tina Fey, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
4. Joan Cusack, Shameless
5. Pamela Adlon, Louie
6. Elizabeth Banks, Modern Family
Hoffmann is the choice simply because she actually does something that got my attention. This category is so bland it deserves a do-over.July 28, 2015 at 7:45 pm #356519
Gaby. NEXT!July 28, 2015 at 8:58 pm #356520
I thought Gaby Hoffmann was terrible in her episode. All she does is shout and scream in pain. That’s pretty much it. If she wins, it’s more for a Transparent boost than anything
Pamela is great, sweet, and funny in her episode and I’m suprised it has taken this long to nominate her as she used to be a strong presence on the show. I could see her pulling a win but I’m not counting on it
Joan Cusack is wonderful in her episode. They obviously love her to nominate her for every season of Shameless. This could finally be her chance.
Fey is great but it isn’t her best work and she is like Mel Brooks on the men side. She is great to see on the show but you aren’t really into the character more than the person themselves. But based on name she could win
Baranski is hilarious on her episode and with Good Wife support she could very well win with this episode.
I don’t watch Modern Family but I love Elizabeth Banks and I heard great things about her character. Just from pictures alone I could see her really owning that type of character. I don’t think she’ll win thoughJuly 28, 2015 at 9:31 pm #356521
I’ve seen everyone except Christine Baranski, but I’ve watched her tape from the last time she was nominated, so I get the overall mode that she’s in on “The Big Bang Theory.” It’s a nice contrast to her superior work on “The Good Wife,” but the range shown is definitely notable and impressive. As for the rest of the nominees, I’m rooting for Pamela Adlon. She’s been a trooper on “Louie” from the beginning in multiple capacities on the show, and she’s long overdue for a guest actress nomination. I’m genuinely surprised that she was remembered, but it’s great b/c she’s excellent in her episode. Gaby Hoffman would be a close second, and I wouldn’t be surprised if she ended up winning (maybe as a consolation prize for losing supporting actress in a comedy series for “Transparent”?). She’s always been a standout as Adam’s sister, and this home birth episode is truly insane and just the kind of performance that should be nominated in the guest acting categories. Get in there, make a huge impression, and then you’re outta the joint. Beyond that, I doubt the other three nominees really have a shot at the win. I know many will say that this is Joan Cusack’s time finally, but I don’t think she’s deserved a single nomination for her nuisance/glorified supporting role on “Shameless” in comedy or drama, and even if I supported her nomination, I think she picked a subpar submission. This is probably the weakest acting I’ve ever seen from Tina Fey, so her nomination for “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt” is one of my least favorites of the year. I thought the natural casting for her would be as Kimmy’s absentee mother (made even funnier by the lack of significant age difference between Ellie Kemper and TIna Fey), but instead she’s this silly Marcia Clark character that serves no purpose or real laughs in her episode(s). This makes me even madder that none of the “SNL” ladies were bothered to be submitted this year, b/c at least ONE viable female could have made the cut this year easily (Sarah Silverman or Scarlett Johansson most likely, though Reese Witherspoon was better than expected). Elizabeth Banks was okay, but this wasn’t the madcap, drunken Sal from previous seasons. She’s fairly downbeat and unmemorable here as an overwhelmed new mother. I wonder if this nod had anything to do with her big success from “Pitch Perfect 2” right near voting. Not to completely knock this nomination, but I know that Tyne Daly would have easily received my “Modern Family” vote instead. Banks is a fine comedic actress, and when she finally lands a solo comedy vehicle all her own, I think she’s going to win numerous Emmys. I guess I won’t do rankings unless I’m able to see Baranski’s episode in time, but for now, I think that voters either pick Adlon or Hoffman based on episodes (they’ve gone dark here before with Melissa Leo), or Fey based on name recognition. Pamela Adlon FTW!July 28, 2015 at 9:50 pm #356522
1. Jenifer Lewis, Black’ish
2. Kyra Sedgwick, Brooklyn Nine-Nine
3. Susie Essman, Broad City
4. Lennon Parham, Veep
5. Rita Moreno, Jane the Virgin
6. June Squibb, Getting On
Seriously though, it’s so hard to even care about the category this year when not a single deserving contender got the nomination.
With that said, give it to Joan Cusack.July 29, 2015 at 1:07 am #356523
Joan Cusack or noone. It is so sad the most deserving person, a.k.a. Kyra Sedgwick, was not even nominated.
I would actually love to see Elizabeth Banks get an Emmy but that episode was such a non-event even I can’t justify that possible win.
Luckily Kyra Sedgwick will be back in season 3 of B99, hopefully they’ll recognize her next year.July 29, 2015 at 2:34 am #356524
This might be the worst collection of actresses in the history of this category.
Quick, someone organize a write-in campaign for June Quibb (Getting On).July 29, 2015 at 2:44 am #356525
Such a shitty category. Where is Naya Rivera? She played the shit out of this category. Whatever.
It’s so annoying that people like Elizabeth Banks are nominated. I mean she didn’t do ANYTHING. She had so much better material before….come on, is it a makeup nom?
Joan Cusack should finally win something, though.July 29, 2015 at 3:30 am #356526
Pamela Adlon is an absolute delight whenever she is on Louie, and her episode was the strongest of the season. Based on that, I am expecting her to win. If she doesn’t win, this will be the beginning of her being recognized at the Emmys, maybe even winning Guest Actress next year? I can even see her appearing in more than half the episodes next season and getting into Supporting Actress.
I love Christine Baranski, but she’s not great on The Big Bang Theory, and the less love showed for that craphole of a show, the better. She is now the only nomination in a major category for the show, so hopefully it will get completely shut out next year. Emmy voters rejecting this show is the best thing they’ve ever done.
Joan Cusack is wonderful, but I don’t see her winning with her weakest submission yet. But name-checking could apply, and she is very good still, so she wouldn’t be a bad winner
I haven’t seen Gaby Hoffman in Girls yet, but from seeing the show several times before (and despising it), I can only imagine her performance, and I really don’t want that to b e nominated
Elizabeth Banks – such a mediocre actress in Modern Family. What did she do, seriously? Terrible performance in a rapidly declining show.
Tina Fey did absolutely nothing. Like she was funny, but I didn’t get the love for her AT ALL. Like she was just *there*. I’ve seen her do much better, and she’s a name-check
The only worthy nominees here are Adlon and Cusack.July 29, 2015 at 6:27 am #356527
Hoffman, but Adlon is a spoiler.July 29, 2015 at 8:33 am #356528
Ah, boo, to everyone saying Pamela Adlon is a weak addition to this category.
I don’t watch Modern Family but I love Elizabeth Banks and I heard great things about her character. Just from pictures alone I could see her really owning that type of character. I don’t think she’ll win though
I’d normally agree, but she really doesn’t get anything to do in her episode. She’s in about two scenes, and isn’t even really the focus of them.July 30, 2015 at 3:47 am #356529
Based on what I watched the only 3 I can see winning are Hoffman, Cusack, and Adlon. I’d give the edge to Hoffman because it was the most showy and she has Transparent. Wouldn’t shock me if Cusack gets it either as she is pretty funny and a scene stealer whenever she pops up (not to mention overdue). Adlon probably had the best acted scene but was it funny enough? Perhaps it was.
Baranski was pretty stiff in her comic timing and overshadowed by Laurie Metcalf. Guess the alphabet ballot may have played a role in which woman got nominated there? Fey and Banks won’t show up to the Schwemmys and it won’t matter because they aren’t winning.