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BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTOR & ACTRESS predictions and analysis

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  • Chris Beachum
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    Oct 20th, 2010
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    #1201903432

    Predict and discuss the Emmy races for Best Drama Supporting Actor and Best Drama Supporting Actress…

     

    BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTOR
    Jonathan Banks (“Better Call Saul”) – “Bali Ha’i”
    Peter Dinklage (“Game of Thrones”) – “No One”
    Kit Harington (“Game of Thrones”) – “Battle of the Bastards”
    Michael Kelly (“House of Cards”) – “Chapter 44”
    Ben Mendelsohn (“Bloodline”) – “Episode 210” aka “Part 23”
    Jon Voight (“Ray Donovan”) – “The Kalamazoo”

    BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    Emilia Clarke (“Game of Thrones”) – “Book of the Stranger”
    Lena Headey (“Game of Thrones”) – “The Winds of Winter”
    Maggie Smith (“Downton Abbey”) – “Episode 6.06”
    Maura Tierney (“The Affair”) – “Episode 204”
    Maisie Williams (“Game of Thrones”) – “No One”
    Constance Zimmer (“UnReal”) – “Mother”

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    Andrew Carden
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    Jan 16th, 2016
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    #1201903464

    I have the veterans – Voight and Smith – but both are very much unsettled categories. If it’s all about the name rec, I imagine Dinklage and Smith will win. If it’s more tapes-based, maybe Harington and either Tierney or Zimmer.

    OSCAR FLASHBACK: Best Original Song (1989) – A Love Letter to Howard Ashman

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    Anonymous
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    #1201903474

    If it’s about the performance and not about who’s showing up and who’s not, Maggie Smith should win this EASILY. Go girl!

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    sturnc
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    Jan 11th, 2015
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    #1201903588

    Will Win: Smith and, I guess, Dinklage
    Should win: Zimmer and No One
    Could Win: Headey and Banks
    Dark Horse Spoiler: Tierney and Voight
    Seriously though, how did they whip up this steaming pile of Supporting Actor nominees? I just want one who deserves it for this season, god knows Kelly, Mendelsohn and Banks did last season. All I want is a Michael McKean in there to root for, even if he won’t win

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    GusCruz
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    Feb 26th, 2012
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    #1201903600

    If it’s about the performance and not about who’s showing up and who’s not, Maggie Smith should win this EASILY. Go girl!

    I usually disagree with your posts but I’m 100% with you on this.

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    Adam Rock
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    Feb 19th, 2014
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    #1201903636

    Right now, I’m not sure about supporting actor but Maggie Smith is winning supporting actress. Being the only Downton performer in this category, it should be pretty easy for her to take this one, with the Thrones ladies cancelling out.

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    Sagand
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    #1201903641

    I just don’t see the ‘Game of Thrones’ ladies actually cancelling each other out. People cancel each other out when it’s unclear which is the better, but to me if you are voting on acting in ‘Game of Thrones’ it’s Lena Headey. Whether fairly or unfairly Maisie Williams comes with the aura of ‘child actress’ and Emilia Clarke’s character doesn’t come with much range.

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    M
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    #1201903646

    Maggie Smith winning a 3rd Emmy for Downton Abbey is inevitable with the lineup in her category. Plus most voters won’t realize they’re contributing to history as she’ll become the first triple crown performer to have 7 awards for the big 3. (2) Oscar, (*4) Emmy, and (1) Tony.

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    jjjmoss
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    #1201903650

    Well, I could see some GoT fans voting for Clarke mostly because they are big Daenerys fans.

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    Riley
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    #1201903661

    Game of Thrones looks like an excellent case of cancelling-each-other-out for me. Maisie Williams is not a factor, but Lena Headey versus Emilia Clarke is a tough one. We obviously all feel that Headey is superior when it comes to “acting”, but then how did Clarke get nominated first?

    Clarke should have been nominated the first season, Headey should have been nominated the second and neither should have been nominated the third, so both were overdue. Maybe Clarke had been overdue longer when Game of Thrones finally got an actress nominated for the third season, but her worthiness then should have been negated by the recency of her terribleness in the second season.

    If you take the stance that Game of Thrones got an actress in for the third season not because of overdue status, but because of worthiness for that particular season, Clarke got it just because of her character. So maybe when it comes to Game of Thrones, voters care more about characters than performances. Besides, how else do you explain Williams over Sophie Turner? So is it clear to Emmy voters that Headey is the right choice over Clarke?

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    jjjmoss
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    #1201903665

    It doesn’t help that for SAG, Globes, and TCA, the choice is to recognize the existence of none of the GoT actresses. They give us some idea of how the industry, the buzz, and the critics are going.

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    Anonymous
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    #1201903666

    I just don’t see the ‘Game of Thrones’ ladies actually cancelling each other out. People cancel each other out when it’s unclear which is the better, but to me if you are voting on acting in ‘Game of Thrones’ it’s Lena Headey. Whether fairly or unfairly Maisie Williams comes with the aura of ‘child actress’ and Emilia Clarke’s character doesn’t come with much range.

    Her character maybe doesn’t show much range, but Breakfast at Tiffanys and Me Before You show how well trained she really is. Her best episode was actually when her dragons were stolen and she has to go and find them and she sees Drogo again. Her performance is so subtle and emotional it won me over.

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    Teridax
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    #1201903667

    Game of Thrones looks like an excellent case of cancelling-each-other-out for me. Maisie Williams is not a factor, but Lena Headey versus Emilia Clarke is a tough one. We obviously all feel that Headey is superior when it comes to “acting”, but then how did Clarke get nominated first?

    Clarke should have been nominated the first season, Headey should have been nominated the second and neither should have been nominated the third, so both were overdue. Maybe Clarke had been overdue longer when Game of Thrones finally got an actress nominated for the third season, but her worthiness then should have been negated by the recency of her terribleness in the second season.

    If you take the stance that Game of Thrones got an actress in for the third season not because of overdue status, but because of worthiness for that particular season, Clarke got it just because of her character. So maybe when it comes to Game of Thrones, voters care more about characters than performances. Besides, how else do you explain Williams over Sophie Turner? So is it clear to Emmy voters that Headey is the right choice over Clarke?

    I actually thought Maisie Williams gave the best performance in the category, with Emilia 2nd and Headey 3rd. Maisie also has the best episode submission in my opinion, with her show nice range, story impact, and of course the badassery we’ve all come to love about Arya. She’d get my vote in a heartbeat!

    Is there a chance they could give Maisie the Emmy as a huge upset win? I’d love to see it happen, although vote-splitting really scares me in this category. I’m still stubbornly predicting Lena Headey to win, just because she’s arguably a TV veteran due to having appeared in Terminator: The Sarah Connor Chronicles, even though it only lasted 1 season, and it was a great Cersei episode.

    “Sigh” Should I just give up on ANY of the GoT women winning an Emmy and predict Maggie Smith like any sane person would do? Then again, I was a perfectly sane person last year when I predicted Johnathan Banks to win, and look what happened. Upset! 😉

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    jjjmoss
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    #1201903668

    West Wing, they chose right off the bat to make Janney the show’s standard-bearer a la Dinklage for GoT. When Janney moved on up, Channing already had the status as their 2nd choice and won as soon as Janney was out of her way.
    The Six Feet Under S Actresses competed when they were both 2x nominees, and both lost.
    When Sopranos finally had 2 nominees in the category, another one had already won.
    Grey’s still pisses me off but Heigl lucked into having arguably the biggest movie of the year with a proper female lead.
    2 In Treatment actresses competed but one had already won the previous year.
    Panjabi beat Baranski right off the bat.
    Hendricks and Moss both never won.
    Smith beat Froggatt after having won without Froggatt competing.

    There isn’t really a great precedent this century for any of the GoT ladies winning. The closest would be if Maisie won as a late nominee a la Heigl, but she certainly didn’t lead a surprise $100 mil+ film.

    The only person who won after previously only being a multiple-time loser in the category is Channing, but it was her own co-star in her way who then got out of it…
    In the last 30 years, the closest to the same would be Madge Sinclair, but her losses were for another show and she won for a first-season show.

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    unbb24
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    #1201903678

    Drama Supporting Actress:
    I want to win – Constance Zimmer (UnREAL)
    I think will win – Lena Headey (Game of Thrones)
    Spoiler: Maura Tierney (The Affair) or Maggie Smith (Downton Abbey)

    Drama Supporting Actor:
    I want to win – Jonathan Banks (Better Call Saul)
    I think will win – Kit Harington (Game of Thrones)
    Spoiler: Jon Voight (Ray Donovan)

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