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  • Profile photo of Chris BeachumChris Beachum
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    #222534

    Be sure to visit the Predictions Center to give us your rankings in this category:

    http://www.goldderby.com/prediction-home.html

      

     

    COMEDY SERIES:


    THE BIG BANG THEORY

    “The Herb Garden Germination” & “The 21-Second Excitation”
    “The Justice League Recombination” & “The Engagement Reaction”
    “The Love Car Displacement” & “The Agreement Dissection” 

    GLEE
    “Audition” & “Silly Love Songs”
    “Original Song” & “The Substitute”
    “Duets” & “Never Been Kissed”

    MODERN FAMILY
    “Old Wagon” & “Someone to Watch Over Lily”
    “Mother’s Day” & “Caught in the Act”
    “Manny, Get Your Gun” & “The Kiss”

    THE OFFICE
    “Andy’s Play” & “China”
    “PDA” & “Threat Level Midnight”
    “Garage Sale” & “Good-Bye Michael”

    PARKS AND RECREATION
    “Flu Season” & “Ron and Tammy: Part Two
    “Fancy Party” & “Harvest Festival”
    “The Fight” & “Li’l Sebastian”
     
    30 ROCK
    “When It Rains, It Pours” & “Live Show (West Coast)”
    “Reaganing” & “Double-Edged Sword”
    “Operation Righteous Cowboy Lightning” & “TGS Hates Women”

    COMEDY DIRECTING:
    Pamela Fryman (How I Met Your Mother) – “Subway Wars”
    Steve Levitan (Modern Family) – “See You Next Fall”
    Gail Mancuso (Modern Family) – “Slow Down Your Neighbors”
    Beth McCarthy-Miller (30 Rock) – “Live Show”
    Michael Alan Spiller (Modern Family) – “Halloween”

    COMEDY WRITING:
    Louis C.K. (Louie) – “Poker/Divorce”)
    David Crane & Jeffrey Klarik (Episodes) – “Episode Seven”
    Greg Daniels (The Office) – “Good-Bye Michael”
    Matt Hubbard (30 Rock) – “Reaganing”
    Steve Levitan & Jeffrey Richman (Modern Family) – “Caught in the Act”

     

    Visit our nominee page for episodes, information, links and other info.

    http://www.goldderby.com/cms/view/88

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    Profile photo of Karl William DelossantosKarl William
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    #222536

    For Comedy Series I think it’s going to Modern Family, I don’t see anyone else winning. Their submissions aren’t that strong, but I think they’re strong enough to repeat. For directing I’m going to go with a Modern Family episode but it’s either “Halloween” or “See You Next Fall” I know a lot of people are going with the former since it won the DGA, but the latter wasn’t eligible so we don’t what would have happened. Of course “Fall” had more physical comedy, but we’ll see. As for writing, I think it’s going to be Modern Famliy too.

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    Profile photo of TrentTrent
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    #222537

    I am going to do a run-down like I did before the nominations were announced.

     

    This is one of those races where once you eliminate two, any of the rest can take it (Drama Supporting Actor 2010).

     

    The first show we can eliminate is Glee. Knowing me, I know that many of you knew this was coming. But I want even the die-hard Glee fans to look into their hearts and tell me honestly that they think Glee can win this award. Sure, they picked great episodes, and those episodes just barely justified their nomination, but they can’t win when other comedy behemoths are up for the same award and submit killer episodes (which 30 Rock is destined to do).

     

    The next one we can eliminate is either The Office or The Big Bang Theory. Right now, I’m leaning towards the former. The Office, I’ll admit, has had a total resurgence in quality and comedy, and Steve Carell probably has the most buzz of anybody this year, possibly the most buzz of anybody during the past decade. But another dark-horse with buzz is Chuck Lorre. Mr. Lorre, the “sitcom God” as I’ve heard him called, recently took a beating from Charlie Sheen and became part of yet ANOTHER sitcom that became the #1 sitcom on television (Roseanne, Two and a Half Men). Also, let’s not forget that TWO of Bang‘s guys got in Lead Comedy Actor, and this is also the show’s first nomination in this category (it is The Office‘s sixth, with a win) and you have to admit that they’ve had some gut-busting hilarious episodes this season (“The Cruciferous Vegetable Amplification” and “The Justice League Recombination” to name a few). The fact that they are a traditional sitcom, the only of that in the category, doesn’t hurt for the voters who are looking for that. So I’m going with Big Bang.

     

    Three-time champ and most likely last year’s runner up with votes is NBC’s low-rated but critically-loved 30 Rock. This show had a mixed season, with some very good episodes but also some very bad episodes. This show is famous for picking FANTASTIC series episodes so I would not be surprised to see “Live Show” and “When It Rains, It Pours” paired together on a reel. I am one of the few people who is not discounting 30 Rock‘s chances to win this, and I would not be disappointed if they did.

     

    Realistically thinking, though, this fight is between defending champ Modern Family and this years breakout show Parks and Recreation. I will openly admit to being fans of both, and I will be happy when one of them wins. Modern Family is going in with decent (but defeat-able) episodes, while Parks has not yet announced their submissions. Modern Family also has every [adult] cast member from their show nominated this year, while Parks has only Amy Poehler, although Poehler is considered one of the frontrunners to win Lead Comedy Actress, alongside Laura Linney of The Big C and Martha Plimpton of Raising Hope. However, neither of the shows that those actresses are nominated for received nominations in this category, which some claim gives both Parks AND Amy Poehler the edge, and other claim it does nothing. I personally believe it DOES give Poehler the edge, and this year Parks will gain serious credibility at the Emmys.

     

    Another factor complying with this race is critical reception. While many people think this has no impact, it does in the long run. Almost every episode of Parks and Recreation this season has been critically adored and commended. Emmy voters may pay no mind to this, but the Parks producers, who pick the episodes to submit, sure do. The most critically loved episodes will be put on the show’s reel. I personally think that any sober voter who views the pairing of “Flu Season” and “The Fight” would be anything but hesitant to vote for this show.

     

    If voters don’t watch this categories tapes, expect another Modern Family triumph. If tapes are watched, expect a Parks and Recreation upset.

     

    So, to recap:

     

    Won’t win: Glee, The Office

    Could win: The Big Bang Theory, 30 Rock

    Should win: Parks and Recreation or Modern Family

    Will win: Totally up in the air.

     

    Thoughts? Ideas?

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    Profile photo of Matt NobleMatt Noble
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    #222538

    G’Day. I think the Office’s only shot is to ride the Steve Carell wave of support. That being said all 3 tapes they choose should focus on Michael’s exit.

    Here are my SUGGESTIONS:

    TAPE A: Something with Holly (PDA or Search) and Garage Sale

    TAPE B: Threat Level Midnight and Michael’s Last Dundies

    TAPE C: Garage Sale

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    Profile photo of Chris BeachumChris Beachum
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    #222539

    Episodes confirmed for…

     

    THE BIG BANG THEORY
    “The Herb Garden Germination” & “The 21-Second Excitation”
    “The Justice League Recombination” & “The Engagement Reaction”
    “The Love Car Displacement” & “The Agreement Dissection” 

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    Profile photo of Michael JenkinsEmmyLoser
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    #222540

    The shows I really see being competitive for the win are Modern Family, 30 Rock, and Parks and Rec.  If we’re looking at submissions, for me, 30 Rock can definitely steal it from Modern Family.  MF’s episodes are good choices but overall not great, and the only really strong pair is Mother’s Day/Caught in the Act.  I’d bet Parks and Rec and 30 Rock will submit stronger episodes.  I know MF is the frontrunner and seems to be the favorite, but if it has only the third best episodes, wouldn’t that kind of knock its chances down?

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    Profile photo of Nicol Latayaniskolar
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    #222541

    I see Modern Family winning just becayse its biggest competitor is a show that received three nods.

     

    Has any show won Series award with that few amount of nominations? I mean six can be considered few already. But, three shows lack of overall support.

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    Profile photo of Chris BeachumChris Beachum
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    #222542

    Six episodes confirmed as follows…

    THE OFFICE
    “Andy’s Play” & “China”
    “PDA” & “Threat Level Midnight”
    “Garage Sale” & “Good-Bye Michael”

     

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    Profile photo of Chris BeachumChris Beachum
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    #222543

    Six episodes confirmed as follows…

    PARKS AND RECREATION
    “Flu Season” & “Ron and Tammy: Part Two
    “Fancy Party” & “Harvest Festival”
    “The Fight” & “Li’l Sebastian”
     

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    Profile photo of Chris BeachumChris Beachum
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    #222544

    Six episodes confirmed as follows…

    30 ROCK
    “When It Rains, It Pours” & “Live Show (West Coast)”
    “Reaganing” & “Double-Edged Sword”
    “Operation Righteous Cowboy Lightning” & “TGS Hates Women”

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    Profile photo of Ryan FernandRyan_Fernand
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    #222545

    Comedy Series

    Will Win: Modern Family

    Spoiler: Parks & Recreation

    Should Win: The Office

     

    Modern Family is he obvious frontrunner here (17 nominations and 6 good tapes).  Parks and Recreation did have a better season, has better tapes and is the only show that can beat Modern Family, but it only recieved 3 nominations.  I can see Parks and Recreation winning next year but it is highly unlikely this year.  If it were up to me, though, The Office would win as its tapes really show The office at it’s best.

     

    Comedy Directing

    Will Win: 30 Rock (“Live Show”)

    Spoiler: Modern Family (“Halloween”)

    Should Win: 30 Rock (“Live Show”)

     

    30 Rock stepped up their game this season by doing a live episode (which turned out to be one of their best episodes of the season).  They should be rewarded for this risk in this category.  Emmys do love live episodes.  However, Modern Family could just as easily pull off a win here.  Modern Family still has not one this category and Emmys may feel the need to correct that (or it could just become another Mad Men type situation for Modern Family). 

     

    Comedy Writing

    Will Win: Modern Family (“Caught In the Act”)

    Spoiler: Louie (“Poker/Divorce”)

    Should Win: The Office (“Good-Bye Michael”)

     

    It seems like Modern Family will dominate this category for years to come like Mad Men is doing with the Drama Writing category.  More in the show’s favor is that it is only nominated once so there will be no split voting.  Modern Family should win this category easily.  If there is an upset, however, it will be by the critical favorite, Louis C.K., for his work on Louie. 

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    Profile photo of TrentTrent
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    #222546

    Ryan, you have inspired me to do something similar to you:

     

    Outstanding Comedy Series

    Will Win: Modern Family

    Spoiler: Parks and Recreation

    Should Win: Parks and Recreation

    Modern Family is the defending champ and since it’s highly unlikely that voters actually watch tapes in the series categories, it will probably be marked down just because. However, if they do watch tapes, Parks will take this. They had the stronger season.

     

    Comedy Directing

    Will Win: 30 Rock “Live Show” Beth McCarthy-Miller

    Spoiler: Modern Family “Halloween” Michael Alan Spiller

    Should Win: How I Met Your Mother “Subway Wars” Pamela Fryman

    Just for being risky and live (plus McCarthy-Miller’s overdue status), 30 Rock will take this. Modern Family won the DGA, but as Robert Carlock showed us in the writing categories, Union awards aren’t exactly fantastic Emmy predictors. Pamela Fryman is extremely respected and renowned but How I Met Your Mother is never going to win a major Emmy.

     

    Comedy Writing

    Will Win: Louie “Poker/Divorce” Louis C.K.

    Spoiler: Modern Family “Caught in the Act” Steven Levitan and Jeffrey Richman

    Should Win: Louie “Poker/Divorce” Louis C.K.

    Any voter who reads Louis C.K.’s script will love it and vote for him, but any voter who watches Modern Family’s episode will love it and vote for them. It all depends on whether voters read the script or watch the episode. 

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    Profile photo of Christian PriceChristian Price
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    #222547

    Okay, I’m going to give a list of potential winners from 1-6 and give the pros and cons of each nominee:

    1.) Modern Family

    2.) The Office

    3.) Parks and Recreation

    4.) 30 Rock

    5.) The Big Bang Theory

    6.) Glee

    1st Choice: Modern Family

    Pros: It won last year, and we all know how Emmy voters love repeat winners. It also leads in all nominations, which means that voters will see Modern Family in a lot of categories besides Series. It also helps that they have multiple noms in some categories. (Supporting Actor, anyone?)

    Cons: Their episode submissions were less than fantastic. For example, submitting “Someone to Watch Over Lily” over a great episode like “Unlpugged” might have been a mistake. Mistakes in episode selection could make it easier for one of the NBC sitcoms to catch up to it.

    2nd Choice: The Office

    Pros: The show has massive buzz riding it. Obviously, Steve Carell leaving was one of those things, and Emmy voters might feel that it could be their last time to reward this show at its best. Also, many critics have said that this past season has been the show’s best and most consistent in quality in a very long time. Emmy voters do pay attention to that. Finally, the show submitted very well, probably better than “Modern Family” did. They have four of the most hilarious episodes of the year along with the two emotional episodes at the end.

    Cons: The show only has four nominations, which is far less than the massive 17 noms of “Modern Family.” This means voters won’t see as much of “The Office” as “Family” in other categories, which can influence their final decision.

    3rd Choice: Parks and Recreation

    Pros: This is a show that has obviously hit the jackpot as far as quality and consistency are concerned. “Parks” had, arguably, the highest quality season of all the nominees here. From a personal point of view, with the exception of possibly two or three episodes, the entire season was basically perfect, and their episode selection reflected that. All six episodes submitted are showy, flashy, and utterly hilarious. In fact, besides having the best season, they probably have the best submissions out of all six nominees.

    Cons: Once again, lack of nominations hurts the ranking. The show only racked up three noms in all, and none of those nominations are for writing or directing, which are almost essential in winning best series. Even “The Office”, with just four noms, has a writing nomination. Also, the show is still struggling a little bit in ratings. Yes, I understand that “30 Rock” was never big in viewership either, but “30 Rock” always earned 10+ Emmy noms in every year of its run to make up for that (and always in writing and direction). With excellent quality, “Parks” can win, but it will be a hard fight.

    4th Choice: 30 Rock

    Pros: C’mon people, this show is an obvious Emmy magnet. It won three Best Series Emmys straight, and is still on voters’ radar. Also, this show is probably the only one that can compete with “Modern Family in total nominations, with 13 in total. If Emmy voters wanted to give the award to another show, they might want to go with an old favorite, and this show is CLEARLY a favorite. It also helps that this season was a big increase in quality from last year.

    Cons: The episode submissions are pretty good, but they might have bungled up an episode where they could have given a better one. For example, why “Queen of Jordan” isn’t there is beyond me. Also, the “Tracy Jordan Fiasco” might have a negative effect, as going on a tirade like that is a BIG no-no in Hollywood, and I guarantee you, his actions are not going to be forgotten by voters.

    5th Choice: The Big Bang Theory

    Pros: This is the top-rated show on television. That means that more voters are probably familiar with the show than with other low-rated comedies on TV. It also has the distinction of being the only traditional studio sitcom as a nominee, which might help it stand out. Another big plus is that there is a lot of sympathy for Chuck Lorre in the industry right now due to the Charlie Sheen fiasco.

    Cons: The show probably submitted the six best episodes of the season, but the problem is that that might not be enough. Those episodes were good, but they weren’t great, and that kind of sums of the rest of the season, too. This season was pretty good, but it was nowhere near the quality of last year, a year where it SHOULD HAVE gotten nominated with no problem, but we can thank “Nurse Jackie” for that. The show was probably nominated this year because Emmy voters realized that it would be stupid to leave it out again, and with good reason. It is still one of the best shows on TV by far, but it wasn’t nominated in a year where it might have had a chance to win. Plus, having no writing/directing nods doesn’t help their cause either.

    6th Choice: Glee

    Pros: This is a show that still excels in the ratings and still has a huge pop culture following. Plus, the Emmys are being hosted on their network (FOX) and have their Emmy-winning star as a host. You would think that I would have this show higher than last. Well, I was thinking of switching places between this show and “Big Bang”, but a recent development has caused me to keep this show at last, and that was…..

    Cons: ….the critical and commercial failure of the new “Glee” movie. Emmy voters are going to take note of that and might see it as a sign that the “Glee Phenomenon” might be beginning to fade out, which could tempt voters to stay away from it. Also, the show has taken a pounding from critics this season and picked some very dramatic episodes to submit, which might not have been wise. Emmy voters usually don’t give the series award to more dramatic comedy. “Sex and the City” might be one of the few exceptions I can think of in recent memory, but there wasn’t any singing or dancing in that show, which might be a turn-off to voters, and also could be the main reason why the show didn’t win for its first season, which was obviously better than this one. Also, the fact that Ryan Murphy has been picking fights with Hollywood insiders and some notable rock bands might turn voters away from him. Finally, there is the already explained burden of not having any writing or direction nominations, which is a burden “Glee” carries and only makes things harder for this show to win.

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    Profile photo of JJ
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    #222548

    Here are my thougths on the races for Comedy Series, Directing, and Writing! Hope I’m right. Directing is making me nervous. Go to awardsfreak.com to see my predictions. 

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