July 18, 2015 at 9:02 am #354180
Olive Kitteridge could very well be the best miniseries since Angels in America over a decade ago, and it certainly looks poised to grab some major Emmy wins in September. Best Miniseries is a foregone conclusion, and if it doesn’t win that, I will be very surprised.
The acting wins fascinate me, as this miniseries could either win all four, or win none of the acting categories, and both situations are very much possible
Best Actor in a Limited Series
Come on, this has to go to Richard Jenkins – he was the heart and soul of the miniseries, and while I do believe that people think David Oyelowo can win this, they have to keep in mind that only one man has ever won an Emmy for a one-man show, and that was Robert Morse for Tru two decades ago. I would say that Jenkins’ only threat is Mark Rylance, but this is Jenkins’ Emmy
Outstanding Actress in a Limited Series
I think Frances McDormand is very much in the running for this. However, as excellent as she was, she has been better in the past, and she was quite unlikable in Olive Kitteridge. It doesn’t help that she is in a crowded category with other ladies, such as the very likable Queen Latifah and the heroic Maggie Gyllenhaal, and of course the adorable Felicity Huffman. All four of these ladies could make a very serious play for the win here. The only ones who can’t are Emma Thompson (love her, but she just didn’t have a strong enough show to win) and Jessica Lange, who was gloriously overrated this season. McDormand could be in serious trouble, because Latifah, Gyllenhaal or Huffman could easily win as well
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited Series
This one seems to be going to Bill Murray, and that’s alright – he didn’t do much, but he was fine and I love him. However, the true winner here has to be Finn Wittrock for his brilliant performance in AHS. Murray wouldn’t be a bad winner, but Wittrock could truly be the best winner in years.
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited Series
The ONE category that Olive Kitteridge is not predicted to win is the one I think we can predict a shock in. Zoe Kazan was very subtle, but also very good in the miniseries, and while Sarah Paulson and Kathy Bates were absolutely brilliant as well, if there is a surge of Kitteridge love, then it might seep down to Kazan, who could win in a huge upset.
So in conclusion, I’d like to open the floor to all of you – we could be sitting with the next Angels in America here.July 18, 2015 at 9:36 am #354182
I would love if it was, except for Bill Murray. I think it actually could happen. Richard Jenkins is a lot more respected in Hollywood (at least in older Hollywood) than David Oyelowo, so he has a great shot. Frances McDormand probably has it in the bag, or at least she should. Bill Murray did barely anything, but there’s no frontrunner and he could very easily just get a default win (see Ken Howard in Grey Gardens). And Zoe Kazan’s best moments are from the first two installments, which certainly helped Kathy Bates last year.
So in short, it has a better shot than people think of completely sweeping. Hell, it could even get Directing and Writing on top of that.July 18, 2015 at 9:57 am #354183
Olive Kitteridge mostly faces a competition from Wolf Hall. I think that miniseries, lead actress and writing have a very good shot at winning. Then goes toss-up between Jenkins and Rylance, Murray and Lewis, Cholodenko and Kosminsky.
What if votes splits between Bates, Mo’Nique, Paulson, then prevails huge support for OK and Kazan win? That’s might happen. Or not. So many questions.
Miniseries category much more interesting than in previous years. And if remembering what happen last year (Sherlock’s unexpected wins, Lange & Bates) predict who win now almost impossible. Any nominee can shock us in any category.July 18, 2015 at 11:47 am #354184
No, I don’t see it completely sweeping, and certainly not taking all four acting categories, writing, directing, and limited series. Voters clearly loved the series (Zoe Kazan squeaking by is proof of that). Sad that they didn’t see fit to rememeber Cory Michael Smith, but still. It’ll hopefully take a good haul of its nominations.July 18, 2015 at 11:49 am #354185
I can see Wolf Hall taking several trophies, even Outstanding Limited Series if there’s passionate support.July 18, 2015 at 12:12 pm #354186
Yeah I don’t see a sweep. I think Miniseries it will have no problem winning. Jenkins is the one I would have the most confidence with. Oyelowo is really his only competition. McDormand isn’t a slam dunk but is very likely to win. I think Gyllenhaal might give a run for her money though. Supporting Actor…. next, that’s Wittrock vs Lewis. Supporting Actress, Zoe Kazan could pull a sneaker but I think Paulson is too big to beat. I think they’ll win directing for Lisa Cholodenko and possibly writing (I think American Crime is a dark horse in that category). It could very well be a Normal Heart year where it just wins the big one and none of the other big cateogriesJuly 18, 2015 at 12:13 pm #354187
I don’t really remember Zoe Kazan being in it. If voters think like me…than I don’t expect a win. Weird. I have no recollection of who she even played.
I don’t really get the Bill Murray love. I think the suicidal kid should have got that nod.
(and Finn Wittrock gets my vote to win)July 18, 2015 at 7:13 pm #354188
OMG – what a sacrilege that would be – Angels in America was a masterpiece…..Olive Kitteridge was like, as Dorothy Zbornak would say, ” I would rather be bound and gagged, and left on a anthill covered with honey”July 18, 2015 at 8:41 pm #354189
I don’t think “Olive Kitteridge” will sweep.
I think it’s pretty safe for Best Miniseries, though the British are always capable of upsets, so watch out for “Wolf Hall.”
I’m predicting David Oyelowo for Actor. It’s a big, bold, high-wire performance that I think industry actors will respond to. Richard Jenkins could also win of course; he’s a respected industry vet, but the performance is very subtle. Mark Rylance could also win. That’s a tough one.
I’m currently predicting Bill Murray for supporting actor. The Critics’ Choice win took me by surprise because I thought they of all people would pick the underdog with the performance (Wittrock) over the superstar with only about 15 minutes in the tail end of the miniseries. Murray could still lose the Emmy, possibly to Damian Lewis. I don’t think they’ll go for the young guy with the campy performance, especially if they wouldn’t even give Matt Bomer an award last year for something that should have been catnip to voters.
I don’t think Zoe Kazan has much of a chance at all. I’m currently predicting Mo’Nique, but if not her, they’ll give it to Sarah Paulson or Kathy Bates again before they get to Kazan. The nomination is the reward for her, and evidence of just how much the actors branch LOVED “Olive Kitteridge.”
I’ve got “Olive” winning both writing and directing, but I think “Wolf Hall” and “Bessie” are credible threats in both races, and don’t count out Oscar-winner John Ridley for writing “American Crime.”July 18, 2015 at 8:43 pm #354190
The fact American Crime scored the most nominations on all of broadcast TV could/should be alarming in these categories as well. Especially considering Regina King and Richard Cabral breaking through in the supporting categories (which means they were probably watching the show, and liked it, and not just checkmarking Hutton and Huffman based on their names). I wouldnt count it completely out in favor of Kitteridge.July 18, 2015 at 9:47 pm #354191
I went into the Emmys last year thinking The Normal Heart would sweep everything. It won the big one (TV-Movie, plus Make-up), but lost Writing, Directing, Lead Actor, and Supporting Actor (a category where it had 4 performances, which all lost to Martin Freeman for Sherlock: His Last Vow). So as much as I would like to think Olive Kitteridge could/will sweep, I’m being cautious.
I feel fairly confident it will win Lead Actress for Frances McDormand. This will make for such a deserving win. As I’ve said many times, this category contains career-best performances from Queen Latifah and Maggie Gyllenhaal, both blowing their Oscar nominated roles out of the water (Chicago and Crazy Heart, respectively).
I also think Bill Murray will win Supporting Actor. I don’t want him to, as he did nothing awards worthy. But this category just loves loves loves to honor the veteran film actors. What’s sad is that the film’s truly great performance by an actor in a supporting role, Cory Michael Smith, did not get the nomination. It reminds me of Ellen Burstyn winning for Political Animals a couple of years ago when it was actually Carla Gugino that was the Supporting MVP.
Speaking of Burstyn, is anyone not rooting for Sarah Paulson to win on her fourth consecutive nomination? I am equally rooting for both her and Mo’Nique. They’re both great performances, and each come with a little bit of outside sympathy. Paulson’s is that she was robbed two years ago (yes, robbed) when she lost for AHS: Asylum. She’s always great, even when the writing isn’t. Mo’Nique’s sympathy comes from the “You’ve been blackballed” comment by Lee Daniels. So I am truly 50/50 happy with either of these performances. Buuut Zoe Kazan did a great job in Olive Kitteridge and would make a deserving win. I like Paulson and Mo’Nique’s performances more, but Kazan’s was good too. I have her ranked third.
I have not watched Wolf Hall or Nightingale yet, so I don’t know where Richard Jenkins ranks with David Oyelowo and Mark Rylance. No one really seems to be talking about Timothy Hutton, Adrien Brody, or Ricky Gervais.
This is beautifully directed by Lisa Cholodenko, which makes her two-for-two now in directing grade-A projects (her last being The Kids Are All Right).
Used to, I expected HBO to dominate. After last year’s bloodbath of The Normal Heart, I likely won’t ever call anything “The Next ‘Angels in America.'”July 19, 2015 at 6:37 am #354192
I think most people have explained it well enough. Personally, I’m wondering if Olive Kitteridge isn’t the next Angels in America as much as the next Game Change. I’m thinking it wins the top prize, Actress, and maybe Writing or Directing, and is then predicted to get Supporting Actor only to lose in a slight surprise, is a contender for Actor, and has a Supporting Actress nominee that doesn’t quite have a chance but is nice to see.
I’m so happy that Kazan made it through. She was so heartfelt throughout those first few episodes. I might have cried the most watching her onscreen.July 19, 2015 at 7:57 am #354193
I think from the major categories it will only win Mini Series and Lead Actress, so no I don’t think it will become the next Angels in AmericaJuly 19, 2015 at 11:01 am #354194
Frances McDormand’s Golden Globe attitude wishes!!
If anything what with Wolf Hall and American Crime, as well as more likeable and dynamic performances by Gyllenhal and Latifah, the show could go home relatively empty handed!
I have it predicted for Lisa Cholodenko, Bill Murray, and for now, Series.
If they were really watching, Bill Murray wouldn’t be there, but John Gallegher Jr or Cory Micheal Smith would be, or at least be there in addition to Murray.