July 11, 2016 at 2:01 pm #1201862036
Looking over the supporting actress TV mini category one word comes to mind. WEAK. WEAK. WEAK.
Regina King just won last year and was not as strong in season 2 of American Crime. Melissa Leo was nothing special. Paulson and Bates for the worst season of American Horror Story? No thanks. The Roots ladies have no chance because of one word…LIFETIME.
I guess Jean Smart has some strength but even than she was not the standout for me from that season.
I guess King and Smart are the front runners?
I’m always amazed even in the information tech age that actors/studios/agents can screw up their best shot at a career high but that seems to be just what happened to Lili Taylor here. She has no shot to win in Lead. Heck she may even miss out on a nomination. Her show already had an established leading lady in Felicity Huffman. But she would have made a natural winner in supporting. She is a vet overdue for recognition in a much lauded role in a weak field.
Seems she absolutely cost herself the Emmy by this move. Sad!July 11, 2016 at 2:21 pm #1201862045
Cristin Milioti should get that nom over Smart and won over everyone!July 11, 2016 at 2:21 pm #1201862046
She would be a lock for a nom if she was in supporting and is a likely nominee in American Crime in lead IMO. But I dont think she was gonna win anyway
Give Paul Thomas Anderson an Oscar.July 11, 2016 at 2:23 pm #1201862049
Hope they go for Bates. The first actress to reach 7 nominations in this category! Earning 2 Emmys for American Horror Story like Lange would solidify her.July 11, 2016 at 2:32 pm #1201862053
She would have deserved to win in supporting over Smart imo. A slightly more layered and deep performance (although totally different character and thus different styles). She still should be nominated in lead though.
I don’t buy the ‘Regina King was weak in American Crime’ view though- I thought she was outstanding in the first half of the season before the two young male leads started to dominate the narrative.July 11, 2016 at 3:18 pm #1201862071
First of all, Roots is on History, not Lifetime.
I disagree that Taylor cost herself an Emmy. With the elimination of the panels, closer to a nomination now means closer to a win and I think that we can all agree that Regina King would have been closer to a nomination, given that she won last year.
All that Taylor would have done by going supporting was hurt King’s chances. As of this year, voters are no longer ranking the nominees, so if she had been nominated alongside, she would have just split the American Crime vote and cleared the way for Jean Smart or Melissa Leo.
I am also disagree that Taylor might have cost herself a nomination. There is a lot more space in lead than supporting. Lead has Paulson/Washington/Dunst/Huffman pretty locked up and there are two open slots beyond that. Even if you think that Audra McDonald is safe, that last slot is still wide open. Supporting has King/Leo/Smart, plus Bates/Paulson/Bassett have all been nominated several times for American Horror Story.
If anyone is sixth, it is probably Angela Bassett and I would not predict Lili Taylor over her. As much as Taylor is a “vet” and supposedly heralded for her Broadway career, she has never been nominated for a Tony, her only Emmy nominations have been in guest and she has not been attached to any prestigious film or television projects in a decade. Bassett is an Oscar nominee with Emmy inertia on a show that the Emmys love for whatever reason. I also think that American Crime is in big trouble at the Emmys this year.July 11, 2016 at 3:40 pm #1201862079
First of all, Roots is on History, not Lifetime.
I also think that American Crime is in big trouble at the Emmys this year.
In terms of being nominated across the board or for Limited Series? I don’t see how it won’t get at least 3 acting noms and a series nom of the big awards.July 11, 2016 at 3:45 pm #1201862080
I don’t think that “American Crime” is in danger at all. TCA means absolutely nothing in my book. Their choices are too unique for the Emmys, and sometimes are completely stupid (this year).
About Taylor. She would be a worthy winner, no matter which category. Both her and Huffman should make the cut – incredible, incredibly turns.July 11, 2016 at 3:50 pm #1201862084
Voters need to only watch the first episode and she’s in.July 11, 2016 at 3:59 pm #1201862086
“If” the sixth slot is up for grabs in lead actress, then Taylor is as in it as any sixth contender can be in a competitive field. Supporting actress would have certainly been the easier placement for the nomination and possible upset win.July 11, 2016 at 4:10 pm #1201862087
First of all, we got some foreshadowing from the guilds, when it only picked up two nominations (PGA and CAS). Say what you will about SAG or whatever, but no CSA casting nomination? Come on. Even True Detective got six guild nominations (including PGA and CAS). But that TCA snub really opened my eyes, particularly because they nominated that steaming pile of crap that is The Night Manager. There is a show that I would expect to do better at the Emmys than with the critics, whom I expect to know better.
I think that American Crime just got lucky by debuting in a year that Fargo, American Crime Story, Sherlock and Luther happened to take off and HBO had their weakest movie contender in ages. Take for example how Timothy Hutton is not even being considered for a nomination, even though he was nominated last year and the rule is normally that a nomination last year means a nomination this year. I am predicting American Crime‘s nomination total to be cut in half, from ten to five.July 11, 2016 at 4:21 pm #1201862089
No. Taylor did not cost herself a nom. She’s in if you ask me, and anyone who thinks “American Crime” is in trouble is sorely mistaken. It’s getting a ton of well deserved nominations again this year.
It’s a lock for these noms:
Actress: Felicity Huffman
Supporting Actress: Regina King
It has a great shot at these noms:
Actress: Lili Taylor
Supporting Actor: Connor Jessup
These are their contenders that it will have to fight harder for a nom…
Actor: Timothy Hutton
Sup. Actor: Joey Pollari
Casting (just too much new competition this year)July 11, 2016 at 4:27 pm #1201862091
No, since Jean Smart, who is beloved at the Emmys, is a near-shoo-in to triumph.
OSCAR FLASHBACK: Best Original Song (1974) – Another Maureen McGovern DisasterJuly 11, 2016 at 4:32 pm #1201862092
Choreography! Forgot about that one because of no ballot. Okay, I have it down for six nominations then.
I see that you are predicting four to ten nominations for it, but how many are you predicting exactly? Because I am predicting in that range (six) and consider it in trouble. You can see here exactly what I am predicting it for and what I am predicting in its place elsewhere.
How does it have a “great shot” at directing and music when it was not nominated last year and the competition is heavier this year? I do not see it coming back to editing on account of the options this year. Sherlock is back after winning last time, Fargo is back after getting three nominations last time (and it has submitted four episodes), plus I would think that All the Way and American Crime Story (three episodes) would be nominated before American Crime. American Crime also submitted three episodes, so is it even as likely as The Night Manager, which submitted one?