July 15, 2011 at 7:21 pm #222628
Be sure to visit the Predictions Center to give us your rankings in this category:
DRAMA LEAD ACTOR:
Steve Buscemi (Boardwalk Empire) – “Return to Normalcy”
Kyle Chandler (Friday Night Lights) – “Always”
Jon Hamm (Mad Men) – “The Suitcase”
Michael C. Hall (Dexter) – “Teenage Wasteland”
Hugh Laurie (House) – “After Hours”
Timothy Olyphant (Justified) – “Reckoning”
DRAMA LEAD ACTRESS:
Kathy Bates (Harry’s Law) – “Innocent Man”
Connie Britton (Friday Night Lights) – “Always”
Mireille Enos (The Killing) – “Missing”
Mariska Hargitay (Law & Order: SVU) – “Rescue”
Julianna Margulies (The Good Wife) – “In Sickness”
Elisabeth Moss (Mad Men) – “The Suitcase”
Visit our nominee page for episodes, information, links and other info.July 15, 2011 at 9:52 pm #222630
I honestly think jon hamm will win because “the suitcase” was a great episode but i really want timothy olyphant to win season 2 of justified was perfection except a couple episodes…..July 16, 2011 at 5:33 am #222631
It’s going to be Jon Hamm. Mad Men had a great year with the nominations and “The Suitcase” terrific. On the other hand Lead Actress is Elizabeth Moss vs. Julianna Margulies. Both have great submissions, but I’ll give Elizabeth Moss the edge.July 16, 2011 at 5:26 pm #222632
If Michael C. Hall submits “My Bad” I think he can win. Buscemi’s best chance is submitting “Home” and Mireille Enos would be stupid if she didn’t pick “Missing”.
The only morality in a cruel world is chance.July 17, 2011 at 8:53 am #222633
Lead Actor = Hamm vs Hall vs Buscemi
Lead Actress = Moss vs Margulies vs Enos
The other contenders are definately nowhere near as strong as these six. I think for lead actor it’ll be either Hamm or Hall winning as voters might favor them because they’ve lost out repeatedly to Cranston, maybe they won’t see Buscemi’s win as being an urgent matter.July 17, 2011 at 11:26 am #222634
I know that Buscemi just won the Golden Globe for his performance here, but the Foreign Press also doesn’t use the tape system. I’ve loved his work since Reservoir Dogs but his role is as flat on screen as it is on the page. There is nothing there, no matter how hard Buscemi tries. It’s hard enough that so many pundits find Boardwalk Empire boring, but to have their central character one of the least active people in the show? Doesn’t help the show’s case.
Hugh Laurie can’t have much longer on this list. How many years can we take the dry and sarcastic doc before the performance wears its welcome? Some would claim that it already has worn it out. And like Boomer says, if Laurie couldn’t win for the two-hour tape “Broken,” he’ll never win. Same goes for Michael C Hall. He had a tape that had people hurting for his predicament. He lost a loved one, something we never would’ve seen happening to the Dexter of season 1, who spent his life refusing to become emotionally attached. Kyle Chandler is the star of a much-applauded show that is now over; this is his last chance to win for this role, and that could help him.
Like I told Tom on Facebook, this is Jon Hamm’s to lose. Wouldn’t that be great, to see AMC take the Lead Actor Emmy again, even in Cranston’s absence? And Hamm has been doing so much work since his show premiered, as Don Draper and otherwise. I’ve found myself preferring his comedic work, in Saturday Night Live and 30 Rock, and would not be surprised if, after Mad Men, he is tapped to star in a comedy series. The exposure he is receiving year after year certainly won’t hurt his case this year. His only competition, in my book, is Timothy Olyphant, who is a first-time nominee but is starring in “the cool FX show,” as a friend of mine refers to it. Will he pick a tape that can beat Hamm’s “The Suitcase?” That’ll be tough to say.
PREDICTION: Jon Hamm, Mad Men
PREFERENCE: Jon Hamm, Mad Men
DARK HORSE: Timothy Olyphant, Justified
Kathy Bates’ inclusion, as I said in another thread here, is a bit of a joke. Nobody watches that show. I hope this is the only year she is included. I hate to think that she’ll be occupying a slot that other (more deserving) actresses could be putting to use. Same goes for Mariska Hargitay. Her role hit its peak a while ago. Let’s move on. I love that subtle work, like Mireillies Enos, is being rewarded — I cannot picture a scenario where she wins, though, particularly because of the controversy over season’s finale. It’s a situation where an actress took a role and made it her own character, but that the show that she is a part of might be the biggest mark against her. Connie Britton getting nominated again is great, but I can’t see her winning as much as Chandler, despite it being the show’s final season.
I think Julianna Margulies will probably win this year. Most people though she would last year too. But the Emmy voters have proven to us time and time again that they watch tapes. I felt the need to bold that because it is extremely important. It won Kyra Sedgwick the Emmy last year. Margulies has certainly submitted better this year, but let’s be honest with one another — is there a better stand-alone tape in drama this year than Elisabeth Moss in “The Suitcase.” An episode that makes a ripple this big obviously has something going for it. The writing is superb, the acting is tremendous… it is a crossroads for her character’s relationship with Don Draper, and Moss plays it like a cool jazz musician.
PREDICTION: Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
PREFERENCE: Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men
DARK HORSE: Connie Britton, Friday Night LightsJuly 17, 2011 at 9:04 pm #222635
Two confirmed episode submissions…
Steve Buscemi – “Return to Normalcy”
Michael C. Hall – “Teenage Wasteland”July 17, 2011 at 10:06 pm #222636
Hey, I just realized I went 6/6 in my predictions for Drama Lead Actor. Glad I stuck with Olyphant! So glad he’s a nominee!July 18, 2011 at 12:32 am #222637
well Michael C. Hall I feel has submitted his best performance of the season with “Teenage Wasteland,” The scene at the end in the car was some of his best work and it is also a very sympathetic and stand-alone episode for him. Howowver I can’t help but feel that “My Bad” was probably the wiser submission. He has the eulogy and less subtle range, plus dealing with the immediate death of his wife seems more Emmy-bait. Also, the opening scene reminds people of his amazing performance at the end of the previous season.July 18, 2011 at 4:13 am #222638
I do watch “Harry’s Law” and I find it so funny that people think Kathy Bate’s nomination is a joke. I believe that just shows that the people who say that have never seen the show. Kathy has one brilliant, a la James Spader court room speech, tape that could wipe the floor with Margulies and Moss. I am not taking Bates out of Contention because of clear “bias” that others show. I am looking at things objectively and basing it on tapes. If Bate’s submits the eppy where she knocks a home run then she still has a shot, also doesn’t hurt that this is her 9th Emmy nomination and she’s never won.July 18, 2011 at 4:29 pm #222639
Two more episode confirmations…
Jon Hamm – “The Suitcase” (pretty common knowledge but now official)
Mireille Enos – “Missing”July 18, 2011 at 4:37 pm #222640
Good Job Mireille, I was starting to worry she’d submit the Pilot. This improves her chances, but there is no way she is winning.July 18, 2011 at 8:39 pm #222641
well Michael C. Hall I feel has submitted his best performance of the season with “Teenage Wasteland,” The scene at the end in the car was some of his best work and it is also a very sympathetic and stand-alone episode for him. Howowver I can’t help but feel that “My Bad” was probably the wiser submission. He has the eulogy and less subtle range, plus dealing with the immediate death of his wife seems more Emmy-bait. Also, the opening scene reminds people of his amazing performance at the end of the previous season.
I just looked up a brief synopsis for “Teenage Wasteland.” I don’t remember it too well, but when I watched the season I didn’t see anything besides “My Bad” that I thought was a credible submission tape. I’ll be moving Hall way down in my predictions. I think “My Bad” would have had a fighting chance against “The Suitcase.”July 18, 2011 at 10:05 pm #222642
I’ll be pretty upset if Buscemi takes it over Jon Hamm or even Michael C. Hall. I really can’t see Hamm ever having a better episode to submit after “The Suitcase” this year, so it’s his year in my opinion. Lead is clearly between Julianna and Elisabeth, I hope Elisabeth takes it. I’m guessing Julianna will probably submit “In Sickness”, at least I hope she does. I’ll be happy with either of them winning.