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DRAMA LEAD ACTING Predictions & Analysis

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  • iskolar
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    #253599

    Okay here we go with the individual threads so we can neatly compile all analysis and discussions.

    Place
    your rankings, analysis, and explanations for the two drama lead
    acting categories here. Also, don’t forget to include and update them in
    the Gold Derby predictions center.

    Here are the nominees:

    BEST DRAMA ACTOR:
    Hugh Bonneville – Downton Abbey (“Episode 7”)
    Steve Buscemi – Boardwalk Empire (“Two Boats and a Lifeguard”)
    Bryan Cranston – Breaking Bad (“Crawl Space”)
    Michael C. Hall – Dexter (“Nebraska”)
    Jon Hamm – Mad Men (“The Other Woman”)
    Damian Lewis – Homeland (“Marine One”)

    BEST DRAMA ACTRESS:
    Kathy Bates – Harry’s Law (“Onward and Upward”)
    Glenn Close – Damages (“I’ve Done Way Too Much For This Girl”)
    Claire Danes – Homeland (“The Vest”)
    Michelle Dockery – Downton Abbey (“Episode 7”)
    Julianna Margulies – The Good Wife (“Parenting Made Easy”)
    Elisabeth Moss – Mad Men (“The Other Woman”)

    Discuss.

    Reply
    Renaton
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    #253601

    I’m thinking Cranston will win his fourth. And Danes also. I think they are somewhat comfortable frontrunners in their categories.
    However, if anyone beats them, I think it will be Lewis and Dockery. 

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    Tom O’Neil
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    #253602

    Just heard from Julianna Margulies — she’s submitting “Parenting Made Easy”

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    SeunO
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    #253603

    Tom since so many categories have their episodes submitted could we expect a slugfest video fairly soon?

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    Irishmovielover4ever
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    #253604

    My favourtie category of all is this one because I believe that through the years they have given such outstanding performances, this category is lead actress in a drama series:

    1. Claire Danes, Homeland (“The Vest”)
    2. Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men (“The Other Woman”)
    3. Michelle Dockery, Downton Abbey (“Episode #7”)
    4. Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife (“Parenting Made Easy”)
    5. Kathy Bates, Harry’s Law (“Onward and Upward”)
    6. Glenn Close, Damages (“I’ve Done Way Too Much For This Girl”)

    Previous Winner Close has made such a mistake this year because other then submt her amazng work she decides to submit and episode where she is more of a supporting actress because the episode is more of a showcase for Byrne. Close probably picked the episode because it was the start of her characters therapy. The main problem I had with the performance was that it was mostly about her reaction to every one else and that’s why I place her last because of her mistake submission.

    Oscar winner Bates recieves her second and last nomination for Harry’s Law and unlike last year she has actually submitted a very worthy episode because she gets to have some great scenes. We learn in the episode that her first husband has died and this lets us see her cry, also she gets to sing a very emotional song. Finally some of her strongest scenes are when she is in the courtroom where she does get strong speeches like Kelly always writes. She coudl win if they think Bates is overdue because if she looses this year that’s twelve nominations lost.

    Current Holder Margulies returns with a tape that goes more to the emotions when people watch this episode. At the start we see her in the court room but these are not really her scenes, her best work comes near the end when Grace is missing and we see her go through stages of grief as she crys that something may be wrong with her child, this is good work by Margulies and that’s why she is not the bottom two.

    Downton star Dockery is the best leading actor/actress of the show and for her episode like most of the abbey nominees she picked the christmas special. She does some great work dealing with love interest Thomas, Richard Carlisle and about every other cast member. Mary is the strong character of the show getting behind every one. In the episode she gets top emote and when the episode end we see when Thomas ask her to marry him and like every fan it was a great moment.

    Previous nominee Moss in my opnion was robbed last year and this year she is the runner up for me because her episode is a strong one for her. In the episode we see Peggy leave and go out on her own which was sad at the same time as viewers being happy she took her life into her own hand. In early parts of the episdoe we see peggy being succesful but we know he being a woman cannot achieve what men can, then in her final speech to Don he is in disbelieve while she tells him that she is leaving him, this is a moment to remeber because she is the women in his life that knows him the best. I wish Moss would win for her work in all the seasons but her acting is understated which is why I think she may not win.

    Emmy winner Danes is my predicition and personal choice because she was outstanding on the show playing a CIA agent who has a secret of having bi-polar diease. In her submitted episode she is off her meds and crazy as ever. This is Danes best role because not only does she get the baity material which is being bi-polar but also she gets to be smart and good at her job. If any acting category seems to be a lock come emmy night I think we could see Danes winning her second emmy and like before she is the best in the category.

    I see Claire Danes winning with spoilers being Moss for being overdue also Dockery in a Downton sweep.

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    Morgan Henard
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    #253605

    Watched Glenn Close’s submission tonight. Are you f’ing kidding me? WHO sabotaged her submission like that?? I’ve only seen the first two episodes of season four and I was so excited to watch hers so early. I have eight more episodes to watch and there’s NO WAY episode two is the greatest work of Close’s in season four. I was happy to see her nominated but if her submission was going to be botched then I would have much rather seen Katey Sagal, Emmy Rossum, Kyra Sedgwick, Jessica Pare or an even out-of-nowhere nom like Lauren Graham. People may begrudge Bates being nominated but at least she submitted well and is competitive for the win. For Close to have picked such perfect submissions for seasons one and two she certainly did the opposite for seasons three and four.  

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    Choice Chayawat
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    #253606

    In season 1, Close could win with any episodes and went with the pilot. Then she chose the most showy episode in season 2 and it payed off. As for season 3 and season 4, Close didn’t have a very strong tape to begin with, but I have know idea why she chose to submit one of the weakests. I’m not sure if she’s aware of the process, but whoever chose those episodes should be dragged to an Emmy court.

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    Alijah Purdy
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    #253607

    Maybe Close felt like 2 was enough????

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    iskolar
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    #253608

    I think these people do want nto spread the wealth when they already have 2. Glenn Close has a history of giving perfect submissions in Seasons 1 and 2, so I think she really knows this game. The same can be said for Alec Baldwin who submitted Respawn last year instead of 100, and even tweeted “Please vote for Steve Carell.” There are times when they probably butching their submission on purpose.

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    Alijah Purdy
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    #253609

    After watching the actresses, here are my rankings:

    1.Claire Danes – Homeland (“The Vest”)
    2.Kathy Bates – Harry’s Law (“Onward and Upward”)
    3.Julianna Margulies – The Good Wife (“Parenting Made Easy”)
    4.Glenn Close – Damages (“I’ve Done Way Too Much for This Girl”)
    5.Elizabeth Moss – Mad Men (“The Other Woman”)
    6.Michelle Dockery – Downton Abbey (“Episode 7”)

    I have no idea why Michelle Dockery is getting so much buzz for her submission. In my opinion, she did absolutely nothing worthy of even a nomination in this episode. She barely has any screentime. Her acting isn’t necessarily bad, however, the screentime really hurts her.

    Elisabeth Moss did have some shining moments in The Other Woman. However, this episode totally belonged to Christina Hendricks. However, the times that Moss was on screen, she nailed it. However, just like Dockery, screentime is really going to hurt her.

    I don’t understand why everyone is coming down so hard on Glenn Close. I thought she did a great job in her submission. She doesn’t have any huge screams where she “throws plates against the walls” or cries. But she acts very subtly, and she does a great job of it.

    I still think Julianna Margulies should have submitted “Blue Ribbon Panel”. However, in her submission, she does get to do some great work. However, I would say nothing she does is worthy of the award, except for the final 15 minutes of the episode, where she is dealing with the whole thing about her daughter. She could win this if voters get really emotional those last 15 minutes.

    We all agreed that Kathy Bates really messed up her submission last year. But this year, she knocked it out of the part. The only thing she has going against her is buzz, and that she’s on a cancelled TV show. However, she does get great comedy, drama, she gets to sing, and she gets to cry. I think we all need to watch out for her Emmy night, she might just steal this away from Claire Danes. Plus, she is 0-11. Claire Danes just won an Emmy 2 years ago, and already has 2. Voters might go for Kathy if they want to reward the “overdue” actress.

    Now Claire Danes. She gave a great performance. However, I was a little dissapointed because so many people were so hyped about her submission, and I don’t think its as great as everyone is saying it is. 

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    Renaton
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    #253610

    ^ smartone, the episode 7 you watched was the christmas special? Because some people seem to be watching the wrong episode, as they aired differently in the US and in the U.K. The submission is episode 7 on PBS, but not there.

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    Icky
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    #253611

    After watching the

    Now Claire Danes. She gave a great performance. However, I was a little dissapointed because so many people were so hyped about her submission, and I don’t think its as great as everyone is saying it is. 

    I’ve read mostly criticism about her submission, so I don’t know what you’re talking about.

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    Halo_Insider
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    #253612

    [quote=”thesmartone”]After watching the

    Now Claire Danes. She gave a great performance. However, I was a little dissapointed because so many people were so hyped about her submission, and I don’t think its as great as everyone is saying it is. 

    I’ve read mostly criticism about her submission, so I don’t know what you’re talking about. [/quote]
    Well, I’m pretty darn sure that Tom was bringing up in the Derby chats that a lot of our posters wanted her to pick “The Vest” over “The Weekend”, which was what she was originally considering. I think it was a chat with Daniel Montgomery. I think a lot of us wanted her to select it because it allowed her to portray a vast array of emotions and levels of excitement.

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    Andrew Eng
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    #253613

    ^ smartone, the episode 7 you watched was the christmas special? Because some people seem to be watching the wrong episode, as they aired differently in the US and in the U.K. The submission is episode 7 on PBS, but not there.

    Hulu has all the episodes, and Christmas Special is clearly labeled.  

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    Irishmovielover4ever
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    #253614

    I’ve just finished with my screening of acting submissions watching the nominees for lead actor in a drama seres, here are my rankings:

    1. Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad (“Crawl Space”)
    2. Damian Lewis, Homeland (“Marine One”)
    3. Jon Hamm, Mad Men (“The Other Woman”)
    4. Hugh Bonneville, Downton Abbey (“Episode #7”)
    5. Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire (“Two Boats and a Lifeguard”)
    6. Michael C. Hall, Dexter (“Nebraska”)

    Hall was a shock nominee this year because the show had it’s worst season and also nobody really talked about it (I stopped watching). So for his episode submission he picks the episode where he finds out that the Arthur Mitchell’s son blames his father (dead) for the death of his mother and sister, this makes Dexter travel with the ghost of his brother. It is a good episode for Hall but like most of the time the character is very slient and compared to other nominees does not get anything really great to perform, Hall better be happy he got this nomination because it could be his last time.

    Buscemi has won about every other award for his role and this show because they are not judged on episodes because when it comes to episode performances he never really gets an episode just devoted to himself. He submits an episode where his father has died also Thompson seems to be giving up for family life, Buscemi is good and when sees his dead father he starts to cry which is a moment for the character who never really shows emotion, Buscemi probably will never win for this role because other leading men get to go through hard lifes unlike Thompson.

    I was delighted bu Bonneville’s suprise nomination because personally he is one of my top six. Like about every actor on the show he submtted the christmas special. He does standout in his scenes especially when he is on the stand for bates when in the end the opposing lawyor twists his words which does not help in bates case. Bonneville’s main problem is the ensemble factor of the show because for some scenes he is not on screen, when he is on screen he delievers as a son, father and all out nice guy, that;s why he will not win, too much competition.

    I though Hamm was a lock to win last year but Chandler got the sendoff vote, this season it was not really about Don giving Jon really no winning tape like he had last year. He submitted the episode the academy seemed to love this year, he may not be the best in show but compared to his other episodes this year it was one of his best, he is good especially when saying goodbye to Peggy you see him go through the stages to deal (Anger, Sadness, regret and pitty), this is why compare to others he does some nice quiey acting compared to last years tor de force.

    The top two men are leagues above the others, Lewis is my runner up for a couple of reasons. His submission was the great finale where we see brody working as a terrest, Lewis is really amazing in the scenes where you wonder will he actually kill all these people, to ground him Brody has his family especially his daughter who seems to get in the way of all his plans. Lewis is just great in this episode and I would have no problem with him winning but he minor critique is that he did not go through with it, I would have respected the writers much more if they let him die, also I would call him a lock if he pulled the trigger.

    In the end I picked three time emmy winner Cranston who has submitted the seasons best but also his best performance on the show since “Phoneix”. In the episode we see him bring Hank around, get told off by Jesse, but from the moment he is brought into the desert till his evil laugh Cranston is the best I’ve seen on Tv this season. When we get Walter laughing like a evil clown about Skyler giving ted the money I was like can he win four and yes he can and will. (I just wish Kelsey Grammer wins on a write in, he is the worst snub of the year)

    My prediction is Cranston,but If I were to vote based on performance I would give Lewis the win, I guess BB can setle for some acting wins and Homeland can deal with actress maybe writing. Lewis and Cranston one will win, it’s so close it’s not funny how amazing these two are comapred to the other four.

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