July 24, 2014 at 7:58 am #325283
I figure it’s time we get threads going for each category, and this is the one I started with after doing the Guest ones, so here we go.
As a reminder, the 6 nominees and their submissions :
Christine Baranski, The Good Wife (CBS) : “The Last Call”
Joanne Froggatt, Downton Abbey (PBS) : “Episode 4.2” (Episode 3 in Great Britain)
Anna Gunn, Breaking Bad (AMC) : “Ozymandias”
Lena Headey, Game of Thrones (HBO) : “The Lion and the Rose”
Christina Hendricks, Mad Men (AMC) : “The Strategy”
Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey (PBS) : “Episode 4.8” (The London Season in Great Britain)July 24, 2014 at 8:18 am #325285
My opinion on the category after watching the episodes :
As expected, this is Anna Gunn’s Emmy to lose. She is far and away the frontrunner, although she could be upset by Smith or Baranski.
6) Lena Headey, Game of Thrones : “The Lion and the Rose”
Lena isn’t in the episode much, and when she is she’s mostly in the bakcground or in reaction shots. She has two scenes really : the discussion with Pycelle where she’s imperious and petty, which is what her character is generally like, and then the last scene where she (SPOILER) loses her son and screams for Tyrion to be taken. Unfortunately for her, there are two other ladies in the category who get much bigger moments of crying and screaming (Gunn and Froggatt) and the others have more screentime or are Maggie Smith (to be fair Smith also has mroe screentime probably, but out of 3 hours it doesn’t seem like much).
5) Christina Hendricks, Mad Men : “The Strategy”
She’s good here, but she’s hurt by the fact that this is Elisabeth Moss’ episode more than hers, and in the only good scene she gets she’s mostly reacting to James Wolk who has the bigger performance. I don’t see this being the episode that breaks the Mad Men curse, especially when Hendricks has lost before with much stronger tapes.
4) Joanne Froggatt, Downton Abbey : “Episode 4.2”
Froggatt could be a threat since she has a very baity and big scene towards the end, but who’s going to rank her before Anna Gunn here ? If it’s big, loud acting they’re looking for, they will rank Gunn first and Froggatt second, but I can’t see them going the other way, which is why I think Baranski and Smith have better chances at upsetting. The episode Maggie Smith submitted has absolutely nothing for her, and even her episode doesn’t give her a ton of screentime, although she certainly has a lot of impact.
3) Christine Baranski, The Good Wife : “The Last Call”
Now here’s an understated performance with a baity storyline from a respected actress. I’m really torn between her and Smith, but this is where Anna Gunn could lose, if voters don’t want to go for the loud and baity tapes, they will gravitate towards veteran actresses. Baranski has an overdue factor with The Good WIfe also. She also does have a very good scene where she fires Will’s client which makes her very sympathetic. She is hurt by the fact that this is mostly Margulies’ episode, although they don’t share a lot of scenes so she doesn’t get eclipsed completely.
2) Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey : “Episode 4.8”
Now I know she doesn’t have much screentime and, well, she did lose to Gunn last year, but we don’t know how far she was. She’s still a legend, and she’s surprisingly sympathetic in this episode, as well as being very funny of course. She doesn’t have any range, and by all rights if a veteran actress wins this it should be Baranski, but we all underestimated Downton Abbey in the nominations, and I feel like we’re underestimating Maggie Smith here. She was also pretty good in Froggatt’s submission, but reallly this is mostly about her being Maggie Smith and an alternative to Gunn is people dislike her performance.
1) Anna Gunn, Breaking Bad : “Ozymandias”
Really though, Gunn should and probably will win. She opens the episode which allows her to have a quiet moment, then she’s gone for 15minutes and after that it’s money scene after money scene : with Marie, with Walt and Flynn, screaming in the street, and then the phone call. You could maybe argue that she is passive in some of these, but she does take the knife and asks Walter where Hank is. The Emmys love big and loud performances, they love Breaking Bad, this makes Gunn the clear favorite here.July 24, 2014 at 8:39 am #325286
I think Froggatt is a bigger threat here than we thought. I think that the Emmys are off Smith. I do see the argument that she still could’ve been close last year, but I think there are too many choices for just name ticking. Baranski has a shot still. She is overdue and her episode is good, despite her better choices. Either way, I think Anna Gunn has this. My full predictions are here: http://smashcutreviews.com/2014/07/2014-emmy-predictions-supporting-actress-in-a-drama-series/July 24, 2014 at 11:57 am #325287
I really wish Baranski would have submitted “Outside the Bubble.” The stare she gave Alicia literally gave me chills. Does anyone know if it’s too late to change? She’s doing an interview on Friday with Goldderby, so maybe we can convince her to switch.July 25, 2014 at 2:06 am #325288
My vote would certainly go for Joanne Froggatt, followed by Maggie Smith and Christine Baranski. I absolutely hate everything about Breaking Bad, and that includes Anna Gunn. I still don’t get Lena Headey’s nomination, and I’m not a Mad Men/Christina Hendricks fan. I would prefer Phyllis Logan, Elizabeth McGovern and Penelope Wilton for Downton Abbey to have been nominated (:
As for who will win, the academy is favoring truly awful shows these days so I guess Anna Gunn will likely repeat, but Ms. Froggatt has a terrific submission, so here’s hoping! (:July 25, 2014 at 2:11 am #325289
^ we have a very different view on what is a “truely awful show”.
Anna Gunn deserves her second win above all other 5 nomineesJuly 25, 2014 at 2:32 am #325290
I don’t think the episode Baranski submitted is that strong for her Julianna outshines her in it so it EMMY #2 for ANNA GUNN which would make it the first two-peat in this category since Blythe Danner won two for HUFF in 2005 and 2006July 25, 2014 at 5:40 am #325291
I think the win is between Gunn and Baranski.July 25, 2014 at 5:45 am #325292
If Breaking Bad was ineligible this year, Lena Headey would probably win the Emmy.
Joanne Froggatt is ok in her episode submission, but is virtually non-existent in Maggie Smith’s. Speaking of, Smith’s submission is the worst of the entire year — just disgraceful, but at this point in her career, she doesn’t care to win.
I have been assured that Baranski had better, and I hope that’s true, because I didn’t see anything special in her tape. Christina Hendricks probably should not have been nominated this year based on her material. Anna Gunn is so far ahead of these girls, it’s ridiculous. I bet she takes 90%+ of first place votes.
It’s very Interesting to hear different opinions in the thread. The only show I watched this year that was truly awful (I watched around 35) was Downton Abbey. I ranked it dead last, with no episode getting higher than a C.July 25, 2014 at 6:13 am #325293
If BB were ineligible then someone like Young or Monaghan would have gotten in, and they had competitive tapes. Oh, shit it possibly would have been Clarke. That would have been more interesting race howeverJuly 25, 2014 at 6:25 am #325294
Why haven’t you created a poll with the thread?July 25, 2014 at 6:31 am #325295
Why haven’t you created a poll with the thread?
Well I can’t add it now without creating a new thread and I don’t feel like a poll is necessary at all, the most interesting part is the discussion here. For example I have to assume 95% of forum users are predicting Anna Gunn here, what’s more interesting is who we think can upset and why. Also people change their minds about these things, so polls can be misleading, we already have the predictions center for that.July 25, 2014 at 10:39 am #325296
I think the win is between Gunn and Baranski.
Gunn is certainly outstanding, but I’m still holding out hope for Baranski.July 25, 2014 at 10:57 am #325297
I agree that this is pretty open and shut for Gunn. I would love to see Baranski surprise though. Can the GD editors interviewing her today talk to her about potentially changing her tape to Outside the Bubble? Please?!July 25, 2014 at 11:37 am #325298
Gunn is de lockest lock you can find. If someone is gonna surprise its Frogatt. I would love to see Baranski win, just not this year (Gunn surpases everyone), but I disagree that she is a definite second place. She can´t defeat Gunn´s tape, and her tape isn´t even that competitive so its not possible this year…hopefully she gets great material next year and finally takes it.