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March 26, 2015 at 3:13 pm #344797
For me, predicting:
Best Leading Actor
Best Leading Actress
Best DirectingMarch 26, 2015 at 6:46 pm #344799
Agree with you about those four at the main ceremony, it will probably get casting too
Give Paul Thomas Anderson an Oscar.March 26, 2015 at 7:13 pm #344800
One…TPH, Lead Actress.
And that’ll be a very lucky one.March 26, 2015 at 8:35 pm #344801
I just watched this and was surprisingly blown away. Very well done with stellar performances. I think Lead actress is in the bag and that it could surprise in series.March 26, 2015 at 8:50 pm #344802
My guess is it’s gonna function kind of like TBBT. A show that gets good, not great reviews, but is gonna find itself in the conversation because it’s such a ratings success, although I do expect it to start out a little higher. So like TBBT, I think it has a shot in Series, one, MAYBE two acting categories, and then a couple creative arts categories like original song or editing or something. I could say it MAYBE getting directing for the pilot or something, but probably not writing. In my opinion it’s a decent show that probably wont deserve most of the noms it gets, but there it is.
In order of likelihood:
1. Lead Actress (easily the most probable, it would be a big surprise if she missed out)
2. Drama Series (these are the only two categories I’m predicting it for)
3. Lead Actor (personally I’ve been kind of dissapointed with his performance and he’s definitely not nearly as talked about as Henson, but he is a respected movie actor/oscar nominee so I could see it happening)
4. Directing (maybe the pilot)
5. Supporting Actor (Jussie Smollet or Trai Bayers. Smollet has the more prominent and sympathetic character but Bayers hs the showier “acting” role. But either way both are major longshots)
6. Writing (probably also the pilot, but I’d be shocked if this happens)
March 26, 2015 at 10:27 pm #344803
I think Lee Daniels will for sure get a nod for directing.
Before watching the show I thought Taraji P. Henson had a great shot but her role is too bitchy and fierce for the academy, so I won’t be surprised if she is not nominated.
Terrence Howard stands a chance cause Lead Actor category is weaker than the Actress one.
If ratings are such a huge factor then I can see it getting a Drama Series and a Supporting Actor nod as well.
They’ll probably get a few Guest acting nominations.
For Creative Arts they’ll probably get Original Music & Lyrics, Casting, Costume, a few of the editings.
All in all I expect at least 4 nominations, at best case scenario 10+ nominations.March 27, 2015 at 10:15 am #344804
My main question is how much the ratings will affect its award chances, similar to nkb325’s comparison to Big Bang Theory. Empire is without a doubt not a critical darling. But it’s fun to watch, has great performances and is blew the ratings out of the water. I really see it being the 7th nominee for Drama Series. Taraji P. Henson is very likely to get a Lead Actress nomination, with Terrence Howard less so but still likely.
I’m REALLY curious to see how it all plays out this summer.March 27, 2015 at 12:22 pm #344805
In order of likeliness that I’m predicting:
Song (at least You’re So Beautiful)
Casting and Writing aren’t off the table, but it’s unlikely.March 27, 2015 at 2:12 pm #344806
5March 27, 2015 at 2:13 pm #344807
Lead Actress in a Drama Series (Taraji P. Henson)
Casting in a Drama Series
Original Music & Lyrics (1-2 nominees)
Writing/Directing in a Drama Series (one or the other, not both)
Five nominations seem about right to me. Honoring the MVP primarily, and then recognizing the music through the song category, casting, and maybe Drama Series (more for the popularlity factor than anything else). There’s room to grow in coming seasons if the worth’s there, but for the debut season, I think voters will lean more conservatively than going whole hog like some are saying.March 27, 2015 at 4:49 pm #344808
I think we’ll be very surprised becuase it could definitely go either way. Too many nominatios, or so little nominations that even Henson gets snubbed. The only true possibilities seem to be nominations for Original Song.
In order of likelyhood:
1. Original Song. One or two nominations
3. Art Direction could be an easy get considering how crazy those offices, apartments and houses can get. Will & Grace, for example, got nominated almost every year I think, some of those years (maybe all of them) included some Empire type over the top decoration. I know it’s difficult with Mad Men, Game of Thrones, Downton and others, but maybe. Sound Mixing could happen too.
4. Lead Actress. I would honestly be upset if it doesn’t happen. But I wouldn’t be surprised if it doesn’t.
5. Lead Actor, very weak field
6. Directing, big name director, again, this usually works with shows that look like Emmy shows, this one does not.
We’ve seen enough weird undeserving supporting actors nominated before so I wouldn’t surprised if Smollet gets in. In my opinion he doesn’t deserve it, but buzz is on his side, so maybe it’ll happen.March 28, 2015 at 5:55 am #344809
The Academy having a willingess to give high-profile Emmy nominations to Empire will probably be as lasting as the ones that went to Desperate Housewives, ten years ago, and Glee, five years ago, because the popularity will force the Academy to kind of look like they’re in touch.
Taraji P. Henson, for lead actress in a drama series, may be the overall best bet for a nomination for Empire. (As if people were confronted with pretending the series can only predict it to score a single nomination.) Henson was nominated for lead actress in a minseries/movie in 2009, the very calendar year she received her 2008 supporting-actress Oscar nomination.
How Empire impacts the 2015 Emmy nominations will have to be compared with the rest of the usual suspects, in drama, and whether there are any more upstarts. If there is a lack with the ladder, than Empire can go as far as receiving a best-series nod—while directing and writing may be denied. (Noted, in this thread, is that a directing slot will likely emerge.)
As for the competition, I suspect that Downton Abbey will be back in spite of GoldDerby.com protestations—enough body of the nominating voting Academy will include it despite it having no feasible shot. (Its 2011 miniseries/movie win, along with correlating prizes for directing and writing, ended up becoming the ceiling.) Mad Men feels more than over with and done. The same may be true, but to lesser dramatic degree, of Homeland. House of Cards is a show the gets passed off as irresistible—yet the Academy has resisted prizing it best drama series. And Game of Thrones has been trying to join Lost as a rarity—a fantasy-driven drama that can win the top prize. And it’s running out of time. The rest of the category is filler—the oldies [those already mentioned plus second-season Masters of Sex] vs. the newbies [The Affair, et al.]. And these newbies—whether a freshman like Bloodline has the potential to get in—does include those first-year series not on broadcast or cable networks. (I’m not even considering The Good Wife. The Academy gladly dismissed it after its second season and had no regard for returning to it the fold with its fifth, and best, season in 2014. Prizes for that series are given to its acting. At this point, I would rate How to Get Away with Murder in having a better shot at a best-drama nomination than The Good Wife.)
Given all this, Empire can crack the best-drama lineup. (It’s a soap. And we’ve seen plenty with how the prime-time Emmys have handled soaps.) I just wouldn’t bet on it winning or, after this season, having the staying power.March 28, 2015 at 6:07 am #344810
My wishlist would include Series, Taraji P. Henson (Lead Actress), Jussie Smollett (Supporting Actor), Courtney Love (Guest Actress), You’re So Beautiful (Original Song).
I wouldn’t support a nomination for Terrence Howard, I didn’t like too much his character or performance.
Best episodes of the season were “Our Dancing Days” and “The Lyon’s Roar”, I hope they have a chance in writing or directing.March 28, 2015 at 7:27 am #344811
As of right now, I’d say, about 5:
Outstanding Drama Series
Outstanding Directing for a Drama Series (Lee Daniels, “Pilot”)
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series (Taraji P. Henson)
Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series (Courtney Love)
Outstanding Original Song (“You’re so Beautiful”)
A few other very strong possibilities include:
Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series (Danny Strong, “The Lyon’s Roar”)
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series (Terrence Howard)
Outstanding Casting for a Drama Series
At times, for certain episodes, I acutally think Terrence gives a more hearty, dramatic performance than Taraji, which is why it would be great to see him get in alongside her. Danny Strong is a past 2-time Emmy-winner, once for his writing and once for his producing, so a solid case could be made for him. Casting is likely, too.