July 28, 2012 at 9:24 pm #253895
I have some friends who are fans of TV and the Emmys and not one is predicting Idris Elba (as they’re pointing out the fact that the show is a series and NOT a mini-series). They’re split between Woody Harrelson (Game Change), because that’s the “most talked about” of the lot, and Clive Owen (a marquee name)…
But here’s my justification for predicting Idris (a boring a choice it would be this year, no?):
1) he just won the Golden Globe
2) now that he’s a repeat nominee, voters know his name (and they did also nominate him as guest comedy actor last year)
3) the show went from 1 nod last year (Lead Actor) to 4 nods this year (Lead Actor, Directing, Writing, and Mini-Series/Movie)July 28, 2012 at 9:30 pm #253897
Also adding to your list is the huge upset of Elba, the best in his category last year, losing to the least deserving nominee of the bunch in the worst film/miniseries/stage-play of the bunch.July 28, 2012 at 9:42 pm #253898
What happened to all the support here for Benedict Cumberbatch? I think he can win it.July 28, 2012 at 9:42 pm #253899
Idris Elba is actually my favorite in the category this year. I’m rooting for him. Pouring gasoline on himself? Rowr…July 28, 2012 at 10:04 pm #253900
This race is one of the most competitive of the year. I wouldn’t be surprised if any of the six guys took it.
– Owen, Harrelson and Costner have the movie-star pedigree which often wins in this category
– Elba and Cumberbatch are the rising stars who got their programs into movie/minseries.
– Paxton seemed to have been praised as the stronger of the two leads from H&McC, so the fans that it has could support him en masse over Costner and give him the win if that show sweeps.July 29, 2012 at 1:10 am #253901
I stick with Cumberbatch. Sherlock has huge support and he’s pretty fatastic in this role. Elba couldn’t even win over Barry Pepper last year…July 29, 2012 at 1:21 am #253902
This is a really difficult race to predict, actually. I was originally thinking that Costner had this in the bag… then the Cumberbatch buzz began to build … and then I remembered that Elba, for all the awards he’s won for this role, hasn’t won yet. And then I remembered that Paxton got a lot of great recognition for his role in H&M… and then I remembered Harrelson’s wonderful work …
I’ll predict Costner, but Cumberbatch, Harrelson or, yes, Elba have just as good a chance.
And now watch Owen win.July 29, 2012 at 1:55 am #253903
Really covered your bases there, didn’t you?July 29, 2012 at 4:20 am #253904
I think he will win he is probably the frontrunner at the moment for me with Hemmingway and Gelhorn being a slight dissappointmentJuly 29, 2012 at 4:24 am #253905
I wish anybody but Owen wins. I love Clive but in Hemingway & Gellhorn (which is a horrible film) unlike Kidman he is overacting and didn’t even deserve a nomination, I hope Cumberbatch wins because he was the best.July 29, 2012 at 7:13 am #253906
I think that “Hatfields & McCoys” has the momentum and will get one acting prize, and between Kevin Costner and Bill Paxton, I think Costner has the advantage for the Emmy win.July 29, 2012 at 8:17 am #253907
I think that “Hatfields & McCoys” has the momentum and will get one acting prize, and between Kevin Costner and Bill Paxton, I think Costner has the advantage for the Emmy win.
It’s a real tossup if Costner or Paxton wins. As we saw last year, vote-splitting is usually irrelevant. If one of them wins, it’ll make me wonder if the other was right under him. Then the pondering of “Who was third? Cumberbatch or Elba? Harrelson or Owen?” This is a very very exciting race and all six are truly deserving of noms and wins. Even Owen, who gave a good performance in a not-so-great film (which worked for Barry Pepper last year).July 29, 2012 at 8:42 am #253908
I like Cumberbatch, but I’m predicting Elba to win.July 29, 2012 at 10:14 am #253910
[quote=”blueprint”]I stick with Cumberbatch. Sherlock has huge support and he’s pretty fatastic in this role. Elba couldn’t even win over Barry Pepper last year…
Cumberbatch wasn’t even nominated last year. Why is he suddenly a front runner this year? [/quote]
That was last year. This year Sherlock got 13 nominations, including Movie/Mini, Cumberbatch and the surprise nomination of Martin Freeman, which shows the voters really embraced the show in a way they didn’t last year.