December 26, 2017 at 1:15 pm #1202449159
A pattern has taken hold in the Emmys category Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series.
Since 2011, the winner has been someone for the first or the last season of his respective series:
• 2011: Kyle Chandler, Friday Night Lights (DirecTV/NBC) — Last
• 2012: Damian Lewis, Homeland (Showtime) — First
• 2013: Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom (HBO) — First
• 2014: Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad (AMC) — Last
• 2015: Jon Hamm, Mad Men (AMC) — Last
• 2016: Rami Malek, Mr. Robot (USA) — First
• 2017: Sterling K. Brown, This Is Us (NBC) — First
If this pattern continues, my feeling with 2018 is the winner will end up being, for a given series’ premiere season, Freddie Highmore in The Good Doctor (ABC).
Does anyone have any theories why this has played out?December 26, 2017 at 1:39 pm #1202449168
You’re just giving me hope for a Matthew Rhys win next year.December 26, 2017 at 1:53 pm #1202449177
Does this pattern help Bateman to win? He is the only contender with a first or last season that got a SAG nomination. Maybe someone will come along the second half though. I’m rooting for Jason Mitchell for The Chi. I’ve only seen the pilot and I’m not sure if he’ll go lead or supporting.December 26, 2017 at 8:27 pm #1202449348
This is a pretty neat and interesting trend, but each of those performers had other specific unique circumstances that lead to their wins (albeit buzz surrounding a final season or dazzling debut certainly helped).
Unless Rhys is absolutely undeniable (which isn’t likely since his performance is usually quiet) there wont really be any final season contenders. Additionally, all of the freshman season contenders like Bateman and Highmore don’t have the kind of media frenzy buzz that surrounded the performances Malek and Brown consistently for an entire year. (Not including Daniels or Lewis since the tape system is a different beast)
Unless something huge (like handmaids tale level) debuts this spring, I expect either Malek or Brown to win their second with Rhys as a boy-can-dream Longshot dark horse.December 26, 2017 at 8:54 pm #1202449350
James Franco winning his Emmy confirmed.