July 2, 2012 at 8:45 am #247432
While it is much more difficult to predict here than the Oscars because each show can have multiple episodes nominated, the totals for nominations point out who has the most support. With those announcements less than a month away, I’d like to see who thinks what shows are going to lead the nomination totals.
In Drama, I think Mad Men will lead the nomination total again with around 15 nominations. The Good Wife, however, will be increasing its totals if my predictions hold up and could have 14 or 15 nominations. Homeland could receive up to 12 nominations. Dowton Abbey will get a lot of technical nods that could push it to the top.
In comedy, Modern Family will, no doubt, have the most nominations with around 15 nods.
In miniseries/TV movie, Hatfields & McCoys has a very good shot at leading the nominations overall. I’m predicting 18 nominations for H&M. Hemingway & Gellhorn could land a lot of technical nods and land around 13 or 14.
In variety, the 63rd Annual Tony Awards will get a good number of nominations, probably about 5. However, SNL could land, if my predcitions hold, up to 16 nominations.July 2, 2012 at 8:48 am #247434
Glee season 1 : 19 nominations.
Glee season 2 : 12 nominations.
Glee season 3 : I think they’ll have … 3 ? 4 nominations ?July 2, 2012 at 9:09 am #247435
Probably. Matt Bomer, Casting, Picture-editing, and maybe two sound awards.July 2, 2012 at 9:39 am #247436
Amy Poehler and Zooey Deschanel will tie for most nominations for an individual. Both will be nominated for Series, Actress, and Amy for writing and Zooey for Guest Actress.July 2, 2012 at 11:42 am #247437
Lena Dunham can be four times nominee with Series, Actress, Writing and Directing, this is a long-shot, but could happen.
Also, Zooey can be nominated for original song too.July 2, 2012 at 2:08 pm #247438
New Girl will be the most nominated new comedy series with series, actress, supporting actor, theme song, possible writing and techs.July 2, 2012 at 2:42 pm #247439
^^^As much as I enjoy that quirky little tune, if New Girl’s theme song is nominated then that is a weak category.July 2, 2012 at 3:23 pm #247440
but the theme song of new girl is longer than the presented at the opening.July 2, 2012 at 4:20 pm #247441
^^^I know. But it’s still not a standout. I think it fits perfect with the show but I hope there’s something a little stronger.July 3, 2012 at 2:05 am #247442
The Office, Glee, Dexter, The Killing, Boardwalk Empire will be down.
Modern Family, 30 Rock, The Good Wife and Mad Men will be the same.
Justified, Parks and Recreation and Breaking Bad (against its last year eligible) will be up
I can’t tell how Downton will fair in changing in category. I think that New Girl, Veep and Homeland will gain a lot of nominations. Community could now see an increase as well in writing for sure and possibly series or lead actor. I also think American Horror Story will gain a lot more nominations contending in miniseries (such as Dylan McDermott and Connie Britton) as opposed to drama seriesJuly 3, 2012 at 9:33 am #247443
My predictions so far:
Hatfields & McCoys- 18 nominations
Mad Men- 16 nominations
Modern Family- 15 nominations
Downton Abbey, Game of Thrones, Hemingway and Gellhorn- 14 nominations
Breaking Bad, Homeland, 30 Rock- 13 nominations
Boardwalk Empire, Game Change, The Good Wife- 11 nominations
American Horror Story- 9 nominations
New Girl, Parks and Recreation, Veep- 7 nominations
Girls- 5 nominations
The Big Bang Theory, Curb Your Enthusiasm, Glee, The Office- 4 nominationsJuly 3, 2012 at 11:03 am #247444
My overall predictions (exluding the Creative Arts Emmys):
11 nominations: Modern Family
9 nominations: The Good Wife
8 nominations: Mad Men
7 nominations: Game Change, Homeland, Saturday Night Live
6 nominations: Hemingway & Gellhorn
5 nominations: 30 Rock, Breaking Bad, Curb Your Enthusiasm, Hatfields & McCoys, Parks and Recreation
4 nominations: American Horror Story, Downton Abbey, New Girl, Sherlock
3 nominations: The Big Bang Theory, Boardwalk Empire, Damages
2 nominations: Game of Thrones, Girls, House, The Killing, LouieJuly 3, 2012 at 12:20 pm #247445
Game of Thrones is most likely getting at least 3 major nominations (series, Dinklage, directing). Writing is quite possible as well.July 3, 2012 at 1:14 pm #247446
^^^I don’t have GoT getting into Series. Or writing for that matter.July 3, 2012 at 4:38 pm #247447
Game of Thrones bungled its Writing chances. Last year they submitted only Baelor, preventing vote-splitting, and thus were nominated. This year, instead of using the same strategy, they submit 3 other episodes in addition to Blackwater. Looking at the episodes, each of the writers submitted an episode (Benioff/Weiss, Cogman, Taylor, and Martin). While this may soothe each writer’s ego, this hurts the show’s chances of getting any recognition in the writing category. Similarly, they submit 5 episodes in Directing, one for each director. Last year, they submitted 3 episodes (Winter is Coming, A Golden Crown, and Baelor) and got lucky in getting nominated for Winter is Coming. The votes could have easily split, but I guess it being a pilot episode helped, as 4/5 nominees last year were pilot episodes. They don’t have that advantage this year. So unforutnately, GoT is likely to be snubbed in writing and directing (though the latter may have a better chance as Blackwater is a directing showcase), and it is vulnerable for Series. Mad Men, Homeland, Breaking Bad, and Downton Abbey are secure, leaving Boardwalk Empire, Game of Thrones, and The Good Wife to fight for the remaining 2 slots. And considering GoT is the least Emmy-friendly of the trio (despite the major win for Peter Dinklage last year), it could very well fall out, a la Lost Season 2. Dinklage is the only lock for GoT in the major categories.