May 24, 2011 at 5:05 am #221257
I’m guilty of this as much as the next guy, but everyone and their cocker spaniel are saying that the Actress in a Mini-Series or TV Movie race is over, and that Kate Winslet has this award hook, line, and sinker. This much buzz can sometimes backfire, as when the voters pop in someone else’s tape and are pleasantly surprised that they prefer it to Winslet’s. But I don’t think that will happen (crap, I just did it again).
What other races would you claim are basically over already? What Emmys should just be handed out before the nominees even enter the auditorium? Even now, before nominations have been announced, whose name should be carved into the statues?
For my money, nothing can beat The Walking Dead in the Make-Up departments. Each and every zombie (totalling in the hundreds for the entire six-episode season) was given a uniquely designed appearance, and the team behind the brilliant work had the Emmy after the pilot episode (“Days Gone Bye”) aired on Halloween 2010.
What races would you call this early on?May 24, 2011 at 5:15 am #221259
Yeah I agree with Kate Winslet. She’ll have her E in EGOT, and is just a Tony away. Maggie SMith too for Supporting Actress in Downtown Abbey.
There’s no Jane Lynch, Betty White. or Edie Falco type of lock this year, but the closest among the major categories we have is Modern Family for Comedy Series, and probably Gwyneth Paltrow for Guest Actress, Comedy.
Though of course for every Jane Lynch, Betty White, and Edie Falco, there’s also a Juliana Margulies which everyone thought was a sure lock until they opened the envelope.
Right now, I’ll go with
1. Kate Winslet
2. Modern Family
3. Maggie Smith
4. Gwyneth PaltrowMay 24, 2011 at 5:19 am #221260
As a huge Modern Family fan, I’m happy to hear that you think it is a lock for Comedy Series. But I’m hearing quite a few people here and on other sites claiming that maybe, just maybe, submitting a few of Carell’s final episodes could bring The Office to the forefront of the race. I don’t think it is likely, but what a surprise that would be.
I completely forgot about Paltrow. With the amount of appearances that she’s been doing regarding her singing ability, mixed with the fact that her “Forget You” rendition is regarded as one of the season’s best, I can see that happening.May 24, 2011 at 5:24 am #221261
I think Modern Family has the tapes and the buzz for a repeat. Glee will not be as embraced as last year, 30 Rock love started to fade last year (in terms of nominations and wins), and The Office might increase buzz enough to overtake 30 Rock, and Glee but fails short to overtake MF.
Had Parks and Recreation, and Community been nommed then it’s a good three way race.May 24, 2011 at 5:30 am #221262
Talking about Modern Family, if it weren’t for (Golden Globe winner) Chris Colfer, I’d say that Supporting Actor in a Comedy was destined for one of the MF men, be it Stonestreet in a repeat or Burrell for being awesome.May 24, 2011 at 7:58 am #221263
As much as I want Frank Darabont to win for directing the pilot of “The Walking Dead,” it’s practically set in stone that Martin Scorsese will win instead for directing the pilot of “Boardwalk Empire.”
Also, Matt Weiner, who wrote “The Suitcase” episode of “Mad Men,” will undoubtedly hear his name called as well. I don’t recall ever hearing a TV episode touted as much as this one, and it aired last summer!May 24, 2011 at 9:29 am #221264
with the Emmys, I’m reluctant to call any categories over beofre nominations are out and tapes have been selected. I’m sure if this thread were up this time last year Julianna Margulies would have come up.
With comedy series while I do think Modern Family has a great shot, the academy does love 30 Rock and The Office has bouced back in a big way.While I think iskolar gives some great reasons as to why it is the frountrunner I don’t think it’s enough to call the race over. For the record, at the moment I’m predicting the Office (but it’s a dark horse prediction).May 24, 2011 at 12:15 pm #221265
i really dont think there is a single lock in any of the major tv show categories. last year we had mad men and modern family as locks in series. both of which i think are very vunerable this year with boardwalk empire debuting and the good wife getting such positive reviews again. and modern family has to deal with steve carells final office season, 30 rock which had what i would call a very good season, and if parks and rec could manage a nod, that could easily pull off an upset. then theres always that garbage known as glee still hanging around.
we also had jane lynch and edie falco as solid locks last year and they won. both of which are nowhere near the favorites they were last year. we saw baldwin finally lose to parsons, and carell has a really good chance to change that category again. even the ‘lock’ of marguiles was taken down last year. every single category is up for grabs. gonna be fun to watch come showtime.May 24, 2011 at 1:50 pm #221266
I am seriously hoping the Comedy Actor race is over and that Steve Carrell will finally win a much deserved Emmy for “The Office.”May 24, 2011 at 2:45 pm #221267
Steve Carell’s chances should be very strong this year, as voters will know it’s their last chance to Emmy him and he had some really good episodes.
I agree that Gwyneth Paltrow seems a very likely winner for her guest appearance on Glee.
I don’t see Modern Family as that much of a lock, especially depending on how the nominations and submissions shake out. If Parks and Recreation is nominated, I think it’s a major threat. Where 30 Rock was resurgent, Modern Family got off to a slow start. And even though Glee wasn’t as well received by anyone this season as last, their sometimes jarringly uneven season means they’d have an easier time picking sample episodes that show them at their best.May 24, 2011 at 4:59 pm #221268
Daily Show has it in the bag again.
So You Think You Can Dance will win the choreography Emmy — like it has for the past 4 years.
Modern Family is a shoo-in to repeat.
Three-time undefeated champ Laura Linney should get her next acceptance speech ready.May 24, 2011 at 6:25 pm #221269
I wouldn’t call Laura Linnet a lock just yet, I mean, the show is pretty awful and she didn’t get the SAG nomination from her fellow actors Also, there’s a number of actresses that will have killer comedic tapes Tina Fey (if she submits the airplane episode), Amy Poehler (Flu Season) and maybe Edie Falco (I don’t watch Nurse Jackie).May 24, 2011 at 6:59 pm #221270
Martin Scorsese.May 24, 2011 at 7:44 pm #221271
If Elisabeth Moss submits The Suitcase for her Emmy tape, I would say the race is over. Though I have yet to see the episode, I have heard many say it was the greatest hour in television in history. And that Moss and Hamm’s performances were amazing.May 24, 2011 at 8:37 pm #221272
I wouldn’t call any technical category contenders locks yet. They always have some crazy winners there (ex. Sean Callery over Michael Giacchino last year).
Modern Family is also not a lock. It has obviously gone down in quality so it will have to submit well. If it doesn’t, 30 Rock has always been great at submitting tapes and The Office definitely has 6 tapes to bring it to victory. This is all assuming tapes matter though.
I think the only locks are Kate Winslet in Miniseries/Movie Lead Actress, Maggie Smith in Miniseries/Movie Supporting Actress, Gwyneth Paltrow for Comedy Guest Actress, Mad Men for Drama Writing (“The Suitcase”) and Martin Scorsese for Drama Directing.
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