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Which Emmy Streak Will End First?

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  • Chris Beachum
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    #242605

    Please discuss these six different Emmy streaks/trends and reasons why one or more have the best chance at stopping this year.

    We may do a blog item for the home page using some of your responses and reasons, so be witty and smart. Get ready for your close-up. 

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    FEDEclown
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    #242607

    I have a feeling that Drama Serie, Drama Actor and Drama Supporting Actor might stop this year. I don’t why.. it’s just a feeling.

    I think that Aaron Paul has a chance at winning again this year so he will break the streak. Or maybe Peter Dinklage.
    I don’t why but i have this feeling that Bryan Cranston might not win. I don’t watch the show so I really don’t know why I’m thinking this.
    And Mad Men could win again but it faces serious competion: Homeland, Breaking Bad and Game of Thrones.

    Comedy actress will for sure go to another one this year. The only one who could repeat is Joulia Louis-Dreyfuss.
    Jeff Probst and the Daily Show will not lose anytime soon.

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    Trent
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    #242608

    Going out on a limb and saying The Daily Show. Just have that feeling.

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    juanka19
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    #242609

    I don’t see anybody beating both Dinklage and Paul, so for sure that streak will be over this year.

    Mad Men could be beaten this year, but this streak is less likely to be over than the supporting actor…

     

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    DD
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    #242610

    I think Mad Men’s streak will finally end. It lost almost all of its races last year so voters are finally cooling on the show. Plus, there’s an insane amount of buzz for “Downtown Abbey” which clobbered the Emmys last year in the miniseries races. I’d be very surprised if “Downtown Abbey” lost Best Drama Series.

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    Trent
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    #242611

    ^I’d be surprised if it won. Season 2 was uneven. I’d go with Breaking Bad, Homeland or Game of Thrones.

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    Riley
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    #242612

    Word.

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    Trent
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    #242613

    Unless Downton Abbey gets the Modern Family treatment.

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    Laactingnyc
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    #242614

    haha lol………i just realized its ” Downton Abbey ” not ” Downtown Abbey “………i feel so dumb lol

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    Matty G
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    #242615

    16 different men winning Supporting Actor in a Drama over the last 16 years (and 27 over the last 29 years) is an unbelievable streak and a testament to the strength of the category year after year.  While certain categories are notorious for rewarding the same people over and over again, Supporting Actor in a Drama has always been one to spread the wealth.

    That being said, it is unlikely that the streak will hit 17 years.  Paul and Dinklage are surely the two front-runners at this point, and it looks as though they’ll stay that way, at least up through the release of the nominations.

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    Anonymous
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    #242616

                In my
    opinion, I believe that “Mad Men” will finally end it’s streak and
    “Breaking Bad” will finally conquer the category because of many
    reasons. Let me give you some history background:
                First off,
    before it’s first win in 2004, “The Sopranos” won a bunch of times
    for acting (James Gandolfini – 3x / Edie Falco – 3x / Joe Pantoliano – 1x) and
    writing (3x), but never won for Outstanding Drama Series.
                However, on
    the evening of September 21, 2003, even though Gandolfini, Falco, Pantoliano,
    and writing won for the fourth season, “The West Wing” still took
    home the win after just winning one other award, directing, with Sorkin adding
    one final Emmy to his collection. I’m positive that after “Sopranos”
    took home those four awards, before Outstanding Drama Series was announced,
    that a bunch of people were thinking that this might finally be the year
    that “Sopranos” wins … but NO! The reason for that fourth
    win for the “TWW” was because it had much best submissions
    than “Sopranos”. The fourth season of “Sopranos” wasn’t
    even that great as it’s previous season, with only “Whoever Did This”
    and “Whitecaps” being the highlights of season four. On the other
    hand, the fourth season of “TWW” was great, but not as superb as it’s
    previous three. I guess, back then, the Academy seemed to appreciate the acting
    of “Sopranos” greatly, but not the show as a whole … yet.
                But finally,
    on the evening of September 19, 2004, “Sopranos” won the
    Emmy for it’s fifth season. The reason for that win was
    because “Sopranos” had much best submissions than
    “TWW” and it finally had the submissions that it needed for the
    Academy to recognize it. The expectations of “TWW” went down with the
    leave of Aaron Sorkin and Thomas Schlamme. When John Welles took over, the
    writing of the show wasn’t as marvelous as the first four seasons and many
    people thought that the show declined from it
    fineness. “Sopranos” won once again, in 2007, for it’s
    second half of the sixth and final season.
                Same thing
    for “Everybody Loves Raymond”. Before it’s first win in 2003, the
    show won a bunch of times for acting (Ray Romano – 1x / Patricia Heaton – 2x /
    Brad Garrett – 2x / Doris Roberts – 3x), but never won for Outstanding Comedy
    Series.
                However, on
    the evening of September 22, 2002, even though Romano, Garrett, and Roberts won
    for the sixth season, “Friends” took home the win for their first
    time for their eight season, along with a win for Jennifer Aniston. I’m
    positive that after “Raymond” took home those three awards, before
    Outstanding Comedy Series was announced, that a bunch of people were thinking
    that “Friends” might not win and “Raymond” might finally
    win … but NO! Both shows had superb seasons and episode submissions, but I
    guess, back then, the Academy seemed to appreciate the acting of
    “Raymond” acting, but not the show as a whole … yet.
                But finally,
    on the evening of September 21, 2003, “Raymond” won the Emmy for it’s
    seventh season with wins for Garrett, Roberts, and writing as well. The reason
    for that win was because “Raymond” finally had the submissions that
    it needed for the Academy to recognize it. It won once again, in 2005, for it’s
    ninth and final season.
                Both of
    those shows went through the same thing before their actual first win and I
    believe that “Breaking Bad’ can do the same as “Sopranos” and
    “Raymond”. Now, with “Mad Men” winning four times and the
    fifth season not looking as excellent as it’s others, it seems like the trophy
    should definitely go to “BB” because it has won four times for acting
    (Bryan Cranston – 3x / Aaron Paul – 1x), it hasn’t won yet, and if it submits
    in the right and appropriate tapes … it will win. I’m basically saying that if
    those other shows didn’t win the top prize for it’s first few years and just
    won a bunch of times in acting categories for a while until it’s eventual win, “BB”
    can do the same exact thing. This season of “BB” does to have
    brilliant tapes and even if “MM” is magnificent in it’s fifth season,
    “MM” won’t have a chance at having an episode comparable to the the
    episodes that “BB” had in it’s fourth season. “MM” will
    certainly not have a “Box Cutter” or a “Face Off”. It’s a
    given fact!
                If Vince
    Gilligan really wants “BB” to win and succeed at this year’s Emmys,
    the six episodes he needs to submit are: “Box Cutter”,
    “Hermanos”, “Salud”, “Crawl Space”, “End
    Times”, and “Face Off”. He not submit any episodes in between
    “Box Cutter” and “Hermanos” because those episodes didn’t
    bring as much impact and intensity as the final four episodes of the season.
                Also, the
    fourth season of “BB” has been been critically acclaimed and has been
    on the top lists of many critics. In addition from receiving universal acclaim
    from critics, the show received a 96% out of 100% on Metacritic, making it the
    highest ranked season of the series. The fourth season of “MM”
    received a 92% out of 100% on Metacritic, making season four their highest
    ranked season of the series as well, and that season of “MM” went on
    to win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series. The fourth season of
    “BB” also won the Writers Guild of America Award for Dramatic Series
    and Episodic Drama. In fact, for the past four years, whenever “MM”
    took home the WGA for Dramatic Series it won the Emmy for Outstanding Drama
    Series, along with three writing wins. Can “BB” do the same thing?
                In addition,
    if Bryan Cranston really wants that fourth Emmy, which he deserves, he needs to
    submit in “Crawl Space” because the episode kept viewers in a vise
    grip of suspense and it basically has Walt running around in the entire episode
    with nerves and fear, starting with Walt’s reaction and fretting over the fact
    that Hank wants him to drive to the laundry station where Walt’s secret meth
    lab is. The expression on Walt’s face is amazing. He later has a scene where he
    goes to Jesse’s house letting Jesse know that Gus will probably try to kill
    him, him being Walt, begging for Jesse to help him out. He then has the scene
    where Walt is held as a hostage in the desert kneeling below Gus listening to
    his threats, with Walt letting Gus know how he feels about Gus’ plans and that
    he knows that he’ll never kill him no matter what with excellent dialogue. The
    next scene shows Walt anxious and jumpy when he goes to Saul’s office letting
    Saul know that he wants the card with the information of the guy that’ll make
    him and his family disappear for good because of the danger that he’s in. And
    then … the final scene of episode shows a desperate Walt discovering that his
    cash stash under the floor of his home has vanished when he needs it the most.
    As he lays there in dirt, he aguishly cries creepily mutating into deranged
    laughter. All I could hear was Cranston’s fourth Emmy being engraved.
                In the
    supporting actor category, Giancarlo Esposito will basically be nominated and
    win for his role as Gus Fring because he had a kind a role that many others
    have won for: An supporting character with a dark past and/or secret, whom
    eventually die, commit suicide, or murdered in an unexpecting, surprising way,
    who are only in at least one or two seasons of the show. As a matter of fact,
    the character of Gus dies in an amazing scene in the finale, “Face
    Off”, leaving the audience in shock. Let’s face it, the Academy loves
    those kinds of roles, and love to recognize and honor those people who have
    portrayed those characters.

    The past winners of that character-type are:

    • Margo Martindale for “Justified” (2011)
    • John Lithgow for “Dexter” (2010)
    • Željko Ivanek for “Damages” (2008)
    • Drea de Matteo for “The Sopranos” (2004)
    • Joe Pantoliano for “The Sopranos”(2003)

                Gus Fring is
    basically the male version of Mags Bennett and has a character as sick and evil
    as Arthur Mitchell. The past winners have won because of episode submissions
    that focus on their character. Esposito, for example, has the perfect, and I
    mean “perfect”, episode that centers on his character and it is
    basically the “Gus episode” of the series: “Hermanos”
               
    “Hermanos” pulled the loose thread a bit more and showed us the once
    unflappable Gus crack. Gus’ strength–in addition to Princeton MBA-grade
    business acumen–has always been his ability to will his sense of control on
    others. No matter what’s going on around him, he’s the proverbial cucumber or
    other side of the pillow, and Gus is on full display in a scene of that episode
    when he’s called in for questioning by Hank and his drug-busting crew. Taking
    heat from all directions, Gus deflects nagging questions of his connection to
    Gale’s murder with gentlemanly poise and convincing alibis. Even though I knew
    better, Esposito was so good he had me believing these new lies as fact.
                But we can
    tell he’s on the brink of something we’ve never seen before: weakness. That
    scene was masterfully edited and directed. It’s cat and mouse all up in here,
    with Hank and the other agents slowly building a case and Gus toppling down
    everything with each calm response. The quick cuts to the agents and back to
    Gus create an atmosphere of gears grinding in everyone’s head, particularly in
    Hank and Gus, making the tension wonderfully uncomfortable. It may have just
    been a bunch of guys sitting around a table on the surface, but it was so much
    more than that inside their heads.
                And then …
    Gus is in an elevator and we see it: The finger twitch as Gus’ world crumbles
    around him. Is he worried? Is he angry? Is he shitting his pants? We hear the
    bells as the elevator passes floors but all we can really think of is the bell
    that Uncle Hector taps, some foreshadowing of the history between the two that
    unfolded years before, the last time that Gus lost control.
                It’s the
    perfect submission for Esposito and is guaranteed to be nominated, with an
    eventual win. It’s a possible category lock because there have been no re-runs
    in this category. I don’t agree at all that Aaron Paul and Peter Dinklage are
    the top dogs in their category, and that they’ll break the streak of no
    re-runs. Esposito needs to submit in “Hermanos” if he really, really
    wants to be nominated and win. He was also recently nominated for a Saturn
    Award for Best Supporting Actor on Television, which Aaron Paul won two years
    ago. The show has also won the Saturn Award for Best Syndicated/Cable
    Television Series in 2009 and 2010, and is nominated again this year, expected
    to win.
                However, if
    Michael Pitt, from “Boardwalk Empire”, submits in the episode
    “Under God’s Power She Flourishes”, the Academy, if they watch it,
    might consider and prefer Pitt’s performance over Esposito. It is an
    Emmy-worthy, tour-de-force performance delivered by Pitt and it is an episode
    all about Jimmy’s emotional and shocking past. It is the perfect episode for
    Pitt’s character and it is basically the “Jimmy episode” of the
    series. He is then shot and killed in cold blood in the next episode, which is
    an advantage for him. This is the only problem for Esposito, that is if Pitt is
    even nominated and submits in that specific episode. And if that is the case,
    Pitt will be Esposito’s biggest competition.

    As for the others:

    • Vince Gilligan: “Box Cutter” (writing) / “Face Off”
    (directing)
    • Anna Gunn (please go supporting): “Open House”
    • Michael Slovis: “Box Cutter” (or “Crawl Space”)
    • Skip MacDonald: “Box Cutter” (or “Face Off”)
    • Aaron Paul: “End Times” (or “Problem Dog”)
    • Adam Bernstein: “Box Cutter”
    • Scott Winant: “Crawl Space”
    • Michelle MacLaren: “Salud”

    Chris Boomer … I am dead serious about everything I wrote and I know that if
    “Breaking Bad” submits in those six exact episodes they will win,
    along with Cranston submitting in “Crawl Space” and Esposito,
    especially, submitting in “Hermanos”. They can do it! It needs to be
    done! Listen to me.

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    blueprint
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    #242617

    Mad Men won’t win again. Even if the season gets better towards the later episodes, it still feels like old news.
    Homeland is the fresh breath of air this category needs and made enough impact to take MM down.

    Bryan Cranston might not repeat as well, I’d say voters like Kelsey Grammer and that kind of performance enough to stop Cranston from winning again.

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    Irishmovielover4ever
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    #242618

    Also to add to your point JSydel, if Aaron Paul submits End Times like he should that will for sure help Giancarlo Esposito win because he has a few scenes in that episode that could help him win especially the last scene of spider scenes when Walt what’s to kill Gus.

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    David Buchanan
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    #242619

    I’ll go out on a limb and say Louis-Dreyfus wins this year.

    Formerly known in the forums as PianoMann.

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    Daniel Montgomery
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    #242620

    I’d say Drama Supporting Actor streak of no repeats has the best chance of ending. Aaron Paul has one or two episodes he could submit that are better than the one he won for. And the “Game of Thrones” season is young yet, so Peter Dinklage might be able to give him a run for his money.

    “Mad Men” could lose. But the show hasn’t lost any of its cool factor, its ratings are up since last season, and there’s no one contender that seems likely to take it out, except maybe “Homeland,” but that’ll depend on how widely embraced it is. “Boardwalk Empire” no longer has that new-show smell, and “Breaking Bad,” which I think is the better show, may be too dark and depressing.

    I don’t think “Daily Show” will lose this year. Cranston has at least one episode that would be his best submission since the pilot (“Crawl Space”), so I wouldn’t bet against him just yet. I could definitely see a new woman winning Comedy Actress (Poehler, Louis-Dreyfus, Dern). Jeff Probst has a lock on the Reality Host category at least until voters start nominating hosts who actually make a significant on-screen contribution to their shows, which doesn’t seem likely.

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