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Which perennial Emmy nominee is at most risk of getting snubbed? (drama)

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Which perennial Emmy nominee is at most risk of getting snubbed? (drama)
Kevin Spacey - House of Cards (4 nominations)
Robin Wright - House of Cards (4 nominations)
Reg E Cathy - House of Cards (3 nominations)
Margo Martindale - The Americans (4 nominations, 2 wins UGH!!)
Claire Danes - Homeland (5 nominations, 2 wins)
  • AayaanUpadhyaya
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    #1201935110

    I know the Emmy awards are long time away, but I was curious about something. Last year, we saw many perennial nominees get rudely snubbed by the Emmys, many of which were complete shockers.

    The likes of Julie Bowen, Christine Baranski, Don Cheadle, Jim Carter and Mayim Bialik, just to name a few, were all snubbed. So my question to you all is, if the pattern continues (which it will), which existing perennial nominee is at the most risk of getting snubbed?

    For the sake of this poll, I’m including only those actors who’ve been nominated more than two times for playing the same character on the same show (so no Jonathan Banks here).

    I personally think we won’t be seeing Andre Braugher anymore. I also think Allison Janney is at a risk.

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    GusCruz
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    #1201935127

    Spacey, Wright and Danes are in. It’s hard to know what will happen with guest stars, though Margo seems to defy common sense.

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    Riley
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    #1201935134

    That Homeland always does so well at the guilds and Lesli Linka Glatter is reaching Tim Van Patten levels of love within her branch makes me think that Claire Danes is not going anywhere. And if she ever does get dropped, she will get a grace period where she gets an extra nomination beyond the series itself, like Dexter, House and 24. Then again, she is the longest-lasting nominee in a stacked category in which all of the incumbent nominees are returning and we have two huge new players in Claire Foy and Evan Rachel Wood.

    There are many reasons to doubt House of Cards. It is an aging show. It has not had the support of the critics in years. It has not been nominated for writing, directing or editing in years. It suffered the second largest acting shutout at the Emmys ever. It has new showrunners, so the entire thing might collapse.

    Margo Martindale has prevailed ludicrously for this role off her popularity under two voting systems and the show is on the rise, so she is safe enough that I am not going to vote for her in this poll.

    I was tempted to vote Reg E. Cathey because I could see him not appearing in the next season of House of Cards at all, but that would not technically be a “snub” then.

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    AayaanUpadhyaya
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    #1201935144

    That Homeland always does so well at the guilds and Lesli Linka Glatter is reaching Tim Van Patten levels of love within her branch makes me think that Claire Danes is not going anywhere. And if she ever does get dropped, she will get a grace period where she gets an extra nomination beyond the series itself, like Dexter, House and 24. Then again, she is the longest-lasting nominee in a stacked category in which all of the incumbent nominees are returning and we have two huge new players in Claire Foy and Evan Rachel Wood.

    There are many reasons to doubt House of Cards. It is an aging show. It has not had the support of the critics in years. It has not been nominated for writing, directing or editing in years. It suffered the second largest acting shutout at the Emmys ever. It has new showrunners, so the entire thing might collapse.

    Margo Martindale has prevailed ludicrously for this role off her popularity under two voting systems and the show is on the rise, so she is safe enough that I am not going to vote for her in this poll.

    I was tempted to vote Reg E. Cathey because I could see him not appearing in the next season of House of Cards at all, but that would not technically be a “snub” then.

    I voted for Margo because ughhh.

    But more realistically, I too don’t see Danes going anywhere thanks to Homeland’s, in my opinion, continued surprising success at all the guilds. And you’re totally right about the grace period rule. She won’t go out before the show does.

    I don’t see Spacey or Cathy going anywhere (if the latter is eligible of course). So that leaves Robin Wright? As you rightfully mentioned, where’s the support for HOC? It never gets writing/directing, actors got badly shut out and critics have given up.

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    AayaanUpadhyaya
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    #1201935145

    Spacey, Wright and Danes are in. It’s hard to know what will happen with guest stars, though Margo seems to defy common sense.

    Not so sure about Wright though.

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    Andrew Carden
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    #1201935193

    I suspect Cathey may finally be done here.

    OSCAR FLASHBACK: HORROR at the Oscars! Chapter II (1960-1979)

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    Nate
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    #1201935200

    Seasons unseen, it is so hard to say, and I was particularly surprised at so many Downton Abbey and The Good Wife performers getting left out for their final seasons, so, between those shows leaving and Game Of Thrones being ineligible, it would likely take a massive drop in quality to see perennials dropped next year. However, if I have to choose 1, I pick Cathey in the always volatile guest actor category.

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    jacob121
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    #1201935229

    Why is everyone so convinced that Spacey’s spot is assured?

    These boards tend to over estimate HOC in general, I saw a lot of people putting it up in second place for drama series this year and even more predicting Spacey to beat Malek which I never considered a likely possibility. They have had opportunities to reward him and have passed. The show is old, it’s two major wins are directing for Fincher (at a time not too long ago when a big Hollywood name was almost a guaranteed win in this category) and Reg E Cathy in guest. That’s a pretty weak track record for a show that is a supposed second place to Game of Thrones.

    If Westworld plays big at the Emmys and they decide to nominate one of the actors (lets say Hopkins) – the race is going to look a little more crowded. Conventional wisdom says Chandler drops out to make room but after Mendehlson’s surprise who knows really what the Emmys relationship with Bloodline really is.

    That’s obviously not to mention what if any number of major players pops up before eligibility is over. Goliath doesn’t look to be hitting very well with critics but it is David E. Kelly and stars Bill Bob Thorton – don’t be surprised when he shows up.

    All this to say, of these choices, I think Spacey is the most vulnerable.

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    GusCruz
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    #1201935270

    Why is everyone so convinced that Spacey’s spot is assured?

    These boards tend to over estimate HOC in general

    He has never missed on a nomination, plus SAG and Globe winner. He’s not vulnerable yet, even if the season bombs, dare I say.

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