October 6, 2011 at 5:05 pm #231594
Mad Men, for sureOctober 6, 2011 at 5:42 pm #231595
The Good Wife
Boardwalk EmpireOctober 6, 2011 at 7:00 pm #231596
Of those mentioned, I would say Glee is the only logical choice. I feel this thread should be for dramatic changes, not one or two less nominations.
I’d like to add The Office. This season has been excellent so far, but I can really see them getting a writing nod and that’s it.
Instead of Boardwalk Empire, I feel Game of Thrones will be the one shut out and decrease heavily. They still have their techs, but they could’ve gotten much more like Mad Men or Boardwalk and didn’t. Clearly there’s still a bias against this type of show.
Boardwalk Empire is tricky because they just got 5 nods from the main categories, everything else was techs and could very easily happen again. As of now, there’s no need to believe they won’t be back for Series, Actor, Sup Actress and one or two directing nods plus writing.
Dexter shouldn’t be on this list, they really don’t get that many anyways. And they usually get techs, so those could still happen even if it’s a so-so season. With Hall and Olmos very likely to get in, they could get three techs and still be in their usual zone.
The Good Wife is a logical choice. Not because of quality but because of competition, maybe Charles, Cumming or Baranski get shut out. However, they could make that up in Guest categories.
Mad Men makes zero sense on this thread. We still don’t know what they’ll do with Betty, so Jones could be back. It could mean Hendricks getting shut out if she goes supporting. Series, Moss, Hamm, Slattery, Writing and Directing could likely happen. With those weird (but deserving) Guest Actress nods, there’s no denying that the Emmys still love them regardless of what they won this year. Plus all those techs that are there until the end.October 6, 2011 at 7:20 pm #231597
Game of Thrones got 4 major noms, Boardwalk got 5 major noms, Mad Men got 10 major noms. Realistically, GoT got as many major noms as it could ,with only Sean Bean as a possibility. None of the other actors were getting in. It’s worth noting that GoT got nominated for acting, directing, and writing, something that Boardwalk and Mad Men failed to do (Boardwalk missed Writing, Mad Men directing). And 9 tech noms is nothing to sneeze at. Also, GoT is the only one of the group to get an acting win thanks to Peter Dinklage, which is significant. Unless GoT tanks in quality and/or ratings, I don’t see its nomination count decreasing.
Dexter, on the other hand, could very well go down in nomination totals. It’s not a lock for Series, and neither for Guest Actor. Yes, Smits, Lithgow, and Stiles made it in (and deservingly so), but the buzz on Hanks and Olmos has been negative, which could hurt them. As for techs, Dexter has missed them before (it received none in season 3). I wouldn’t be surprised to see Hall be the only nomination for Dexter next year.October 6, 2011 at 7:33 pm #231598
Mad Men willl likely receive a few less nods (three guest nominations was probably a fluke), but the decrease won’t be significant. With its semi-surprising Series nod and supporting actor win Game of Thrones is bound to get more love, not less. Maybe one or two more major nominations and around the same amount in tech. The Good Wife’s spots are likely safe. They may be looking at more nods in fact not less. Perhaps one of its supporting actors/actresses gets kicked out but once again, but the drop won’t be anything significant. Glee might see a couple of less nods, but it’s technicals and guest actors (and there will be guest actors) we keep its number around/in the double digits.
‘Boardwalk’ has the potential to see a big drop-off. Dexter could disappear entirely with the exception of Hall. Is The Killing’s season airing before the dealine? That’s likely to get a few less nods.October 6, 2011 at 7:35 pm #231599
As much as I’ve been enjoying the new season of “The Office”, I imagine this will finally be the year they’re dropped from the Series race. In fact, outside of a possible acting nod for Ed Helms or James Spader, I doubt they’ll see much love at all.
“Glee” is probably on a downwards spiral, too. I don’t watch anymore, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the show is eventually dropped from Series, and Jane Lynch ends up becoming the show’s only major nominee.
I think “Mad Men”, “Boardwalk Empire”, “Game of Thrones”, and “The Good Wife” are fairly safe, assuming their current seasons remain on the ball. “Dexter” could go either way (though I feel as if Michael C. Hall will be nominated now until the series ends).October 6, 2011 at 9:20 pm #231600
I would say Glee and The Good Wife.October 6, 2011 at 9:38 pm #231601
Well Boardwalk, Mad Men and Modern Family all got so many this year I guess there’s more room for them to move down then up (although I still expect them to do well).
I’d agree that Glee will continue it’s downward projectory.
30 Rock has gone 2 years without any wins so it will be interesting to see if that will translate into a drop-off in nominations. The Office only got 4 nominations this year, however without Steve Carell that could suffer a drop too.October 7, 2011 at 4:57 am #231602
Glee. I expect the show to get kicked out of Comedy Series and Colfer to be dropped. Since there won’t be any guest players this season, as I heard, those 3 nominations will be gone too. They will stay in some tech categories and Lynch will be the sole major nod.
Mad Men. Sure we don’t know anything about the season yet, but as I metioned in another thread already I see both Hendricks and Slattery out. Slattery has never been the frontrunner and strong force people made him to be, and if you think about it 2 nominations seem very appropriate for Hendricks.
Boarwalk Empire. Unfortunately it will most likely return in Drama Series, but they will lose at least one directing nod. Also I don’t think Buscemi and MacDonald are locks to return.
The Office. As others said this will be the year they will finally be dropped from Comedy Series. Writing seems unlikely as well, but I wouldn’t call them out.