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Who can overcome vote splitting?

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  • jf123
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    #1202150982

    There are 16 cases where a nominee is nominated up against at least one other person from there show in the acting categories. Who can overcome the vote splitting?

    They are:

    Sterling K Brown and Milo Ventimiglia in Lead Actor in a Drama Series
    Jane Fonda and Lily Tomlin in Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
    John Tuturro and Riz Ahmed in Lead Actor in a Limited Series or Movie
    Jessica Lange and Susan Sarandon in Lead Actress in a Limited Series or Movie
    Tony Hale and Matt Walsh in Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series
    Kathryn Hahn and Judith Light in Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series
    Leslie Jones, Kate McKinnon, and Vanessa Bayer in Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series
    Ann Dowd and Samira Wiley in Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
    Alfred Molina and Stanley Tucci in Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie
    Michael Kenneth Williams and Bill Camp in Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie
    Judy Davis and Jackie Hoffman in Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie
    Shailene Woodley and Laura Dern in Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie
    Dennis OHare, Brian Tyree Henry, and Gerald McRaney for Guest Actor in a Drama Series
    Kristen Wiig and Melissa McCarthy for Guest Actress in a Comedy Series
    Riz Ahmed and Matthew Rhys for Guest Actor in a Comedy Series
    Tom Hanks, Lin Manuel Miranda, and Dave Chapelle for Guest Actor in a Comedy Series

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    kancov
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    #1202151000

    I think McKinnon can overcome vote-splitting. The tape can help her a lot and she will definitely have a better tape than the other two.

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    Anonymous
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    #1202151013

    1) Nicole Kidman

    2) Riz Ahmed

    3) Dave Chappell

    4) Judith Light

    5) Kate McKinno

    6) Michael K Williams

    7) Jessica Lange

    8)  Sterling K Brown

    9) Shaliene Woodley

    10) Judy Davis

    11) Alfred Molina

    12) Gerald McRaney

    13) Tony Hale

    14) Matthew Rhys

    15) Samira Wiley

    16) Lilly Tomlin

     

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    Teridax
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    #1202151044

    1) Nicole Kidman

    2) Riz Ahmed

    3) Tom Hanks

    5) Kate McKinnon

    6) Michael K Williams

    8) Sterling K Brown

    9) Laura Dern

    10) Judy Davis

    11) Alfred Molina

    12) Gerald McRaney

    13) Tony Hale

    14) Matthew Rhys

    I changed a removed a couple of @Hunterbergfeld’s, but these generally look right to me.

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    leothescorpio
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    #1202151064

    1. Jessica Lange + Riz Ahmed
    2. Kate McKinnon
    3. Michael K. Williams (Please Gawd!)
    4. Sterling K. Brown

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    Madson Melo
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    #1202151067

    Kidman can’t.

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    AayaanUpadhyaya
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    #1202151103

    In my opinion, Nicole Kidman, Judith Light, Shailene Woodley, Kate McKinnon, Gerald McRaney (weak co-stars) and Samira Wiley (Orange is the New Black boost) can all overcome vote-splitting to win.

    I don’t see anyone else nominated with a co-star having any shot at winning, and that includes Sterling Brown.

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    pulp50
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    #1202151105

    Ahmed, Brown (the fact I have to name him, just wow, wtf), McRaney, McCarthy, maybe Molina, Davis, and Dern.

    I’m not sure about McKinnon, overcoming one, okay, but two? Idk about that. I don’t really think Light can overcome vote splitting with Hahn though, and I think Chlumsky shouldn’t be a major factor since she didn’t do much this season. She’s overdue though and they still love veep, so I can see vote splitting helping her get a win for her weakest season.

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    Mihael Crncec
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    #1202151106

    Jessica Lange, Kate McKinnon, Melissa McCarthy will most likely overcome it.

    Sterling K. Brown, Gerald McRaney, Riz Ahmed (Movie/Mini Actor) Judith Light, Laura Dern and Judy Davis could very possibly overcome vote-splitting.

    Michael K. Williams and Bill Camp, the SNL fellows, Ann Dowd and Samira Wiley, Jane Fonda and Lily Tomlin don’t really have a chance, I think.

    But I’ll tell you who can’t overcome it – Stanley Tucci and Alfred Molina. There’s not a clear favorite. I just don’t know whom to predict instead of them.

    Gold Derby TV Awards FYC: Gilmore Girls: A Year in the Life - Limited Series, Movie/Mini Actress (Lauren Graham), Movie/Mini Supp. Actress (Kelly Bishop)

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    Madson Melo
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    #1202151250

    The fact that some say Dern and some say Woodley really shows that they can’t overcome this, let’s all predict a third straight win to miss King.

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    pulp50
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    #1202151251

    The fact that some say Dern and some say Woodley really shows that they can’t overcome this, let’s all predict a third straight win to miss King.

    That’s what I’m doing.

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    pulp50
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    #1202151256

    Jessica Lange, Kate McKinnon, Melissa McCarthy will most likely overcome it.

    Sterling K. Brown, Gerald McRaney, Riz Ahmed (Movie/Mini Actor) Judith Light, Laura Dern and Judy Davis could very possibly overcome vote-splitting.

    Michael K. Williams and Bill Camp, the SNL fellows, Ann Dowd and Samira Wiley, Jane Fonda and Lily Tomlin don’t really have a chance, I think.

    But I’ll tell you who can’t overcome it – Stanley Tucci and Alfred Molina. There’s not a clear favorite. I just don’t know whom to predict instead of them.

    I think Molina can overcome it. Tucci had a very small role, Molina had a lot more emotional stuff to do and his own storyline.

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    AayaanUpadhyaya
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    #1202151296

    I really am in a fix over McKinnon. Part of me feels like she should easily glide herself to a victory seeing just how great she was this year and looking at the love SNL got by the Academy. But then, no one was anticipating Leslie Jones AND Vanessa Bayer to get in. And we shouldn’t underestimate these two – Jones has had a lot of buzz recently, as well as loads of goodwill after what she went through last year. And this is Bayer’s farewell/goodbye season, and something tells me the Academy is aware of that.

    I just know this will keep driving me insane till the Creative Arts give me some hints.

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    Andrew Carden
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    #1202151301

    I have a bad feeling Tucci could win on sheer name rec…

    OSCAR FLASHBACK: 20 Years of Streep (2014) – Into the Woods

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    JoeyJ
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    #1202151370

    Is anyone but close friends really gonna vote for Leslie Jones or Vanessa Bayer over McKinnon in supporting actress? If you combined Down and Wiley’s vote would they even come even close to Newton. And Brian Tyree Henry and Dennis O’hare had such minor parts in This Is Us,the nom is really the win for them and McRaney is the favorite.

    Woodley/Dern and Davis/Hoffman in Limited Series is the only case where vote splitting could hurt as every other category their is a clear more acclaimed probable winner or no one is in contention.

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