October 6, 2011 at 1:55 am #231178
I know it’s early and we havn’t seen many shows so this conversation will evolve over time. Mad Men is staring down a record 5th straight drama series win next year. What shows are best positioned to take it down next year?
Breaking Bad: Has had a really strong season which has earnt huge critical praise. The show has also been really sucesfull in acting categories in recent years with Bryan Cranston being undefeated for the shows first 3 seasons and Aaron Paul winning last time. However with the season almost in the can will voters forget how awsome it was and is the show to dark and gritty to win?
Boardwalk Empire: Sweeping the creative arts emmys this year it was probably one of Mad Men’s biggest competitors for the top prize. Although timing may be an issue for Boardwalk and it didn’t seem to have the passion this year to translate into any major wins outside of directing.
The Good Wife: It will again likley be the network show of the bunch and with a strong season could be the clear alternative.
Damages: A strong fourth season, however perhaps will struggle to get buzz over the AMC and HBO shows.
Game of Thrones: If it has an even better season this year, perhaps it could build buzz (although at the Oscars it took Lord of the Rings’ 3 times to win).
Aaron Sorkin Project: We don’t know the name, I’m not sure when it will start but there’s a chance that Sorkin has come back to TV just in time to stop Mad Men from overtaking his past show’s number of drama series wins.
Other: What have I left out?October 6, 2011 at 3:59 am #231180
At this point, it seems to be Breaking Bad, especially if season 5 airs during the voting process.
Homeland has a very strong start, it sure looks promising enough to be one of the top 6.
And what about Boss? Even if the show turns out to be that good, the fact that the show is on Starz instead of AMC or HBO may not help much.October 6, 2011 at 4:58 am #231181
Aside from Homeland, there’s also Luck. It’s speculative, but it’s got Dustin Hoffman, so…
I don’t think Game of Thrones can win, it’s already huge that it’s nominated, so let’s not get ahead of ourselves. I don’t think Emmy voters are ready to make a fantasy show win just yet.
I’d say Mad Men is still the favorite though, supposing that the fifth season is on par with what they did until there, just because of inertia. And also, it’s fine by me : I think they truly deserved it this year and even if it turns out season 5 is not as good as Breaking Bad, Homeland, Boardwalk or Luck, it probably won’t be an outrage.October 6, 2011 at 5:26 am #231182
As far as the returning dramas go I can’t imagine any of them beating MM except Breaking Bad and Game of Thrones. Nothing else has the right amount of voter (snob) appeal and acclaim. If BB can air the entirety of its remaining episodes before the voting deadline then it’ll have a decent chance. ‘Thrones’ had a surprising breakthrough this year, but the voting format works against such episodic shows. Its second season will need to be even more acclaimed and hyped.
This was ‘Boardwalk’s only year to win. It didn’t happen this year, so it’s not gonna happen. The Good Wife and Damages can only win acting categories. Series is out of the question for both. Dexter may not even be nominated.
As far as the new shows go Homeland started out well. I don’t see it getting enough support to win Series unless this season receives overwhelming acclaim. If Luck is as wonderfully odd as Deadwood then it doesn’t have much of chance.
So right now I’m thinking Breaking Bad, Game of Thrones and Homeland are the only shows that can take down Mad Men.October 6, 2011 at 6:40 am #231183
While I’m trying to avoid being bias, I can honestly say that Breaking Bad has the best shot thus far this season. Not only has it had a killer fourth season — critically acclaimed and what-not — but I think that voters are beginning to love it more and more. Remember year one, when the show won for Editing and Cranston’s performance. Next year, the entire series was nominated. Season 3 brought in several nods, with both Cranston and Paul going home with trophies. My point is, the series is gaining voter noteriety; it is gaining momentum, rather than experiencing the gradual decline that other shows have. Plus, Vince Gilligan has worked in television for a very long time. I don’t know if voters take that sort of thing into consideration, but when they realize he’s Emmy-less (versus Weiner, whose mantle is full at this point), that might provide the last bit of oomph that the show needs. Let’s face it, it’s still one of the best watercooler shows on television.October 6, 2011 at 6:43 am #231184
I wonder if all the contract negotiation hoopla will work against Mad Men next season? Sometimes that sort of public battle turns voters off.
On the other hand, if new episodes don’t start airing until March, which is a possibility, then the season will end just prior to ballots going out. If the season is strong, that could be an advantage.October 6, 2011 at 11:14 am #231185
Breaking Bad is the only option right now. And this is assuming that Mad Men doesn’t do very good in it’s fifth season. This is definitely a show that can pull off a 5th consecutive win and hold the record. Many will disagree, but even with all those embarrassing losses this year, they still managed the 4th win.
Breaking Bad certainly has the year where it seems important enough, big enough, loved enough. And they proved they love the show with those Cranston Emmys and Paul too. Game of Thrones won’t be it, none of the new shows are it either, I guess we’ll have to wait to see if Luck, Hell on Wheels or House of Cards (is that the name?) are huge breakouts. If not, then it’s Breaking Bad vs. Mad Men. I think The Good Wife will always be too light to win, even though it deserves to.October 6, 2011 at 11:29 am #231186
I definally have Breaking Bad for 2012!!!!October 6, 2011 at 1:27 pm #231187
If Mad Men’s season sucks, I don’t see how Breaking Bad loses it.October 6, 2011 at 3:09 pm #231188
Mad Men’s gonna be tough to beat, but for what there is, Homeland and Breaking Bad have the best shots.October 6, 2011 at 4:15 pm #231189
I was thinking an apt comparison might be what snapped the four-year streak (2000-03) of “The West Wing” and it was “The Sopranos” finally breaking through on its fifth of seven eventual nominations. (The next two years “TWW” saw the Emmy go to “Lost” and “24.”)
If I remember correctly, the bloom was off the rose for “TWW” and critics had been gnashing their teeth over “Sopranos” not receiving its due. I suppose we could see a repeat scenario with some kind of consensus building behind the idea that “Mad Men” has been justly rewarded and to give attention to “Breaking Bad” instead.October 6, 2011 at 4:59 pm #231190
It is going to be hard for me to live in a world where Breaking Bad doesn’t win a best series Emmy considering it has been the best show on TV for the past 3/4 years now. This year it has to happen.October 6, 2011 at 5:07 pm #231191
BREAKING BAD, yo. It’s time, plus it deserves to win. Mad Men will have to be freaking phenomenal to top BB’s most excellent fourth season.October 6, 2011 at 5:40 pm #231192
Breaking Bad is the only respectable choice. Game of Thrones will never win no matter how good it gets.October 6, 2011 at 6:22 pm #231193
Breaking Bad probably has the best shot of taking down Mad Men. However, if Game of Thrones keeps getting better, then I can see it winning . Lord of the Rings broke down the fantasy barrier at the Oscars, and I can see Game of Thrones doing the same for the Emmys.