July 6, 2015 at 3:54 pm #352445
Remember back in 2012 when “Downton Abbey” moved across fromt he TV Movie/Miniseries categories tot he Drama series categories, and many of us were expecting a sizeable haul of Emmy nominations, but nothing like the crazy out-of-left-field supporting actor choices like Brendan Coyle and especially Jim Carter (who went on to be nominated two more times and could return again as a nominee this year)?
Emmy voters went ga-ga for “Downton Abbey” that year (at least when nominating it), and brought along a bunch of its acclaimed supporting actors for the ride.
Who might that shock contender be this year? The rules of this particular game are:
– On a new Show, or a show that is newly eligible in the category, or on a show that may be resurgent due to buzz or sentiment;
– The show is expected to be a big player at the Emmys, but not necessarily for all of the supporting cast;
– It makes sense because this person was a standout, but not many of us saw it coming because we don’t believe in the Emmy voters enough.
Here’s my five “We Love the Show, So You Get a Nomination Too” picks:
Gaby Hoffman – “Transparent”
Yael Stone – “Orange is the New Black”
Michael McKean – “Better Call Saul”
Jussie Smollett – “Empire”
Tony Shalhoub – “Nurse Jackie”
What are yours???July 6, 2015 at 4:25 pm #352447
I think Yael Stone could be a possibility. Michael McKean has a few stand out episodes but I don’t know if they will go for 2 Saul men in the Supporting category. Carrie Brownstein is a possibility for Portlandia and Andy Samberg could pull off an Actor nom for Brooklyn Nine Nine. If The Affair does well, Maura Tiennery and Joshua Jackson could pull off Supporting nomsJuly 6, 2015 at 4:53 pm #352448
In drama supporting actor I have two. Joe Morton and Kit Harrington. I currently have Carrie Brownstein in my comedy supporting actress predictions.July 6, 2015 at 5:10 pm #352449
If Jane does anything beyond Gina then I could see Jaime Camil picking up an out of nowhere nomination in supporting comedy actor. That category needs some excitement and they were so desparate for nominees last year that they went with Fred Armisen.
Yael Stone would be extremely deserved but I’m not sure that I see her getting in ahead of Mulgrew, Aduba, and Toussaint.
On the drama side, if they decide to strongly embrace Bloodline (doubtful) Cardellini could get a surprise nom since she is a past nominee. Ditto for Tierney and the Affair.
Not quite the parameters you laid out, but I feel like people on these boards are seriously underestimating the Rock for Comedy Guest Actor for hosting SNL. He is coming off of an extremely hot year and is starring in a brand new HBO show.July 6, 2015 at 5:32 pm #352450
Looks like I can’t vote for Christopher Eccleston :-(. It’s now or never time for Kit Harrington, so I’ll pick him.July 8, 2015 at 6:37 pm #352451
I would love to predict Yael Stone, but the problem is she’s in a very crowded category (2 Bloodline actresses + 2 Mad Men actresses + 2 Game of Thrones actresses + 2 The Good Wife actresses + 2 Downton Abbey actresses + 3 The Leftovers actresses), not to mention she’s up against 3 of her own costars, one who’s won an Emmy (Uzo Aduba, Guest Actress Comedy), one who’s been Emmy nominated (Kate Mulgrew, Supporting Actress), and Lorraine Touissaint, an acclaimed actress who’s fresh off of a win at the Critics Choice TV Awards. Should Stone get the nomination – and if she did, I would rank her performance in “A Whole Other Hole” over the best episodes of the other three – that would mean this category contained four actresses from Orange is the New Black, and I just don’t see that happening. I hope I’m wrong.
I’m going to also give my out-of-left-field nominee to Kit Harrington. He would have likely gotten a Critics Choice TV nom if they hadn’t voted so early. But unfortunately, he’s going into the Emmy race without a solo nomination anywhere. Even if he gets in, I don’t see him beating Jonathan Banks or Ben Mendelsohn, but it’ll still be nice to see him get recognotion. Perennial nominee and costar, Peter Dinklage, doesn’t have a single episode to submit for season 5, so I’m okay with Harrington taking his spot.July 8, 2015 at 7:06 pm #352452
I definitely see something happening like this in supporting comedy actor IE Silicon Valley breaks out and in addition to TJ Miller who many are predicting Zack Woods lands to. And Jamie Camil is such a great scene stealer if Gina Rodriguez and Jane The Virgin get in for series I feel like he will too. And if Parks has a nostalgia wave leading it to writing,directing noms + Poehler that breakout movie star Chris Pratt someone gets nommed too.
Another one is Paul Giamatti and John Hawkes,if Inside Amy Schumer has a breakout Emmy year I could not only see one of those guys not just getting in but absolutely winning in guest actor for the hilarious 12 Angy Men Inside Amy Schumer episode.
Also in the barren lead actor category if Blackish or Brooklyn 9-9 has a suprising showing here Anderson or Sandberg getting it seems possible.
And I feel like if Emmy voters actually watch Transparent and like it enough to put it in Comedy Series and nab a writing or directing nom I feel like Gaby Hoffman or Amy Landecker will 100% nab a supporting actress nom as their roles are just that much more interesting then Judith Light who many are just assuming will get a namecheck nomJuly 8, 2015 at 7:47 pm #352453
Another one is Paul Giamatti and John Hawkes,if Inside Amy Schumer has a breakout Emmy year I could not only see one of those guys not just getting in but absolutely winning in guest actor for the hilarious 12 Angy Men Inside Amy Schumer episode
I’m actually currently predicting Giamatti to get in with his pedigree and name recognition (I mean, they nominated him for his nothing turn on Downton). Also he was pretty hilarious in the standout episode of a standout season. After the voters slotted in Buscemi for Portlandia last year, I think that Giamatti’s nomination is all but certain. I would love for Josh Charles to pop up as well but I think that would be pushing it!July 8, 2015 at 8:05 pm #352454
What about Kumail Nanjiani in Silicon Valley? Even a possibility?July 8, 2015 at 11:34 pm #352455
Michael McKeanÂ – “Better Call Saul”. I found his performance was overall a bit more fully explored than Jonathan Banks.July 9, 2015 at 6:49 am #352456
I agree with Jaime Camil & Kit Harington. Since Empire will probably dominate original music+lyrics and other technical categories, I can see Jussie Smollett sneaking into Supporting Actor to join Henson & Howard in the acting categories. (Although Trai Byers had the better performance of the two)July 9, 2015 at 8:39 am #352457
I could see TJ Miller getting in for Silicon Valley. He (and the show) have gotten a lot more love this year.
Carrie Coon for The Leftovers.
Maura Tierney for The Affair. She has a few stellar episodes. I personally think she’s more deservin than Dominic West.
If voters really love Transparent, they could throw Gaby Hoffman a nom in addition to Judith Light.
^Same goes for Better Call Saul. In my opinion, Michael McKean was equally good as Jonathan Banks and had more material to work with rather than one phenomenal episode.July 9, 2015 at 8:44 am #352458
Question: Who might be the out-of-left-field ‘Jim Carter’ supporting nominee this year?
Answer: Jim Carter.
That dude just keeps getting nominated…July 14, 2015 at 12:26 pm #352459
I wouldn’t be the least bit suprised if Jussie Smollett gets nominated for Empire. There is such buzz around this show I can see it overpeforming at nominations. I don’t think it can win any major awards besides Taraji P. Henson but he poses a real threat to getting in there. Just not bold enought to put him in my six.