Who will be the Amy Adams of the Emmys?

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Who will be the Amy Adams of the Emmys?
Aziz Ansari
Ty Burrell
Claire Danes
Ellie Kemper
Thomas Middleditch
Bob Odenkirk
Kevin Spacey
Evan Rachel Wood
Carrie Coon or Justin Theroux
Matthew Rhys or Keri Russell
  • Profile photo of RileyRiley
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    #1202122887

    We all have Master of None and Silicon Valley predicted for series and pretty much everyone on Gold Derby has the same six for comedy lead actor, but we have a couple of wildcards in the race that could shake things up: Hank Azaria in Brockmire and Neil Patrick Harris in A Series of Unfortunate Events.  If one or both of them get in, someone is going to have to miss, which creates the possibility of either Master of None or Silicon Valley getting nominated without their lead.  Aziz Ansari was his show’s only acting nomination last season, plus visibility might be an issue this year with his show’s late release.  Thomas Middleditch is only one for three, so he is no lock.

    Ellie Kemper was the correct answer to this question two years ago, so who is to say that history does not repeat itself?

    Hypothetically, The Crown, Stranger Things and Westworld could be our “only” new shows nominated for best drama, replacing Downton Abbey, Game of Thrones and Mr. Robot, so Homeland could keep its slot.  But if Claire Foy, Elisabeth Moss and Evan Rachel Wood simultaneously enter drama lead actress, they would push out two of last year’s nominees, as only Tatiana  Maslany is ineligible.  So this is the scenario in which Homeland is nominated without Claire Danes.

    Westworld is a lock for series, but Evan Rachel Wood is not a lock for lead actress.  Westworld is supposed to be the successor to Game of Thrones, which won supporting for its first season, while its lead was snubbed.  We already know the industry thinks that Thandie Newton overshadowed Wood per the SAG nominations.  It does not help that Westworld is such an ensemble show.  If nominated and regardless of the competition, Wood will surely be the most supporting of the lead nominees.

    Bob Odenkirk has no votes, but it already happened at the guilds.  Better Call Saul was nominated by PGA, WGA, ACE, etc., but Odenkirk was snubbed at SAG, which nobody really saw coming and I think people have forgotten actually.  Is the acting branch even watching the show?  Why have they snubbed Rhea Seehorn, Michael McKean and Raymond Cruz?  Why has Jonathan Banks been unable to win under two popularity-based voting systems?  SAG nominating Odenkirk for the first season was strange, given how behind they often are, but it was even stranger that they dropped him so fast.  This is the group that nominated Steve Buscemi all five seasons of Boardwalk Empire.  Who was the last person in the category to get immediately nominated, then snubbed the next year?  Patrick J. Adams, who did not get an Emmy nomination.  Before him: Patrick Dempsey, who did not get an Emmy nomination.

    I voted Kevin Spacey.  Hard to tell what to make of House of Cards this year, but I have both the series and Spacey in about seventh, which means that it is getting nominated in the category with seven slots and snubbed in the one with six.  (I am not predicting The Crown, Stranger Things or Westworld in lead actor, but my top three there are Rami Malek, Sterling K. Brown and Kyle Chandler, so it evens out.)

    Neither The Americans nor The Leftovers has enough of a track record for it to be too shocking if the show gets nominated, but there is not enough space for a lead, particularly with the plausible conspiracy theories that voters do not watch the shows and only vote for them out of guilt.

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    Profile photo of Jeremy JohnstonIcky
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    #1202122979

    ERW was passed over for her cast-member at the SAGs. The show seems to have lost a bit of its buzz throughout the months. It’s considered an ensemble show. It’s a new genre show. And most importantly, drama lead actress is as tight as it’s ever been and with more Emmy friendly performances and names. Woods is the definition of a maybe/probably I guess nod.

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    Profile photo of kancovkancov
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    #1202122994

    Lot of confusion here, so my bad. I mostly meant a show getting a series nomination, but its lead missing. Asking who will be this year’s Ellie Kemper of 2015 might have been clearer. Not saying that all shows get their leads nominated, but I feel that the people in the poll are generally expected to get nominated with their series. I disagree that only first-year shows should be eligible.

    I’m going with Wood, since Westworld will definitely be nominated. On the other hand, The Leftovers isn’t considered to break into the Drama Series category and that’s not the question.

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    Profile photo of Marcus SnowdenMarcus Snowden (The Artist Formerly Known as msnowden1)
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    #1202122996

    But Foy and Moss aren’t getting snubbed while their shows get into series.

    Moss won’t, the Emmys love nominating her too damn much. As for Foy, she did get snubbed for her breakout role in Wolf Hall, but her SAG win convinces me that she is a lock for a nomination at the very least.

    I will be very surprised if Foy doesn’t end up winning the Emmy on the big night. She is arguably the biggest lock of the entire show.

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    Profile photo of Marcus SnowdenMarcus Snowden (The Artist Formerly Known as msnowden1)
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    #1202122997

    I’m saying ERW will miss out. Drama Lead Actress is a bloodbath this year with Foy as the frontrunner, Wright always having a possibility to win and Davis being the person that the Emmys love.

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    Profile photo of BeeBee
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    #1202123007

    The Arrival not being seen as an “actor’s movie” hurt Adams, who was never a shoo-in for a nod to begin with.

    Adams was a total shoo in. I believe she was either the first or one of only about 2 or 3 actors ever who got SAG, CC, GG, and Bafta nominations without getting an Oscar nom. It was one of the biggest snubs of all time. It’s probable that she split votes with herself with Nocturnal Animals.

    I was surprised myself but she didn’t get nominated because a), the performance is internal and b) she is seen as a coattail actress for the Academy. She didn’t split no votes with Nocturnal Animals because nobody was checking for her in that movie. She just didn’t have enough #1 votes. Ruth Negga just had the upper hand as far as passion votes go. But the Adams family didn’t wanna listen and instead wallowed into the delusion that she could have possibly won for that role.

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    Profile photo of Andy Macca McGawAndy Macca McGaw
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    #1202123021

    The point is only Foy or Moss’ snubs would be comparable to Adams and only if their shows receive a hefty amount of major nominations otherwise.

    Well aren’t they? The Crown will be competing against Westworld for most nominations for a series this year, and Handmaid’s Tale will probably get a decent amount too; so their shows will probably be receiving a hefty amount of nominations, just like Arrival.

    Ultimately I think it is still too early to predict who will be the Amy Adams of this year. I think by end of June/start of July we will start to see who it could be.

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    Profile photo of AtypicalAtypical
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    #1202123040

    The only who really applies in the poll is Evan Rachel Wood, so I voted for her.

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    Profile photo of Andrew William DubayAWDubay1986
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    #1202123139

    Yea i agree i dont think the poll makes alot of sense …

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    JoeyJ
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    #1202125464

    Ansari is the face of his show,so if he is snubbed Master Of None would probably take a hit across the board.It would be like Louie CK not being nommed with Louie in for Series. Him being Adams’ed is the least likely scenario.
    I am going with Kemper agaain. Unbreakable KS imo could realistically end up making top 7 in Comedy with Burgess as the only other nom.

    I have Kemper in 5th after Dreyfus,Janney,Ross and Tomlin, but 2 from the group of Critic’s Fave Waller-Bridge,Minnie Driver,Jane Fonda,Parker,Rachel Bloom and Issa Rae leapfrogging ahead of her would not surprise me.

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    Profile photo of Joejf123
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    #1202125915

    Voted for Danes because I still think Homeland could pop back into series.

    Ansari is the face of his show,so if he is snubbed Master Of None would probably take a hit across the board.It would be like Louie CK not being nommed with Louie in for Series. Him being Adams’ed is the least likely scenario.

    An Ansari snub wouldn’t surprise me though, because the general consensus (at least from what Ive seen) is that CK was a significantly better actor

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    Profile photo of pulp50pulp50
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    #1202126086

    Come on, CK can’t act.

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    Profile photo of Joejf123
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    #1202126579

    Come on, CK can’t act.

    Did you watch Horace and Pete last year?

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    Profile photo of pulp50pulp50
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    #1202126588

    Did you watch Horace and Pete last year?

    Yes, I don’t watch Louie though.

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