April 14, 2015 at 3:49 am #346595
It’s been 11 years since Robin Weigers got a shocking nomination in Supporting Actress Drama for Deadwood, but we still cite it as the completely out of nowhere nom. It can mean different things, as it can mean relative unknown getting a major nomination and/or well known getting a surprise nom.
My pick for who will be out-of-nowhere shock of nomination day is… Alfre Woodard for State of Affairs.
Hear me out– This is way less likely to happen now that the ladies of Orange is the New Black are in Drama. But not predicting Alfre Woodard at the Emmys is as insane as not predicting Maggie Smith or Ellen Burstyn. Translation: If they’re on the Emmy ballot, they’re getting in. Period. Even though Woodard’s series isn’t exactly a success. That still hasn’t stopped Emmy magnets from getting in. Remember Stockard Channing for Out of Practice? And she ironically had, like, the second best episode of the nominees.
Woodard has four wins and 17 nominations, starting in 1984 (winning Supporting Actress Drama for Hill Street Blues) until her most recent in 2013 (Supporting Actress Miniseries/Telefilm for Steel Magnolias, losing to Ellen Burstyn for Political Animals). Woodard’s other three wins were in 1987 for Guest Actress Drama for L.A. Law, her career-best Oscar worthy performance in 1997 for Lead Actress Miniseries/Telefilm for Miss Evers’ Boys, and her most recent win in 2003 for Guest Actress Drama for The Practice. Let us also remember that True Blood has one single acting nomination – no, not the Oscar winning lead, Anna Paquin, who had been previously Emmy nominated plus won a Globe for True Blood – and it was in Guest Actress Drama for… Alfre Woodard.
Like I said, now that Orange is the New Black has moved to Drama, that changes everything. I actually have two of the ladies getting in, Uzo Aduba and Lourraine Touissaint, while I’m debating the other spot between Woodard, Kate Mulgrew, and Elisabeth Moss (we never know which category she will submit).
The other thing about Woodard is should she get in, it would be a head-slapping moment for me, wondering, “How in the world did I not even see this happening? It was a no-brainer.”
Who makes your list?
Past Robin Weigert Noms (If I miss any, feel free to add them)
– Supporting Actor Comedy: Fred Armisen, Portlandia
– Supporting Actress Comedy: Kate McKinnon, SNL
– Guest Actor Comedy: Steve Buscemi, Portlandia
– Lead Actress Mini/TV-Movie: Kristen Wiig, The Spoils of Babylon
– Supporting Actor Mini/TV-Movie: John Benjamin Hickey, The Big C
– Guest Actor Drama: Jason Ritter, Parenthood
– Supporting Actress Comedy: Merritt Wever, Nurse Jackie
– Lead Actress Mini/TV-Movie: Ashley Judd, Missing
– Lead Actress Mini/TV-Movie: Emma Thompson, The Song of Lunch
– Guest Actress Drama: Alfre Woodard, True Blood
– Guest Actor Comedy: Idris Elba, The Big C
– Lead Actor Drama: Kyle Chandler, Friday Night Lights
– Lead Actress Drama: Connie Britton, Friday Night Lights
– Supporting Actor Drama: Andre Braugher, Men of a Certain Age
– Supporting Actress Drama: Sharon Gless, Burn Notice
*Supporting Actress Drama: Archie Panjabi, The Good Wife
– Guest Actress Drama: Elizabeth Mitchell, Lost
– Lead Actor Mini/TV-Movie: Jeff Bridges, A Dog Year
*Supporting Actress Drama: Cherry Jones, 24
– Guess Actress Drama: CCH Pounder, The No. 1 Ladies Detective Agency
– Lead Actor Comedy: Jermaine Clement, Flight of the Conchords
– Lead Actress Comedy: Sarah Silverman, The Sarah Silverman Program
– Guest Actor Drama: Oliver Platt, Nip/Tuck
– Guest Actress Drama: Sharon Gless, Nip/Tuck
*Supporting Actress Comedy: Jean Smart, Samantha Who?
– Supporting Actress Mini/TV-Movie: Alfre Woodard, Pictures of Hollis Woods
– Supporting Actor Drama: Masi Oka, Heroes
*Supporting Actress Drama: Katherine Heigl, Grey’s Anatomy
*Guest Actor Drama: John Goodman, Studio 60 on the Sunset Strip
– Guest Actor Drama: Eli Wallach, Studio 60 on the Sunset Strip
– Lead Actor Drama: Christopher Meloni, Law & Order: SVU
– Lead Actor Comedy: Kevin James, The King of Queens
– Lead Actress Comedy: Stockard Channing, Out of Practice
– Supporting Actress Mini/TV-Movie: Ellen Burstyn, Mrs. Harris
*Lead Actress Drama: Patricia Arquette, Medium
– Supporting Actor Drama: Naveen Andrews, Lost
– Guest Actor Drama: Ossie Davis, The L Word
– Guest Actress Drama: Jill Clayburgh: Nip/Tuck
– Supporting Actress Comedy: Conchata Ferrell, Two and a Half Men
– Supporting Actor Drama: Brad Dourif, Deadwood
– Supporting Actress Drama: Robin Weigert, Deadwood
– Guest Actor Drama: James Earl Jones, Everwood
– Lead Actress Comedy: Bonnie Hunt, Life with BonnieApril 14, 2015 at 4:27 am #346597
What I would love to see happen is Maura Tierney getting into the Best Supporting Actress – Drama category for The Affair.
For me, she is the best thing about it, and while Wilson & West are both getting predicted to break into the lead acting categories, Tierney should get in too. She has been nominated before in this category for ER, and would be great to see her back in this race.
Uzo Aduba, and from what I’ve heard some of the GoT cast say, Lena Headey could both have strong tapes to win this award. Tierney also has the capability in her performance to possibly threaten a win, but needs to get in with a nod first. As for the rest of the predicted nominees, while they are good, they haven’t got the story in their seasons this year to warrant a nomination ahead of Maura Tierney. For me, Christine Baranski (of the 11 episodes aired in the UK so far), Maggie Smith, Christina Hendricks (thus far – only Episode 1 has aired so far in the UK), Sissy Spacek (I am only three episodes into Bloodline), Kate Mulgrew, Joanne Froggatt and Lorraine Toussaint are all good, but not great enough (yet, in some cases) to get in ahead of Maura Tierney.
If the Emmys are truly based on talent within a given season, rather than voting for the same performances year in, year out, out of box-ticking boredom, then Maura Tierney fully deserves a place on the Drama Supporting Actress nominations list.
April 14, 2015 at 8:27 am #346598
Would Masi Oka count as out of nowhere? He did receive a Golden Globe nod that year.April 14, 2015 at 8:52 am #346599
2006 had a lot of surprise nominees (and snubs) due to the panel system. All the contenders had to submit their episodes during the nomination process.
Maura Tierney, if nominated, will be the most comparable to Robin Weigert. Deadwood did very well in nominations right off the bat even though Ian McShane was snubbed and the show didn’t get a series nod in its first year. Robin Weigert wasn’t a big name, but the show was on the radar. And if the Emmys embrace The Affair well enough, Maura Tierney, who is definitely better known but by no means an Emmy darling, could get in too.April 14, 2015 at 2:15 pm #346600
Reg E. Cathey (House of Cards) was another “Robin Weigert” nomination.April 14, 2015 at 2:40 pm #346601
I don’t recall Cherry Jones being a shocking nomination. She was predicted at the old board. A win was a surprise, but yay for it.April 14, 2015 at 10:11 pm #346602
I would love Maura to be it and also Joshua Jackson from The Affair. Supporting Actor is fairly weak this year so I wouldn’t be surprised if that category has anyone shocking in it.April 15, 2015 at 12:58 am #346603
Martin Short for Mulaney
I know the show was cancelled, but he was great on it, and he has name recognition.April 15, 2015 at 3:32 am #346604
I have Gaby Hoffman in my predictions for supporting comedy actress for Transparent.June 19, 2015 at 1:03 am #346605
Andre Holland (The Knick) for Supporting Actor – Drama.
Jeffrey Dean Morgan (Texas Rising) for Movie/Mini Series Actor
Rupert Friend (Homeland) for Supporting Actor – Drama.
Maura Tierney (The Affair) for Supporting Actress – Drama
Jenifer Lewis (Black-ish) for Guest Actress – Comedy
Laurie Metcalf (Getting On) for Lead Actress – ComedyJune 19, 2015 at 4:49 am #346606
With the new system for Guest Actors, anything could happen, and more than one Robin Weigert situation could happen. I don’t think Woodard or Tierney will be it, but some guest star we never thought could make it to the supporting categories. I’m predicting a 2006 situation with more than one nominee.
An Alfre Woodard nomination will never be a shock…unless it’s for State of Affairs this year. For True Blood, her episodes aired even before the previous ceremony and she still maintained buzz, predictions and the old “Emmy favorite” stamp until the following year. And for TV Movies, somebody always mentions her and others follow with their predictions because she’s Alfre Woodard. But for State of Affairs, that would be too much.
Andre Braugher was predicted for Men of a Certain Age.
Ashley Judd wasn’t a lock at all. When Missing was cancelled, everybody knew or at least predicted that this is where she would be headed and she did.
I don’t think anything from 2006 should come up as a shock. It was a weird year.June 19, 2015 at 5:44 am #346607
Melissa McBride, The Walking Dead for Drama Supporting Actress
Naya Rivera, Glee for Comedy Guest Actress
Dot Marie Jones, Glee for Comedy Supporting Actress
Alfre Woodard, State of Affairs for Drama Supporting Actress
Matt Czuchry, The Good Wife for Drama Supporting Actor
Frances Conroy, American Horror Story: Freak Show for Movie/Mini Supporting Actress
Evan Peters, American Horror Story: Freak Show for Movie/Mini Actor
Jon Cryer, Two and the Half Men for Comedy Actor
Melissa McCarthy, Mike & Molly for Comedy Actress
Saoirse Ronan, Stockholm Pennnsylvania for Movie/Mini Actress
Naomi Grossman, American Horror Story: Freak Show for Movie/Mini Supporting ActressJune 19, 2015 at 5:47 am #346608
(and yes I will never forget how poor Adina Porter never made it for “True Blood”, but Woodard did….I love Woodard, but that was insane, Adina Porter deserved to win an Emmy!)June 19, 2015 at 8:47 am #346609
I think someone from Grace of Monaco, Nicole Kidman, Parker Posey or Tim Roth.June 19, 2015 at 10:27 am #346610
I don’t think Melissa McCarthy can be considered a shock. The only people that are doubting her are the predictors who keep underestimating her and the ones not watching Mike and Molly (or any of the other Multicam shows). I also think Boardwalk Empire will shock the hell out of everyone come nomination morning.
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