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Why Elisabeth Moss will win SAG for Top of the Lake

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  • Entertain-me
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    #309014

    With the way the TV season coincides with awards seasons, the Emmys sometimes precedes the GG and SAG awards as far as movie/mini-series is concerned, and sometimes it is vice-versa. If a performance is coming on strong right away, and picks up GG and SAG prior to the Emmys,well, then there is no stopping it at the Emmys. Sometimes, it doesn’t pick up steam until after the Emmys and scores at the GG and SAG.

     

    Here are are a few examples:

    * 2003/2004 – Maggie Smith wins 2003 Emmy for My House in Umbria, but loses GG and SAG nod/win to 2004’s Emmy winner,Meryl Streep for Angels in America

    * 2007/2008 – Emmys pick Emmy darling Helen Mirren for Prime Suspect 7, GG/SAG pick Queen Latifah for Life Support

    * 2009/2010 – Emmys pick Emmy darling Jessica Lange, SAG/GG pick her co-star Drew Barrymore for Grey Gardens

     

    and now since Emmy winner Linney is not nominated at either GG (where Moss won) and SAG, Moss will likely follow in line with the above.

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    Ghost
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    #309016

    The difference with Elizabeth Moss is that she isn’t a big movie star compared to the others, that’s why Helen Mirren or Helena Bonham Carter will win.

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    Renaton
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    #309017

    I have feeling people are overestimating Bonham Carter. That Liz Taylor thing seems to be losing buzz. Also, playing Hollywood royalty is never a guarantee to win awards.

    Also, why would they choose Mirren? She lost the Emmy, and they won’t  give her yet another SAG when she has a ton already.  

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    Entertain-me
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    #309018

    I wouldn’t be surprised to see Mirren win, actually, either. Not only is she a big star, but they gave their Best TV Movie Actor award last year to Paul Giamatti for a few scenes of him eating breakfast.

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    Riley
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    #309019

    I began an article last night on specifically why she will lose.

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    GraysWay
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    #309020

    I HATE the fact that Moss won the Globes.  It totally messed things up for me.  Jessica Lange was supposed to have won the Globes in Movie/Mini, that way Moss would have clearly won the SAG since Lange went up to Best Actress for that award.  Now, Wright won in Lead Actress at the Globes over Washington, meaning Washington has a better chance to get the SAG Actress award over Lange.  In both scenarios, Lange gets screwed, and it’s a damn shame b/c she will have gone 2 years playing great characters w/no awards recognition.  She’ll have a chance next year at the Emmys, but if we have another sh*t show like the last Emmys, who the hell knows what will happen.  I am a big fan, but this is legitimately coming from a normal/regular standpoint.  Even Tom predicted Lange to win the GGs, so i’m not alone here!  What a damn shame indeed :-/

    I hate to be bitter, but seeing Moss have a back 2 back win (if it happens) while seeing Lange loses is like a dagger to my heart! 

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    24Emmy
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    #309021

    Why will she win? Because Emmy winner Laura Linney was snubbed.

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    Münster
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    #309022

    I HATE the fact that Moss won the Globes.  It totally messed things up for me.  Jessica Lange was supposed to have won the Globes in Movie/Mini, that way Moss would have clearly won the SAG since Lange went up to Best Actress for that award.  Now, Wright won in Lead Actress at the Globes over Washington, meaning Washington has a better chance to get the SAG Actress award over Lange.  In both scenarios, Lange gets screwed, and it’s a damn shame b/c she will have gone 2 years playing great characters w/no awards recognition.  She’ll have a chance next year at the Emmys, but if we have another sh*t show like the last Emmys, who the hell knows what will happen.  I am a big fan, but this is legitimately coming from a normal/regular standpoint.  Even Tom predicted Lange to win the GGs, so i’m not alone here!  What a damn shame indeed :-/

    I hate to be bitter, but seeing Moss have a back 2 back win (if it happens) while seeing Lange loses is like a dagger to my heart! 

    Dude did you just dream up that line of logic?

     

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    24Emmy
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    #309023

    GraysWay, Jessica Lange swept the awards for the first season of American Horror Story. She’ll keep getting nominated, but I wouldn’t expect anymore wins.

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    GraysWay
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    #309024

    GraysWay, Jessica Lange swept the awards for the first season of American Horror Story. She’ll keep getting nominated, but I wouldn’t expect anymore wins.

    Yea, that’s what i’m starting to think.  I’ve just seen quite a few actors win each year for the same character (Alec Baldwin will win his 6th consecutive SAG award Saturday), so I just thought they would have paid more attention to the fact that an actor is continuously getting nominated for playing a totally different character each season.  I just don’t think many voters are too keen on Horror Story in general.  

    @munster – No, I honestly thought that was going to be the rundown of how the GGs and SAG awards were going to play out.  I thought Washington would take the win, then that would leave Lange in better standing for the SAG considering Danes’ fire has seemingly burned out.  Then, Moss pulled off the GG win, and she’ll be nominated in the same category again for the SAGs, so she’ll have equally as good of a chance to win whereas Lange will have a much more difficult time since she’s moving up to Best Drama Actress.  If you don’t get the rational behind that, then I don’t know what to tell you my friend. 

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    Renaton
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    #309025

    I have Lange at fifth for SAG. I mean, she already won for the show (even if it was a different character), the buzz for American horror Story has been about the same (maybe even a bit smaller than usual), and against this competition? No way. If anyone repeats, it will be Danes, who is the reigning champion. Lange is not beating three actresses that have never won individual SAGs, two of them riding a wave of loud buzz this year.

    Also, I don’t see any logic in assuming that if Washington had won GG that Lange would win SAG  

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    GraysWay
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    #309026

    My bad, I thought this post was titled, ”Why Elisabeth Moss won’t win the SAG for Top of the Lake.”

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    montana82
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    #309027

    I am wondering if Angela Bassett could win.  She is a big name respected actress and she has the self important biopic title Betty and Coretta.

    Think Stockard Channing winning for…The Matthew Shepard Story.

    Hard to pass up a big name in a biopic of a respected real life person.

    I think it’s between Moss and Bassett.

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    Atypical
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    #309028

    I’m predicting Moss to win. I’m not feeling it for the other four nominees this year. She might not have the name recognition/veteran status factor going for her, but her role as Robin is the largest of the five, and it’s not like she’s a total unknown thanks to “Mad Men.” Mirren works as a filler nominee here. I didn’t see Bassett’s or Carter’s performances, so I don’t know what their roles were and weren’t for them in terms of overall worth. That’s a handicap I know, but it’s how things go sometimes. They could check off either name here just because. I could have watched “Betty & Corretta,” but it didn’t sound interesting to me last year. I didn’t know when “Burton & Taylor” even premiered in the states. The premise sounds interesting enough, so I might still try to check it out. Hunter was very much supporting in “Top of the Lake,” and if she wins over Moss, it will be strictly on name recognition. That’s not something I’d put past these voters, who have no problem rewarding supporting performances in these combined categories. But I’m sticking with Moss. If she can win over Globes voters (and I realize there is absolutely no correlation between Globes voters and SAG voters before some smart ass points that out to me), I think she can do the same with the larger SAG body too. Moss FTW!

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