July 10, 2015 at 10:44 am #352937
With its recent Critics’ Choice win as Best Comedy Series, will “Silicon Valley” make a big leap forward in Emmy nominations this year?
Remember that this show received somewhat unexpected nods last time in both directing and writing. If it holds on to those and picks up an acting bid or two, will it be a real player to win?July 10, 2015 at 10:53 am #352939
It is one of four shows that can win, with the other two challengers being ‘Transparent’ and ‘Veep’. I’m predicting Middleditch and Miller to score noms, but I don’t think it has enough support to win any race.July 10, 2015 at 10:54 am #352940
I am predicting it to get into Series again, and TJ Miller will join the Supporting Actor line up. Even with an acting nod, or two if Middleditch upsets, I can’t see this show being the one to bring down Modern Family.
It kind of has the same limiting factor as something like Louie. It has big fans, but not enough of a broad appeal to win. A more typical comedy series will be the one to bring down Modern Family. The closest to that is *whispers and waits for the backlash* The Big Bang Theory. Maybe Kimmy Schmidt if it is lucky.July 10, 2015 at 11:28 am #352941
If the Academy would want to award a series about geek and nerds they’d choose The Big Bang Theory to please more people, but they won’t. Both of them are token nominees, just there not threatening anybody and splitting votes.July 10, 2015 at 12:08 pm #352942
Hope to god noJuly 10, 2015 at 3:34 pm #352943
I have T.J Miller in after his critics choice win. I don’t see Middleditch getting in only because he didn’t get in last year..July 10, 2015 at 10:48 pm #352944
I think it actually has a pretty good shot.
1) It was a massively improved season
2) Big uptake in critic’s stuff- not that that is too important
3) It actually has reasonably broad appeal. ie it is on hbo so can appeal to snobbish emmy voters, it is way more widely seen than veep (taking into account online stuff and illegal dowloads especially)
4) It just compares well to the other shows in terms of likelihood of winning. It is fresh (unlike MF), it is very funny and overtly comedic (unlike Transparent), and it has wider appeal and what seems like more support than veep, but who knows.
I don’t necessarily want it to win, but I do think it is a big threatJuly 11, 2015 at 1:20 am #352945
I expect to rank Silicon Valley second after nominations come out. It reminds me of the second season of The Office, which entered the Emmys without a lot of nominations and having been snubbed by both SAG and PGA, but it was considered a marked improvement from its first season and it had the right momentum. My argument is not ironclad, but it is HBO, it has broad appeal and it is coming on strong at the right time. If it turns out to be a juggernaut with surprise nominations in important categories like editing, casting and sound, I will outright predict it.July 11, 2015 at 12:17 pm #352946
Even though I’m not predicting it, the show could maitain its nomination haul and add an acting nominee and some techs.July 11, 2015 at 1:00 pm #352947
I haven’t thought about the techs but I have Middleditch and Miller in. A better second season, its a HBO thing to increase, see Girls and Veep. Also it’s HBO.July 11, 2015 at 8:55 pm #352948
It will add to last years nominations both Middleditch and Miller. Maybe some tech nods like sound or editng as well? I also think it might won best comedy series, and it definitely should after a brilliant sophmore seasonJuly 13, 2015 at 1:28 pm #352949
I have it getting it adding TJ Miller into the Supporting Actor lineup.September 16, 2015 at 8:17 am #352950
After it’s impressive haul at the Creative Arts Emmys, winning 2 big categories Single Camera Picture Editing and Production Design, Silicon Valley definitely has made a big leap forward at the Emmys. It lost Sound Mixing to Modern Family. I would keep an eye on Silicon Valley on Sunday. It might just win one of the big ones (Writing, Directing or Comedy Series). My big bet is on Outstanding Writing for a Comedy Series. Hopefully it wins the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series. It surely is the best comedy on HBO (and one of the best on television) this year.September 16, 2015 at 6:46 pm #352951
For those who know stats better: do those two wins help its chances at winning comedy series? It seems like its only big obstacle is overcoming acting snubs, but other than that it shouldn´t be such a dark horse.
PS: I´m still predicting veep.September 16, 2015 at 8:29 pm #352952
Veep won the guild award for production design last year and Silicon Valley won it this year. It is hard to say whether the Emmy win indicates that that particular branch now prefers Silicon Valley as a show or just for its production design. When Transparent
won the costuming award, that was a clear vote by the branch for the
show as opposed to its costumes, but there is an argument to be made
that Silicon Valley truly deserved its win between its technology start-up sets. That the production designers also awarded The Knick over Downton Abbey and Mad Men makes me think that this branch actually took its voting seriously, so the win might not be significant. But it does not hurt. Transparent
was also nominated for production design, but I would not count its
loss against it. It was not even nominated by the guild, so it never
had a shot at beating those two, nor should it have.
win seems like a big one because every Outstanding Comedy Series but one
from the 2000s has been nominated for editing, but it needs an
asterisk. Veep won the guild award over fellow nominees Silicon Valley and Transparent, but was snubbed by the Emmys because they stupidly submitted four episodes. Silicon Valley
submitted two and both were nominated, but it is hard to say if it
would have been able to get any in with four submissions because maybe
the votes would have been split too much. Transparent actually
submitted four episodes, but the pilot was the obvious vote, so it is
hard to count its one-of-four ratio as better than Veep‘s. If it were really popular though, maybe it should have been able to get in anyway. All three of Orange is the New Black‘s submissions were nominated last year and Breaking Bad went three for four (at the expense of this year’s winner and double nominee Game of Thrones). Silicon Valley has definitely made big gains with that branch since last year though when it also submitted two episodes and neither got in. Modern Family and Portlandia were nominated last year, but they were both bumped for the two Silicon Valley episodes. Portlandia only submitted one episode and Modern Family only submitted two like last year, so they cannot blame vote-splitting for their snubs, especially since the ineligibility of Orange is the New Black opened up three slots from last year. I think that the editing win is at least a point against Transparent.
Pilots are obvious showcases and the branch clearly has no issue with
dramedies, so if it was going to win comedy series, I think that it
could have won editing. Again, Silicon Valley was snubbed last year, so it was certainly beatable this year.
It helps Silicon Valley that the other editing winners were Game of Thrones and Olive Kitteridge, so it seems like the editors are just voting the ticket instead of thinking about tapes because Olive Kitteridge should not be winning an editing award over 24 and American Crime or so I hear for the latter. And Better Call Saul
probably would have won under the tape system with its montages, plus
it comes from the people who won a billion Emmys and guild awards for
editing Breaking Bad, so you might think that it would be popular among this branch anyway. And I would have thought that the Mad Men
finale would be more of a factor than “The Dance of Dragons”, just
being a series finale, while “The Dance of Dragons” was not even the
season finale. “Hardhome” would have been a better choice, so them
going with the other episode really has me thinking that voters just
ignored episodes and went with their favourite show because if you
cannot identify episodes by title, “The Dance of Dragons” sounds
flashier than whatever a “Hardhome” is. The multi-camera winner was The Big Bang Theory, variety was The Colbert Report, reality was Deadliest Catch and nonfiction was The Jinx. These editors might be the laziest voters of them all and end up predicting the major program categories perfectly.