May 23, 2011 at 8:32 pm #221195
With “United States of Tara” cancelled, will Toni Collete still be nominated? I’m not sure what the pattern is, but all I know is that cancelled shows usually don’t get nominations. Final seasons are different.
Also, if you don’t think she will be nominated, who will take her spot.
(Note: I voted she would be nominated)May 23, 2011 at 8:45 pm #221197
While I think the race is a tight one, I think she’ll get one last nod.
That being said, if she wasn’t to get one, I’d love to see her slot go to Martha Plimpton from “Raising Hope.” The woman is some kind of genius.May 23, 2011 at 8:56 pm #221198
I think she’ll get nominated. But I wonder if it gives Mary-Louise Parker a slight edge. I know she fell off the radar last year, but with ‘Weeds’ returning in June maybe voters will give one of those Showtime Dramedy “spots” (if that exists) to her instead of giving it to Collette for a cancelled show that they don’t watch anyway.
If the locks for nominations are Falco, Fey, Linney & Poehler, then the final two spots are between Collette, Cox, Michele, Parker & Plimpton right?
I’d be fine with any combo of the above that doesn’t include Lea Michele. (sorry Gleeks.)May 23, 2011 at 9:10 pm #221199
I’m with Slam on this one. Any combination that does not involve Michele is fine by me. For my last two slots, I’m betting on Collette and Martha Plimpton.
I think that Mary-Louise Parker is gone for good, or at least for another year.May 23, 2011 at 9:46 pm #221200
I agree, I think that Plimpton could take the final spot. I think I have Michele in my predictions, but it is very close. Also with the Hot in Cleveland ladies out she has a better chance.May 23, 2011 at 9:50 pm #221201
This is the first I’ve heard of the show’s cancellation. Very disappointing. I think it’s the best of Showtime’s half-hour dramedies. But I still think Toni Collette will be nominated. If the show had aired in the fall and was cancelled she might be in trouble, but it’s airing its episodes now so it’ll be fresh in voters’ minds.
Right now I think the nominations will be as follows:
– Edie Falco, “Nuse Jackie”
– Tina Fey, “30 Rock”
– Laura Linney, “The Big C”
– Amy Poehler, “Parks and Recreation”
– Toni Collette, “United States of Tara”
Vying for the Last Spot:
– Courteney Cox, “Cougar Town”
– Patricia Heaton, “The Middle”
– Lea Michele, “Glee”
– Mary-Louise Parker, “Weeds”
– Martha Plimpton, “Raising Hope”
I love Plimpton, but I don’t see voters embracing “Raising Hope,” except for maybe Greg Garcia in the writing and/or directing races, where he won for the pilot of “My Name is Earl.” The ratings for the show are minor, the show doesn’t have a lot of buzz or strong critical support, and it doesn’t have snob appeal.May 23, 2011 at 10:07 pm #221202
Since she’s having her best season yet, yes, she will be nominated. If she submits last weeks episode, she might even win.May 23, 2011 at 10:40 pm #221203
I have Patricia Heaton in my predictions, but I feel like since “The Middle” was snubbed all around last year it might not be on the Emmy radar at all.May 23, 2011 at 10:56 pm #221204
“The Middle” may not be a contender in most categories, but Patricia Heaton is an Emmy favorite, and I believe the show got even better ratings in season two than in season one, so it has more buzz now than it did when “Glee” and “Modern Family” were the hip new kids on the block. I think Heaton is right on the edge of the category, but right now I’ve got that sixth slot going to Lea Michele.May 23, 2011 at 11:31 pm #221205
It improved greatly in ratings this season, but I think that it will be close as well. And now thinking about it Martha Plimpton, Patricia, and Lea (maybe Mary- Louis Parker) are going to battle it out for that sixth slot.May 24, 2011 at 12:03 am #221206
As much as I would love to see Martha Plimpton in the mix, I think Toni Colette will get one last nod. This has
been a wild season for her, arguably her best yet. Right now, she’s my favorite to win just behind Amy Poehler.May 24, 2011 at 1:04 am #221207
If the competition was stronger Collette woulden’t get nominated, but as it stands the competition is very weak. I see Lea Michele, Mary-Louise Parker and Courteney Cox as her biggest competition, but I can definitely see her beating out two of those actresses (which is all she needs to do to get the nomination). Collette is a former winner while Michele is on a show that has dwindling critical support, Parker missed out on a nomination last year and it is tough to get back into the “club” once you are out and the voters don’t seem to take a liking to Cox as she has had numerous chances for a nomination.May 24, 2011 at 2:07 am #221208
I certainly don’t think that she now has no chance at a nomination just because Tara has been cancelled; however, since this category has so many terrific women vying for a few remaining slots, she might lose her advantage.
Personally, I’d much rather see Mary-Louise Parker, and possibly Patricia Heaton, have a nomination over Collette, but I still think she’ll get the nod anyway.
Formerly known in the forums as PianoMann.May 24, 2011 at 4:02 am #221209
I think Collette is still safe and it’s just the sixth spot that’s vulnerable. In 2006, four of the five nominees aren’t eligible the following year and the shows were cancelled and/or overstayed (Channing, Kudrow, Kaczmarek, and Messing.)May 24, 2011 at 2:18 pm #221210
I have Patricia Heaton in my predictions, but I feel like since “The Middle” was snubbed all around last year it might not be on the Emmy radar at all.
Remember Everybody Loves Raymond was completely ignored during it’s first two seasons. It didn’t recieve a single nod until its 3rd season (it was showered with several big nods, nut no wins). Heaton, of course, went on to win for seasons 4 and 5. So don’t count her out.
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