July 14, 2014 at 3:30 pm #323152
I guess this can be considered the Lead Actor Contenders for 2014-2015 Thread if one doesn’t already exist.
We know we’re losing three contenders:
– Bryan Cranston
– Woody Harrelson
– Matthew McConaughey
There’s a good chance we’re losing a fourth, because the third season might not make eligibility period:
– Jeff Daniels
– Jon Hamm
– Kevin Spacey
Might Hamm finally get it on the eighth consecutive try? [His 13th nom overall.] Or will he join the likes of Michael C. Hall and Hugh Laurie?July 14, 2014 at 3:39 pm #323154
And Hamm’s win would need a giant asterisk by it, the show should have ended this year. The internet tells me that The Newsroom is premiering this fall, I bet Sorkin has one more speech for us.July 14, 2014 at 3:46 pm #323155
The Newsroom will only have 6 episodes – can they even submit in the Drama Categories?
Also, I wouldn’t get so excited and call it “wide open” – I fully expect 3 of those 4 slots to go to Spader, Bonneville, and BuscemiJuly 14, 2014 at 3:49 pm #323156
We’ll have the new True Detective lads-July 14, 2014 at 4:03 pm #323157
That’s right. Michael Sheen and James Spader can come to the race after being snubbed this year. The Newsroom is still eliglibe for Next year, so Jeff Daniels might be safe. For the moment the lineup is like:
1.???? ”True Detective”
2.Kevin Spacey ”House of Cards”
3.Jon Hamm ”Mad Men”
4.James Spader ”The Blacklist”
5.Michael Sheen ”Masters of Sex”
6.Jeff Daniels ”The Newsroom”July 14, 2014 at 4:06 pm #323158
Hugh Bonneville will come back.
And Clive Owen will have a little easier time breaking down Cinemax barriers and get nominated.July 14, 2014 at 4:09 pm #323159
Next year is really perfect for Hamm to finally win his long overdue emmy similar to Chandler I feel. Of course the True Detective guys will be in contention if the show is eligible as it feels the show will not air in time because January is perfect for it to air as the rest of the season is all Game of Thrones on HBO and unless they start filming the show seems possible to be a summer show. Clive Owen will likely be a major new contender for The Knick, Justin Theroux is also a new contender I feel for The Leftovers, Michael Sheen I feel will get in if the third episode of this new season being their version of The Suitcase is to be believed.Really it will be sad if Daniels and Spacey make it back in as both are truly terrible.July 14, 2014 at 4:24 pm #323160
Yeah, this category is going lose a lot of people this year
Bryan Cranston (6 noms)
Michael C. Hall (5 noms)
Woody Harrelson (1 nom)
Damian Lewis (2 noms)
Matthew McConaughey (1 nom)
and next year
Steve Buscemi (2 noms)
Jeff Daniels (2 noms)
Jon Hamm (7 noms)
Timothy Olyphant (1 nom)
which leaves only (nominees up to this year)
Simon Baker (1 nom)
Hugh Bonneville (2 noms)
Kevin Spacey (2 noms)
This category next year will have the biggest shakeup since 2008, when Byrne, Cranston, Hall, and Hamm all made it in (and all save Hall came from freshman shows)July 14, 2014 at 4:42 pm #323161
It definitely won’t look so wide open once we approach the Emmys next year. Like every race, particularly leading drama, the contenders thin out as the year progresses.
They’ll be Hamm, Spacey and probably Daniels.
Justin Theroux is not getting nominated.
Out of the guys who were snubbed but could get in next year Sheen or Bonneville have the best chance. I supposed there’s a slight chance of Buscemi or Rhys, but I doubt it. Olyphant’s not getting back in.
That leaves the unknowns. There’s Clive Owen, The dude from Better Call Saul, whoever will be on True Dectective and potentially Kyle Chandler if his series premieres on Neflix in the eligiblity period.July 14, 2014 at 5:02 pm #323162
5) the True Detective person
Just my guessesJuly 14, 2014 at 5:20 pm #323164
It’s too bad Shameless didn’t stay in Drama. William H. Macy could have been a legitimate contender to win next year, where I don’t think he really has a chance in comedy. I know he got a nomination this year, so I guess the switch worked for them, but I think the show still belongs in Drama.July 14, 2014 at 5:49 pm #323165
Spader won’t be a factor next year. This year was his chance to get in. There won’t be any buzz, and the media/critics will not be pushing him.
When a category empties out there’s usually enough new contenders to fill out the opening spots. Sometimes voters nominate people that the media/critics have been pushing for years but have been snubbed ala Chandler and Britton. That’s why I’m not buying the return of two or three dudes that were dropped.July 14, 2014 at 5:50 pm #323166
I’d like to think Sheen and Rhys could get in, but knowing the Emmy voters it’ll be, like, Boneville and other unworthy actors.July 14, 2014 at 6:10 pm #323167
Daniels, Spacey, and Hamm are locked, then for newcomers there’s the True Detective lead and potentially Bob Odenkirk depending on where Better Call Saul is placed. If BCS is placed in Drama, the last spot is definitely going to Hugh Bonneville. If not, Bonneville still gets it, but the last spot is wide open.