July 29, 2014 at 9:46 am #433710
It might be ridiculous, but hey, let’s have a go at making extremely early Tony predictions at least in some categories for next year’s (2015) ceremony…
I think King & I will garner nominations for Revival, Leading Actor (Ken Watanabe), Leading Actress (Kelli O’Hara going for that win), Featured Actress (Tuptim or Lady Thiang), Director, Scenic Design, Costume Design and Lighting Design… It will be a tough competitor for those design categories too, because of the lavishness of the show.
Kristin Chenoweth should also feature for On The Twentieth Century in the Leading Actress category. That show will also probably get a Revival nod too.
What about On the Town? – Best Musical Revival too, I suspect with many one or two acting nominations.July 29, 2014 at 9:59 am #433712
I just hope Jason Robert Brown has a success with Honeymoon in Vegas because Bridges was just a great score and should have run for longer then it did.July 29, 2014 at 11:19 am #433713
I think it is possible that JRB could score another Tony win for VEGAS, especially with the reviews he and the show received by Ben Brantley for the Papermill production.
As for Kelli O’Hara and Kristin Chenoweth, I am still skeptical if I see them in these roles (I personally think Chenoweth may be a tad too old), but I will give them the chance….while I am not a fan of The King and I, I absolutely adore On The Twentieth Century.July 29, 2014 at 12:05 pm #433714
I expect The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night Time to make a big splash in the Play categories. It was very well-received in London and it also has a lot of technical elements that should add up to a large number of nominations.July 29, 2014 at 12:40 pm #433715
^ Oh yeah, and I suspect best actor and featured actress frontrunners for whoever plays the boy and his mom too… Shaping up to be a better year than this year already.July 29, 2014 at 4:08 pm #433716
Actor and actress in a musical could very well go to James Corden (A Funny Thing Happened) and Kelli O’Hara (King and I) respectively.July 29, 2014 at 4:11 pm #433717
Also, do we know how many original scores are coming to Broadway this season? Could somebody be so kind as to make a list if the info is available?July 30, 2014 at 3:31 am #433718
The Last Ship & Honeymoon in Vegas are the only ones confirmed right now, I think.
I’m guessing Finding Neverland as well.July 30, 2014 at 2:29 pm #433719
Yes, Last Ship and Honeymoon in Vegas are the only set and confirmed new scores. Others that are very likely to debut this season are Finding Neverland and Fun Home. After that its a bit of a guessing game as to what will be ready/get financing in time. But those with Broadway hopes for this season: King Kong, Bull Durham, and Diner.August 7, 2014 at 4:22 am #433720
What are the chances of Larry David getting nominated/winning for Shiva?August 7, 2014 at 8:18 am #433721
Larry David is in with a chance of a Best Actor in a Play nom for Shiva
Helen Mirren is basically a lock to win Best Actress in a Play for the Broadway transfer of The Audience, which won her an Olivier Award in 2012. Mirren recreates her performance as Queen Elizabeth II, and has like 1,000 different costume and wig changes. It has TONY written all over it. Only a Grammy to go, then!August 22, 2014 at 6:51 am #433722
The Harvey Weinstein-produced Finding Neverland will also hit Broadway next spring, and I have a feeling with Weinstein’s magic campaigning style, we could see a big sweep for that show. It will definitely score nods for best musical, best leading actor, best leading actress (could Laura Michelle Kelly give O’Hara and Chenoweth a run for their money), and a couple of featured nods too… It should also pick up a few design Tony nods, but won’t have enough steam to beat the potential beauty of the Beaumont’s King & I. Thoughts?August 22, 2014 at 7:49 am #433723
If The Visit somehow makes it in this season from its Williamstown staging (a possible run with a non-profit?), then all other musical actresses will have to hang up the phone, because Chita Rivera will win her third.December 27, 2014 at 6:11 pm #433724
After seeing Honeymoon in Vegas I think it’s well positioned for nominations for Best Musical, Actor in a Musical for Rob McClure (who could easily win), Featured Actress in a Musical for Nancy Opel and Best Original Score for JRB. The score is excellent but is not as magical as Bridges’ was last year. With the overdue Jeanine Tesori in competition for Fun Home and the famous Sting in competition for The Last Ship, he may have to settle for just a nomination this year (though he could win for orchestrations). Danza and O’Malley, both solid but not as memorable, could get nominated if their categories lack major competition but are at risk of being snubbed.
A Director nomination for Garry Griffin is possible but the upcoming onslaught of revivals could dominate the category. I don’t think a book nomination will happen as the book is quite sloppy and many of the characters (particularly O’Malley’s Betsy) are quite poorly written.
Keep in mind that I saw a preview of the show (albeit a very late one) and not an official performance, so many of my comments/predictions could prove moot if the show is drastically changed before opening.December 28, 2014 at 6:18 am #433725
Musical Field (so far):
Sierra Boggess, It Shoulda Been You
***Kristin Chenoweth, On the 20th Century
Kelli O’Hara, The King and I
Laura Michelle Kelly, Finding Neverland
Michael Cerveris, Fun Home
***Anthony Warlow, Doctor Zhivago
Rob McClure, Honeymoon in Vegas
Saul Williams, Holler if ya Hear Me
Ruthie Ann Miles, The King and I
Nancy Opel, Honeymoon in Vegas
Saycon Sengbloh, Holler if Ya Hear Me
***Tonya Pinkins, Holler if Ya Hear Me
Max Von Essen, An American in Paris
***Mark Linn-Baker, On the Twentieth Century
Michael McGrath, On the Twentieth Century
David St. Louis, Side Show
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