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June 8, 2017 at 7:53 am #1202114536
Given how Bandstand is only up for one other award, I doubt Tony voters are going to have much of a desire to award it. I currently The Great Comet winning because if Rachel Chavkin wins Best Direction of a Musical, Sam Pinkleton could be riding those coattails here as he, like Chavkin, had to re-conceive his work for the Broadway production. Then again, there’s also some enormous physicality in Groundhog Day (Andy Karl even tore his ACL late into previews to prove it). Whether Karl wins Lead Actor in a Musical or not, this could also be a great place to award the show. Many have also praised Kelly Devine for her seamless work in Come From Away. While some have questioned that nomination in this category, the movement in the show is suppose to be very vital to its storytelling.June 8, 2017 at 8:21 am #1202114544
The performances have been announced…
Not only will we be seeing performances by the nominees for Best Musical and Best Revival, but also from Bandstand, War Paint, and the Radio City Rockettes. Cynthia Erivo & Leslie Odom, Jr. will also be performing (which I’m guessing will be during the In Memoriam segment).June 8, 2017 at 8:32 am #1202114553
Devine’s work in Come From Away is similar in many ways to Blankenbuehler’s winning work in Hamilton last year. It’s really more musical staging than choreography, but the company is in constant motion and is responsible for resetting the props and furniture pieces in a smoothly continuous way and creating a sense of community on stage with only twelve cast members. The musical staging is critical to the success of that concept. That said, I’m leading towards Blankenbuehler repeating this year for his more traditional work in Bandstand because in general Tony voters tend to go for the traditional Broadway dance when they have the option, and they will also go for dance volume. (Hamilton won over the dance-heavy Shuffle Along and On Your Feet! last year because, well… Hamilton.) But if you look prior to that, the pattern is shows with lots of traditional B’way choreography. Natasha, et al is certainly also right up there but as it is a little divisive (it has many passionate adherents, but also quite a few naysayers), this one may swing to the safe choice. One thing that could derail Bandstand is if Denis Jones’s work in Holiday Inn siphons off just enough of the traditionalist votes to push Natasha over the top. This is an exciting year for the Tonys, but certainly a frustrating one to predict outside of the few virtual locks.June 8, 2017 at 12:23 pm #1202114703
Broadway World just published an article about the Outer Critics Circle, Drama League, and Drama Desk’s track records when it comes to the Tonys…
http://www.broadwayworld.com/article/Who-Will-Win-at-the-2017-Tony-Awards-We-Compare-Year-By-Year-20170608June 9, 2017 at 7:44 am #1202115510
You can’t really go by that because a lot of those shows started off-Broadway and weren’t eligible for the DD and OCC for their Broadway production – like Dear Evan Hansen this year.June 10, 2017 at 3:16 pm #1202116555
Though I don’t have alot of faith in it, I think Bandstand will take choreography though Holiday Inn really should win. Natasha could very well win but I think it’s a way to reward Andy for both Bandstand and Cats. Whatever you think about Cats, there is no denying the outstanding choreography in it.
Another iffy one I have is Linney for Foxes because people are saying Nixon will easily win because she’s doing dual roles so why not Linney? Hard to imagine they’ll go with one over the other. I get that Metcalf is also overdue and it’s probably the only award Doll’s House can win but I don’t know I think people are going to go for the dual parts for both Linney and Nixon. I also have it for revival for the sheer fact that it’s still open. I know Jitney closed a few months ago but I’ve been bitten in the butt for predicting closed shows plenty (though I wasn’t for View From the Bridge last year so it isn’t unprecedented but happens less times).June 10, 2017 at 4:06 pm #1202116593
I think featured actress in a musical will be telling. If Jenn colella beats Rachel bay Jones then I can see come from away winning unless voters wanted to spread the wealth. Still going with DEH and jones.June 11, 2017 at 8:38 am #1202117204
Best Costume Design Of A Play: The Little Foxes
Best Costume Design Of A Musical: Hello, Dolly!
Best Lighting Design Of A Play: Indecent
Best Lighting Design Of A Musical: Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet Of 1812
Best Scenic Design Of A Play: The Play That Goes Wrong
Best Scenic Design Of A Musical: Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet Of 1812
Best Book Of A Musical: Dear Evan Hanson
Best Choreography: Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet Of 1812
Best Orchestrations: Hello, Dolly!
Best Original Score: Dear Evan Hansen
Best Featured Actor In A Play: Danny DeVito—The Price
Best Featured Actress In A Play: Cynthia Nixon—The Little Foxes
Best Featured Actor In A Musical: Gavin Creel—Hello, Dolly!
Best Featured Actress In A Musical: Rachel Bay Jones—Dear Evan Hansen
Best Actor In A Play: Kevin Kline—Present Laughter
Best Actress In A Play: Laurie Metcalf—A Doll’s House, Part 2
Best Actor In A Musical: Ben Platt—Dear Evan Hansen
Best Actress In A Musical: Bette Midler—Hello, Dolly!
Best Director Of A Play: Bartlett Sher—Oslo
Best Director Of A Musical: Rachel Chavkin—Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet Of 1812
Best Revival Of A Play: Jitney
Best Revival Of A Musical: Hello, Dolly!
Best Play: Oslo
Best Musical: Dear Evan HansenJune 11, 2017 at 12:15 pm #1202117351
Here are my final Tony predictions…
Dear Evan Hansen
Best Revival of a Musical:
Best Revival of a Play:
Best Lead Actor in a Musical:
Ben Platt-Dear Evan Hansen
Best Lead Actress in a Musical:
Bette Midler-Hello, Dolly!
Best Lead Actor in a Play:
Kevin Kline-Present Laughter
Best Lead Actress in a Play:
Laurie Metcalf-A Doll’s House, Part 2
Best Featured Actor in a Musical:
Gavin Creel-Hello, Dolly!
Best Featured Actress in a Musical:
Rachel Bay Jones-Dear Evan Hansen
Best Featured Actor in a Play:
John Douglas Thompson-Jitney
Best Featured Actress in a Play:
Cynthia Nixon-The Little Foxes
Best Direction of a Musical:
Rachel Chavkin-Natasha, Pierre, & the Great Comet of 1812
Best Direction of a Play:
Best Original Score:
Dear Evan Hansen-Music & Lyrics By Benj Pasek & Justin Paul
Best Book of a Musical:
Come From Away-Irene Sankoff & David Hein
Sam Pinkleton-Natasha, Pierre, & the Great Comet of 1812
Dave Malloy-Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812
Best Lighting Design of a Musical:
Bradley King-Natasha, Pierre, & the Great Comet of 1812
Best Lighting Design of a Play:
Best Scenic Design of a Musical:
Mimi Lien-Natasha, Pierre, & the Great Comet of 1812
Best Scenic Design of a Play:
Best Costume Design of a Musical:
Santo Loquasto-Hello, Dolly!
Best Costume Design of a Play:
Jane Greenwood-The Little FoxesJuly 31, 2017 at 8:22 pm #1202171027
Since it’s been almost two months since the Tony Awards, allow me to chime in real quick…
Anyone who correctly predicted this year’s winners for Best Direction of a Play, Best Choreography, and Best Scenic Design of a Play deserves themselves a special Tony, because those were all some risky predictions to make. I really doubted that Rebecca Taichman, Andy Blankenbuehler, and Nigel Hook had much of a chance of prevailing in their categories, yet they did.
For the first time since 2002, a Best Play nominee won Director with even winning the top award. While Taichman did win the Outer Critics Circle, that group still showed more love for Indecent in nominations than the Tonys did. Here, it only received three nominations overall, and pretty much had no chance of winning Best Play over A Doll’s House, Part 2 nor Oslo, thus I had Taichman dead last in my predictions.
While Blankenbuehler did win Choreography at the Drama Desk, that group still showed much more love for Bandstand in nominations than the Tonys did. Here, it only received two nominations (the other being for Best Orchestrations), and it wasn’t even up for Best Musical. Though I did have Blankenbuehler ranked in fourth place in my predictions.
It seems that given the weak competition for Scenic Design of a Play, the sole nominee (The Play That Goes Wrong) ended up winning. I wonder if it still would’ve won had The Little Foxes, Present Laughter, and/or Six Degrees of Separation been recognized here by the nominating committee.
But as we’ve seen with Danny DeVito losing Featured Actor in a Play for The Price, you should hopefully all learn your lesson: the next time a sole acting nominee seems to be out front to win, don’t predict them.
August 1, 2017 at 5:53 am #1202171329
- This reply was modified 1 month, 3 weeks ago by Jeffrey Kare.
I correctly predicted all three of the winners in your first note. I’ll be waiting for my special Tony. 🙂
I think The Play That Goes Wrong could have won Scene Design even with stronger competition. The set was as critical to the humor as the cast and got just as many laughs. It was really quite ingenious–not only did it really look like the set some third-rate touring company might have, it had to be precisely engineered to gradually collapse with impeccable timing and spacing. I left the Lyceum thinking, “That’s going to win the Scene Design Tony.”August 3, 2017 at 6:32 am #1202173382
A great benefit Indecent was able to get by moving its closing date from June 25th to August 6th is that it will be filmed tonight and tomorrow for BroadwayHD…
August 8, 2017 at 3:56 pm #1202179151
- This reply was modified 1 month, 3 weeks ago by Jeffrey Kare.
The Great Comet becomes the first of this season’s Best Musical nominees to post a closing notice. It will play its last performance Sept. 3.August 8, 2017 at 4:33 pm #1202179194
So what do you think will end up taking the Imperial Theatre? Carousel?August 8, 2017 at 7:20 pm #1202179424
I certainly was cheering on Andy Karl(not his real last name) and wished he won. My dad grew up and was a childhood friend of his. I have seen his performances of Rocky and Groundhog Day and they were both fantastic. Ben Platt was amazing though in Dear Evan Hansen.