Home Forums Theater close competitive races for this year's Tony awards

close competitive races for this year's Tony awards

CREATE A NEW TOPIC
CREATE A NEW POLL
Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 45 total)
Created
8 months ago
Last Reply
5 months ago
44
replies
9857
views
14
users
Jeffrey Kare
12
Philip
6
Djoko
5
  • FreemanGriffin
    Participant
    Joined:
    Feb 19th, 2012
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202083473

    So many races seem close to me. Do others see it this way? These are the races that I think are close:

    Best Musical, Score, and Book: Evan vs. Natasha!

    Best Actor in a Musical: Andy Karl vs. Ben Platt

    Best Featured Actor in a Musical: Gavin Creel vs. Andrew Rannells

    Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Stephanie J Block vs. Rachel Bay Jones

    Best Director of a Musical: Rachel Chaivkin vs. Michael Greif vs. Jerry Zaks

    Best Choreography: Andy Blankenbeuhler vs. Sam Pinkleton

    Best Scenic Design of a Musical: Mimi Lien vs. Santo Loquasto

    Best Costume Design of a Musical: any of the four could win

    Best Lighting Design of a Musical: Natasha Katz for Bradley King

    Best Play: any of the four; I am leaning towards A Doll’s House, Part 2

    Best Actress: Laura Linney vs. Laurie Metcalf

    Best Featured Actor: the conventional wisdom is Danny DeVito vs. Nathan Lane, but I am not so certain?

    Best Featured Actress: Joanna Day vs. Cynthia Nixon

    Best Director: any of the five could win

    Best Revival: Jitney vs. The Little Foxes

    Best Scenic Design: Nigel Hook vs. Douglas W Schmidt?

    Best Lighting Design: I am leaning towards Christopher Akerlind; this one seems wide open?

    Reply
    Jeffrey Kare
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jan 23rd, 2013
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202083550

    Here’s what I think the close races are in the musical categories…

    Best Musical: Come From Away vs. Dear Evan Hansen vs. Natasha, Pierre, & the Great Comet of 1812

    Lead Actor in a Musical: Andy Karl vs. Ben Platt

    Featured Actor in a Musical: Gavin Creel vs. Lucas Steele

    Featured Actress in a Musical: Jenn Colella vs. Rachel Bay Jones

    Best Original Score: Dear Evan Hansen vs. The Great Comet

    Best Book of a Musical: Come From Away vs. Dear Evan Hansen

    Best Choreography: Peter Darling & Ellen Kane vs. Sam Pinkleton

    Best Orchestrations: Hello, Dolly! vs. The Great Comet

    Best Costume Design of a Musical: Hello, Dolly! vs. The Great Comet

    I think if Falsettos was still running, it would definitely be a lot more in the conversation, but you have to go all the way back to 1999 when a closed production of a musical won an acting award (which was Martin Short for Little Me).

    ReplyCopy URL
    Philip
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jan 29th, 2012
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202083641

    Musical, Lead Actor and Score aren’t close at all. Dear Evan Hansen is winning all 3.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Lindsayisagoddess
    Participant
    Joined:
    Apr 21st, 2015
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202083652

    Musical, Lead Actor and Score aren’t close at all. Dear Evan Hansen is winning all 3.

    My thoughts exactly. Natasha and Come from Away don’t have a chance. Andy Karl has somewhat of a shot, but I wouldn’t bet on it.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Lindsayisagoddess
    Participant
    Joined:
    Apr 21st, 2015
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202083653

    I also think Bandstand has Choreography in the bag. The only real competition was Warren Carlyle, and since he’s ineligible, Blankenbuehler is a lock.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Jeffrey Kare
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jan 23rd, 2013
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202083677

    I’m not sure about Bandstand taking Choreography. That musical only received a total of two nominations (its other was for Orchestrations). Again, you have to go all the way back to 1999 when a production that wasn’t nominated for Best Musical (nor Revival) ended up winning the Tony for Best Choreography. In that case, it was Swan Lake, which of course didn’t really fit the mold of a musical at all.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Philip
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jan 29th, 2012
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202083692

    I think that Groundhog Day has to be the frontrunner in Choreography. I think Bandstand could upset tho.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Lindsayisagoddess
    Participant
    Joined:
    Apr 21st, 2015
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202083752

    Every review, no matter how mixed, praised Andy Blankenbuehler’s choreography. Groundhog Day didn’t even become a favorite for nomination until Hello, Dolly! was deemed ineligible.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Philip
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jan 29th, 2012
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202083780

    That’s true, but seeing how much better Groundhog Day did with nominations, it is clearly in a better position than Bandstand.

    I like the underdogs and have predicted Bandstand to win it, but I don’t think that there is a clear frontrunner here.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Jeffrey Kare
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jan 23rd, 2013
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202083855

    I think what we should really take into account for Best Choreography is The Great Comet. Whether that show ends up winning Best Musical or not, it could still win the most Tonys of the night by sweeping through the design awards, direction, choreography, etc.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Djoko
    Participant
    Joined:
    Feb 14th, 2012
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202083867

    I was most impressed this season with the choreography in Holiday Inn and The Great Comet. I’d go with Comet just based on its strength in the design categories.

    Aside from that, the first post is wayyyy off on who the Tony is between. I would make a list of my own, but it’s too much for right now especially since I’d have to totally redo that whole first post.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Maxwell
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jan 27th, 2015
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202085186

    I think the featured actor categories are the closest – DeVito vs. Thompson and Creel vs. Steele. Both Featured Actress categories also have three strong possibilities, though Nixon and Bay Jones will probably take them.

    I don’t see Kline, Metcalf, Platt, or Midler losing.

    Dolly is winning, of course. Jitney is competitive, but it helps that The Little Foxes is still running. New play is probably down to Oslo vs. ADH; Indecent doesn’t have the reviews and Sweat needed a director nomination to remain competitive. I don’t buy Come from Away’s surge, which mean it’s DEH vs. Great Comet, edge Hansen. Great Comet may be too divisive to win – but I am sensing a slight backlash against DEH as well.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Jeffrey Kare
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jan 23rd, 2013
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202085192

    I think we should rule out Danny DeVito as a possible winner for Featured Actor in a Play. He’s the only nomination The Price received, and it’s hard for a sole nominee to win.

    I remember back in 2013 that some people were predicting Richard Kind to win for Roundabout’s production of The Big Knife, despite the fact that he was the only nomination that show received. Yet, Courtney B. Vance ended up winning for Lucky Guy.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Maxwell
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jan 27th, 2015
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202085202

    I think that’s a good rule of thumb for below-the-line categories, but I don’t think that’s true of acting categories. It’s definitely a disadvantage for DeVito, but I don’t think it kills his chances. His performance has certainly gotten the most press of the five nominees, perhaps excepting Nathan Lane.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Jeffrey Kare
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jan 23rd, 2013
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1202085221

    I just did some research, and the last time a sole nominee ended up winning an acting award was in 2003 where Michele Pawk won Featured Actress in a Play for Hollywood Arms.

    ReplyCopy URL
Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 45 total)
Reply To: close competitive races for this year's Tony awards

You can use BBCodes to format your content.
Your account can't use Advanced BBCodes, they will be stripped before saving.

Similar Topics
Freeman... - Dec 16, 2017
Theater
Freeman... - Dec 13, 2017
Theater