Wow, pretty awful from the “experts.” I have a feeling you guys didn’t see the shows or read the reviews. Casa Valentina hasn’t opened yet and A Gentleman’s Guide should be the clear favorite now that Bullets opened to mostly bad reviews. Plus, I’m hearing Cabaret will be ineligible for Revival so it will only be 3 nominees.
Yeah, the predix from people who aren’t actually based in the New York stage scene are pretty bad… It looks like some of the choices were just chosen because of name recognition, particularly in the choices of Bullets Over Broadway and All the Way being the frontrunners to win in their respective categories. Gentlemen’s Guide is by far the frontrunner for Best Musical. Not sure about Best Play yet since Casa Valentina hasn’t premiered, but buzz has been positive for it and this is a very weak year for plays. I would be shocked if All the Way won it, as it got pretty mixed, if respectable, reviews. Maybe in this dearth season, that, plus its marquee star, are enough to push it to a win, but regardless, some really ill-informed choices from the experts…
Andy Humm is always hysterically wrong with these. Yes by all means good sir, put Beautiful in the number one slot. #facepalm
I admit that my own predix are shots in the dark, but I just landed back in NYC now and am seeing tons of shows this week and will be chatting a lot with Tony voters. On Monday we’re getting predix from Peter Marks of the Washington Post — and forecasts from other top pundits later this week too — so hold your scorn and ridicule for bit, OK? Several experts refuse to give us predix because they’re just now seeing these shows too, but a few brave souls — weary from me prodding them — are piping in, even if they’re wrong. I’m grateful for that. Meantime, everybody knows that Michael Musto, Roger Friedman and David Sheward really know their Tonys stuff and go to see everything a.s.a.p. So focus on their predix for now. Admittedly, the rest of us are idiots.