May 7, 2016 at 8:41 am #1201825782
There is general agreement on most categories this year. These are the races I think are too close to call – agree or disagree? Do you think there are other
races not included that are toss-ups?
Best Choreography: Andy Blankenbuehler (Hamilton) vs. Savion Glover (Shuffle Along…) – movement vs. exuberant tap. I think AB will win, but I get the arguement for SG winning a sole Tony for Shuffle Along.. AB’s achievement is co-direction, since movement is integral to the success of Hamilton.
Best Play: Eclipsed vs. The Humans. Most think TH will win, but I’m not so sure. Eclipsed feels more important. Really not sure.
Best Actress: Jessica Lange vs. Lupita Nyong’o – I give the edge to Lange due to timing…
Best Actor: Frank Langella vs. Mark Strong – will they really give a fourth Tony to FL? I think Strong will win.
Best Actor: Danny Burstein vs. Leslie Odom, Jr – Fiddler only has 3 nominations and doesn’t feel “legendary”, so I give the edge to Odom.
Best Scenic Design: Beowulf Boritt (Therese Raquin) vs David Zinn (the Humans) – the lake vs the house. Really not sure how the votes will go….
Best Scenic Design: David Korins (Hamilton) vs David Rockwell (She Loves Me) – will the Hamilton seep mean Korins will win? How do voters decide in this category?
Best Costume Design: Jane Greenwood (Long Day’s Journey Into Night) vs. Tom Scutt (king Charles II) – will the 19th nomination be a winner for JG? I thought she would win for Therese Raquin; or does Tom Scutt win?
Best Lighting Design: Justin Townsend (the Humans) vs Jan Versweyveld (A View From the Bridge) I lean towards Versweyveld, whois a 3-time nominee this year…May 7, 2016 at 11:36 am #1201825805
I really hope Lupita takes it. Lange is not an actor I even respect. But let’s not talk about that. Lupita is in an acclaimed Play nominee and this is a way to honor the play.May 7, 2016 at 2:22 pm #1201825811
I actually think Williams has a better shot than Nyong’o. But Lange is out front for that category. Its an astonishing performance.
And given that Long Day’s Journey is the most nominated play, Gabriel Byrne should be in the Best Actor conversation. The show definitely has more buzz than The Father. Mark Strong is still out front i think. His show is closed yes, but everyone lost their shit over it when it was playing.
I think Scenic design is one of only two or three categories Hamilton could lose. She Love Me is perfectly designed from head to toe. I could see it scoring Revival of a Musical and Scenic Design.
On the play side of scenic design, I thought Therese Raquin would show up in all 3 design categories. The fact that it only managed for the set (from now near perennial nominee Boritt) makes me think it wont have the strength to win the award. So Im going with Zinn for The Humans.May 7, 2016 at 5:46 pm #1201825831
Featured Actress in a Musical is not a toss-up race in your opinion??May 8, 2016 at 9:32 am #1201825907
Goldsberry is way out front for featured actress. I think Hamilton can easily take both featured races.May 8, 2016 at 10:26 am #1201825911
Even if Jennifer Hudson in The Color Purple wasn’t the frontrunner, do you think she was unfairly snubbed?May 8, 2016 at 1:20 pm #1201825927
I mean its a pretty great category. Hudson is wonderful, but I cant say that any of the 5 women they nominated are unworthy. Add to them the likes of Helene Yorke, Carolee Carmello, Krysta Rodriguez, Jessica Hecht, Keala Settle and others who gave worthy performances that weren’t recognized…its hard to say that Hudson’s lack of a nomination isn’t fair. There is always a ton of talent that is overlooked, or there just isn’t enough room for with 5 slots. As it stands, I think its a great crop of talent in the category.
Goldsberry would win even with Hudson in the mix, so its not like she was going to get that “T” in her EGOT this year anyway.May 8, 2016 at 2:16 pm #1201825931
Fair enough.May 8, 2016 at 2:52 pm #1201825945
I don’t think Goldsberry is 100% locked.May 9, 2016 at 1:12 am #1201826014
Outer Critics Circle winners have been announced…
http://www.broadway.com/buzz/184774/she-loves-me-long-days-journey-into-night-more-win-big-at-2016-outer-critics-circle-awards/May 9, 2016 at 9:26 am #1201826106
@GusCruz why dont you think Goldsberry is locked? I guess with any awards show there is always the chance for an upset no matter the odds. But I’d put good money on her winning.
With Hamilton being a force of nature, the likes of which we have never seen before, its easier to look at where Hamilton is vulnerable. IMO those categories are: Lead Actress, Lead Actor, Choreography, Scenic Design. Maybe you could add costumes and lighting. Cynthia Erivo and Danny Burstein provide formidable challenges in the lead races. Savion Glover will put up a fight for choreo. And She Loves Me has a great shot at stealing scenic design (and perhaps costumes). I just dont think the biggest musical of a generation needs to worry about losing the featured acting races, especially given Goldsberry’s memorable numbers, Cephas Jones not being nominated and therefore not pulling votes, and the “celebrity” option (Hudson) out of the race.
Krakowski just won the OCC, but as a previous Tony winner I think she would have to be doing something completely different than what she is known for (and doing flawlessly in She Loves Me) to take down such a juggernaut show like Hamilton and claim a second Tony.May 9, 2016 at 1:18 pm #1201826227
Krakowski just won the OCC, but as a previous Tony winner I think she would have to be doing something completely different than what she is known for (and doing flawlessly in She Loves Me) to take down such a juggernaut show like Hamilton and claim a second Tony.
This!!! Perfectly said!May 9, 2016 at 4:20 pm #1201826328
Krakowski could very well win, especially if the show wins RevivalMay 9, 2016 at 10:14 pm #1201826404
Being 3000 miles from the Great White Way, all I know is what I read…and I’ve seen about an equal number of Best Musical Revival choices go for “She Loves Me” and “The Color Purple.” Is this category up in the air, too?May 10, 2016 at 4:19 pm #1201826851
Renee is even a bigger lock than Hamilton for Best Musical. There is NOT a chance in hell she loses Featured Actress. Anyone predicting otherwise is just crazy. Jane has a Tony already so there is no reason to not give it to Renee who probably is giving the most iconic performance from that show even more than Lin’s Hamilton.
I think Featured Actor in a Musical is between Daveed and Jonathan. Problem with Jonathan is he already left the show but he’s one of those crossover Broadway/TV stars that they really want to reward