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Tony/Drama Desk Predictions 2018

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  • NativeNYer
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    #1202237814

    I know I know… it\’s soooooo early that this is a foolish topic to post.  But what do you think will be the nominees/winners at the Tonys/Drama Desks?  I  actually have found the Drama Desks to be more compelling as of late because of the more varied categories and there always seems to be such heavy favorites in the Tonys, but not necessarily at the Drama Desks.

    Looking forward to reading thoughts.

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202237960

    As of now, this is shaping up to be a pretty slow year for musicals. There are currently six new musicals set for this season along with three revivals.

    New Musicals:
    The Band’s Visit
    Escape to Margaritaville
    Frozen
    Mean Girls
    Prince of Broadway
    SpongeBob SquarPants

    Revivals:
    Carousel
    My Fair Lady
    Once on This Island

    The Band’s Visit already appears to be an early frontrunner for Best Musical based not only on the buzz it’s been building from previews, but also its acclaimed off-Broadway run last year. Since there’s currently only five other new musicals set for this season, they should feel lucky that they each have a good chance of getting nominated. Even Prince of Broadway could get in since we’ve seen revues of celebrated theatre artists’ work get recognized in past weak seasons (Jerome Robbins’ Broadway, Fosse).

    No one’s seen any of the upcoming revivals yet, so there’s currently no frontrunner in that area. Though Once on This Island is currently in rehearsal, so we shall see how that turns out. I will say that the revival I’m most looking forward to this season is My Fair Lady. Bartlett Sher really has such an amazing track record when it comes to reviving the classics with South Pacific and The King & I both winning Best Revival of a Musical in the years they competed, even his production of Fiddler on the Roof from two seasons ago I thought deserved more recognition during awards season than it received.

    While Carousel is one of my all-time favorite musicals, I am skeptical about this upcoming revival given that it’s being directed by Jack O’Brien. While I did really like his Sound of Music tour, his track record on Broadway has been very inconsistent within the past decade. He hasn’t delivered a critical darling since The Coast of Utopia back in 2007.

    Though when it comes to the Drama Desk Awards, The Band’s Visit won’t be eligible next year given that it already competed for its off-Broadway incarnation at this year’s ceremony. But overall, there will still be a lot more productions eligible given that they recognize off-Broadway as well.

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202238294

    As for the plays, it’s interesting how a lot of new works are set for this season given that Harry Potter & the Cursed Child is coming in as the Best Play frontrunner based on its enormous success in London.

    At this point, the Lead Actor in a Play race could be competitive if it features nominees like Andrew Garfield, Tom Hollander, Joshua Jackson, Nathan Lane, Jamie Parker, Mark Rylance, and/or Denzel Washington. The opposite could be said for Lead Actor in a Musical given that there’s currently only five (official) contenders for that.

    Given how this is also a slow season for new musicals, we could see at least one play with music nominated for Best Original Score like Farinelli & the King or Harry Potter.

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    Marlon Gonzalez
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    Ethan Slater In SpongeBob Squarepants Will win Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical. Period! He is the Ben Platt of 2018. What A Performance.

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    We still have at least three more candidates to get through this season such as…

    Harry Hadden-Paton-My Fair Lady
    Joshua Henry-Carousel
    Paul Alexander Nolan-Escape to Margaritaville

    We especially haven’t seen what Hadden-Paton nor Henry have in store for us yet as they’ll both be taking on classic leading male roles in the musical theatre canon.

    Though given that this is currently a slow year for the category of Lead Actor in a Musical with only 5 candidates (or 6 if Isaac Powell ends up going Lead for Once on This Island), I guess Slater could benefit from being the one apple in a bag of oranges (or vice versa) since most of the other candidates are dealing with more serious material.

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    FreemanGriffin
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    #1202441766

    A question I have is: if there are only 5 potential nominees for Best Actor in a Musical, do they nominate all of them or do they only nominate 4?

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    I remember in 2011, there were only six potential candidates for Lead Actress in a Musical. So that category only ended up having four nominees such as…

    Sutton Foster-Anything Goes (winner)
    Beth Leavel-Baby It’s You!
    Patina Miller-Sister Act
    Donna Murphy-The People in the Picture

    I wouldn’t be surprised if we see history repeat itself with Lead Actor in a Musical this year.

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    FreemanGriffin
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    ^I wonder which one would be left off the list? Perhaps one of those productions will be critically lambasted for all we know. The two locks are Tony Shalhoub and Ethan Slater.

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    KyleBailey
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    After seeing both Spongebob and Once on This Island last week, I hope both will show up in many categories at he Tonys. My wish list:

    Spongebob:
    Musical
    Ethan Slater lead
    Gavin Lee featured
    Director
    Score
    Book
    Orchestrations
    Set
    Costumes
    Choreography (for Squidward’s number alone)
    Sound (What a great year to bring it back!)

    Lilli Cooper featured would be nice but not a must
    Danny Skinner featured if they can fit him in
    Jai’Len Christine Li Josey featured would be awesome but unlikely same with Wesley Taylor

    Once on This Island:
    Revival
    Hailey Kilgore actress
    Alex Newell featured
    Director
    Sound
    Orchestrations
    Lighting
    Choreography

    If it’s a slim year costumes/set would be cool too
    All the Gods would be nice too but Newell is the stand out.

    I saw someone above mention the possibility of Isaac Powell in lead and I could see that but I don’t think he’s in the show nearly enough to be considered a lead. He’s really great though I wouldn’t complain if he got in

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    Trisha McElhaugh
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    SPONGEBOB IS THE BEST THING TO EVER GRACE THE LYRIC THEATER!!!!!!

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