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Tonys Predictions by EW and Playbill

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  • Tom O’Neil
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    Thom Geier (EW) and Harry Haun (Playbill) just gave us their predix. Check ’em out!

     http://tinyurl.com/lvbxspe

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    Entertainment Weekly’s detailed predictions:

    Tony Awards 2014: Who will win?

    by Thom Geier on Jun 3, 2014 at 9:00 AM @ thomgeier 

    Will Neil Patrick Harris claim his first Tony Award this Sunday for his gender-bending turn in the musical revival of Hedwig and the Angry Inch? Probably. Will fellow multiple-Emmy winner Bryan Cranston win for playing Lyndon B. Johnson in the biodrama All the Way? Count on it. But will it be the Carole King biomusical Beautiful or the murderously funny A Gentleman’s Guide to Love & Murder that earns top honors as the Best New Musical of the Broadway season? 

    On that point, as on many other tight races in this year’s Tony contest, EW critics Melissa Rose Bernardo and Thom Geier are divided. Here, we offer our predictions of who will be step-step-kicking to the podium at Radio City Music Hall this Sunday. (By the way, we’ll also be live-blogging the ceremony, hosted for the fourth time by Hugh Jackman.) Disagree with our picks? Please let us know who you think will win—or should win—in the comments section. 

    Best Play
    Act One
    **All The Way
    (Melissa, Thom)
    Casa Valentina

    Mothers and Sons
    Outside Mullingar

    In a relatively weak year for new dramas, the standout is Robert Schenkkan’s nearly three-hour historical drama about LBJ. The only possible upset: another biodrama, about playwright Moss Hart, Act One.

    Best Musical
    After Midnight
    Aladdin
    *Beautiful–The Carole King Musical (Melissa)
    *A Gentleman’s Guide to Love & Murder (Thom)

    It’s a tight race between two shows. A Gentleman’s Guide is the rare star-free musical comedy that has won over audiences since the fall, while Beautiful is a jukebox musical that may have broader name-brand appeal with the regional-tour producers who make up a big chunk of the Tony voting pool.

    Best Revival of a Play
    The Cripple of Inishmaan
    *The Glass Menagerie
    (Thom)
    A Raisin in the Sun
    *Twelfth Night
    (Melissa)

    In a superb year for revivals, any one of these productions could win. The Globe’s imported period-perfect production of Twelfth Night (played in repertory with Richard III) may have the edge, though John Tiffany’s exquisite revival of The Glass Menagerie could be a sentimental favorite, since the Tennessee Williams classic has never won a Tony Award.

    Best Revival of a Musical
    **Hedwig and the Angry Inch (Melissa, Thom)
    Les Misérables
    Violet

    A 5-inch stiletto shoe-in.

    Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play
    Samuel Barnett, Twelfth Night
    **Bryan Cranston, All The Way
 (Melissa, Thom)
    Chris O’Dowd, Of Mice and Men
    Mark Rylance, Richard III
    Tony Shalhoub, Act One

    The Breaking Bad star is a safe bet to win for his Broadway debut.

    Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play
    Tyne Daly, Mothers and Sons
    LaTanya Richardson Jackson, A Raisin in the Sun
    Cherry Jones, The Glass Menagerie
    **Audra McDonald, Lady Day at Emerson’s Bar & Grill
 (Melissa, Thom)
    Estelle Parsons, The Velocity of Autumn

    Cherry Jones could pull an upset, but look for Audra McDonald to win her record-breaking sixth Tony Award (and the first to win in all four acting categories).

    Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical
    **Neil Patrick Harris, Hedwig and the Angry Inch
 (Melissa, Thom)
    Ramin Karimloo, Les Misérables
    Andy Karl, Rocky
    Jefferson Mays, A Gentleman’s Guide to Love & Murder
    Bryce Pinkham, A Gentleman’s Guide to Love & Murder

    Jefferson Mays, who plays eight roles in Gentleman’s Guide, has his fans. But look for Neil Patrick Harris to win—in part to recognize all his contributions to Broadway and the Tony Awards over the last decade.

    Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical
    Mary Bridget Davies, A Night With Janis Joplin
    Sutton Foster, Violet
    Idina Menzel, If/Then
    **Jessie Mueller, Beautiful–The Carole King Musical
 (Melissa, Thom)
    Kelli O’Hara, The Bridges of Madison County

    Five-time nominee Kelli O’Hara is certainly deserving, but Jessie Mueller’s soulful impression of Carole King is poised for victory.

    Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play
    Reed Birney, Casa Valentina
    Paul Chahidi, Twelfth Night
    Stephen Fry, Twelfth Night
    **
    Mark Rylance, Twelfth Night (Melissa, Thom)
    Brian J. Smith, The Glass Menagerie

    Expect another bizarro Louis Jenkins poem when Mark Rylance accepts his third Tony for donning a period frock as Olivia in Twelfth Night. 

    Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play
    Sarah Greene, The Cripple of Inishmaan
    **
    Celia Keenan-Bolger, The Glass Menagerie (Melissa, Thom)
    Sophie Okonedo, A Raisin in the Sun
    Anika Noni Rose, A Raisin in the Sun
    Mare Winningham, Casa Valentina

    This race is tighter than our pick suggests. The two women in Raisin may cancel each other out, but don’t be surprised if Mare Winningham pulls it out as the long-suffering wife of a cross-dressing man in 1960s New York.

    Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical
    Danny Burstein, Cabaret
    Nick Cordero, Bullets Over Broadway
    Joshua Henry, Violet
    **
    James Monroe Iglehart, Aladdin (Melissa, Thom)
    Jarrod Spector, Beautiful–The Carole King Musical

    The genie has this one in the bottle.

    Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical
    Linda Emond, Cabaret
    **
    Lena Hall, Hedwig and the Angry Inch (Melissa, Thom)
    Anika Larsen, Beautiful–The Carole King Musical
    Adriane Lenox, After Midnight
    Lauren Worsham, A Gentleman’s Guide to Love & Murder

    Another tight race. Linda Emond won raves for a rare singing role; Lauren Worsham and scene-stealer Anika Larsen just won the Drama Desk Award (in a tie). But Lena Hall, in a gender-bending turn as sideburned Yitzak in Hedwig, is ahead by a hair extension.

    Best Direction of a Play
    **Tim Carroll, Twelfth Night (Melissa, Thom)
    Michael Grandage, The Cripple of Inishmaan
    Kenny Leon, A Raisin in the Sun
    John Tiffany, The Glass Menagerie

    Tim Carroll made two Bard classics seem fresh (and surprising box office hits) by going back to the source: Elizabethan costumes, music, lighting, and performance styles.

    Best Direction of a Musical
    Warren Carlyle, After Midnight
    *
    Michael Mayer, Hedwig and the Angry Inch (Melissa)
    Leigh Silverman, Violet
    *
    Darko Tresnjak, A Gentleman’s Guide to Love & Murder (Thom)

    A tight race between an inventive new musical in a throwback style and a downtown show transformed into a rockin’ Broadway-ready spectacle.

    Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre
    Alan Menken, Howard Ashman, Tim Rice, and Chad Beguelin, Aladdin
    **Jason Robert Brown, The Bridges of Madison County (Melissa, Thom)
    Steven Lutvak and Robert L. Freedman, A Gentleman’s Guide to Love & Murder
    Tom Kitt and Brian Yorkey, If/Then

    Brown has won praise for his lush, romantic composition for Bridges, though Gentleman’s Guide could pull an upset if it starts sweeping categories.

    Best Book of a Musical
    Chad Beguelin, Aladdin
    Douglas McGrath, Beautiful–The Carole King Musical
    Woody Allen, Bullets Over Broadway
    **Robert L. Freedman, A Gentleman’s Guide to Love & Murder (Melissa, Thom)

    Interestingly, Douglas McGrath (nominated for the biomusical Beautiful) co-wrote the screenplay for Bullets Over Broadway (for which Woody Allen handled solo duties as book writer for the stage version). But the front-runner here is the cleverly constructed comedy of Gentleman’s Guide.

    Best Choreography
    **Warren Carlyle, After Midnight
 (Melissa, Thom)
    Steven Hoggett & Kelly Devine, Rocky
    Casey Nicholaw, Aladdin
    Susan Stroman, Bullets Over Broadway

    Carlyle wins for his spectacular dance-heavy show.

    Best Orchestrations
    Doug Besterman, Bullets Over Broadway
    **
    Jason Robert Brown, The Bridges of Madison County (Melissa, Thom)
    Steve Sidwell, Beautiful–The Carole King Musical
    Jonathan Tunick, A Gentleman’s Guide to Love & Murder

    Expect this one to follow best original score.

    
Best Scenic Design of a Play
    **Beowulf Boritt, Act One (Melissa, Thom)
    Bob Crowley, The Glass Menagerie
    Es Devlin, Machinal
    Christopher Oram, The Cripple of Inishmaan

    Es Devlin’s high-tech cube for Machinal is inventive, and Bob Crowley’s design for The Glass Menagerie is spare and evocative. But Beowulf Boritt creates a three-level turntable set that spins to reveal multiple locations throughout the decade-spanning drama Act One.

    Best Scenic Design of a Musical
    **Christopher Barreca, Rocky (Melissa, Thom)
    Julian Crouch, Hedwig and the Angry Inch
    Alexander Dodge, A Gentleman’s Guide to Love & Murder
    Santo Loquasto, Bullets Over Broadway

    It’s hard not to be wowed by that giant boxing ring that spins and rotates and rolls out over the first rows of seats for the finale.

    Best Costume Design of a Play
    Jane Greenwood, Act One
    Michael Krass, Machinal
    Rita Ryack, Casa Valentina
    **
    Jenny Tiramani, Twelfth Night

    Period-perfect costumes get their due.

    Best Costume Design of a Musical
    *Linda Cho, A Gentleman’s Guide to Love & Murder (Thom)
    William Ivey Long, Bullets Over Broadway
    Arianne Phillips, Hedwig and the Angry Inch
    *
    Isabel Toledo, After Midnight (Melissa)

    A toss-up.

    Best Lighting Design of a Play
    Paule Constable, The Cripple of Inishmaan
    Jane Cox, Machinal
    **
    Natasha Katz, The Glass Menagerie (Melissa, Thom)
    Japhy Weideman, Of Mice and Men

    Best Lighting Design of a Musical
    **Kevin Adams, Hedwig and the Angry Inch (Melissa, Thom)
    Christopher Akerlind, Rocky
    Howell Binkley, After Midnight
    Donald Holder, The Bridges of Madison County

    Best Sound Design of a Play
    Alex Baranowski, The Cripple of Inishmaan
    **
    Steve Canyon Kennedy, Lady Day at Emerson’s Bar & Grill (Melissa, Thom)
    Dan Moses Schreier, Act One
    Matt Tierney, Machinal

    Best Sound Design of a Musical
    Peter Hylenski, After Midnight
    *
    Tim O’Heir, Hedwig and the Angry Inch (Thom)
    Mick Potter, Les Misérables
    *
    Brian Ronan, Beautiful–The Carole King Musical (Melissa)

    http://popwatch.ew.com/2014/06/03/tony-awards-2014-who-will-win/

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