Nope, it will be Philip Seymour Hoffman for Death of a Salesman. That's almost a slam dunk.
The critics were not in rapture; there were positive reviews but the most important ones, notably the times, felt both his performance and the production left much to be desired. Comparison to Brian Dennehy's Tony-winning performance will be inevitable to voters who will have seen both, which is going to be almost all of them.
Banking on the fact that Phil Hoffman plus great American stage role equals Tony is a risky bet this year, I think. Could happen, but a 'slam dunk' it's not.
I've always thought James Corden was the frontrunner; I mentioned it on these boards a while back. Now that the reviews are in, he's looking to be in a strong position.
Went back to compare the reviews, and you're right. Corden's reviews were across the board stronger than Hoffman's. Which is not to say that the iconic nature of the role won't carry Hoffman to the win, but a "slam dunk?" Ah, no. This shapes up to be one of the tightest Tony contests of the year. My bet is on Corden.
Comparison will be difficult because they are such different performances. It will probably be considered a tight race until Tony night; I just reject the idea that PSH wins this by default. Corden is, as of now, in just as good a position, perhaps better.
Weird question, but Seminar replaced the Lead ( Alan Rickman) and to of the featured players Hamish Linklater and Hettiene Park and apparently it's not doing so well, so what do you think does that help or hurt the play ( it's nominated for outer critics, drama league) and does it affect Rickman at all?
I think no difference reviews are in, but then again a second look and it's. It so hot, and one wonders was it so much better before because of the other cast members?
It was actually Lily Rabe, not Hettiene Park, who left.
The most important reason business has slowed down is that it's a new play that's just average and it has been running since October. Its gone through the core theater-going audience and isn't finding much appeal beyond that.
Rickman is a bigger draw both among a younger crowd because of Harry Potter (I was really surprised how many young/college age people I saw in the theater when I went, talking about Professor Snape) and also among the adult NY Theater Crowd. There seems to be less appeal for Goldblum, who I've only seen onstage once, in The Pillowman - he was very good.
The biggest thing that's hurting whatever Tony prospects it might originally have had is that it's turned out to be a strong season for new plays. In a weaker year it might have found a slot, but this year it's looking unlikely. Alan Rickman still might make the cut but that's no sure thing anymore either.
After seeing "End of the Rainbow", I'm still a bit perplexed over calling this a play. I counted 8 full-length musical numbers, with a full band onstage. I also noticed a cast album.
If Pam Gem's "Marlene" was considered a musical many seasons ago - I don't see why this isn't as well. (I also don't know why producers wouldn't want to push the show in the musical categories, as that seems to be a lot less competitive this season.)
I guess the Tonys will fall in with the OCC and the Drama Desk and call it a play, but I'm not sure how you compare a role with an extensive singing component to one without. We'll get the final word on that when they meet later today. They have a whopping 17 productions to determine eligibility for.
Some things that I'm on the fence about: - Linda Emond is considered for Featured Actress in 'Death of a Salesman'. I guess so. It makes sense. The least of the jarring decisions. - RIcky Martin is considered for Featured Actor in 'Evita'... WHAT!?!? Are you kidding me? - Ben Fankhauser is considered Lead Actor in 'Newsies'. Umm, there goes that sweeping nod for performances other than Jeremy Jordan 'Newsies' was hoping for. How is that role a co-lead? Especially if they considered Ricky Martin's Che as a featured one.
Also, they didn't mention anything on Christian Borle, Celia Keenan-Bolger and Adam Chanler-Berat for 'Peter and the Starcatcher'. So I guess they're all leads under the headlining rule? Or are they all featured performances?
I would like to make a few early predictions for the 67th Tony Awards.
Jim Parsons wins (at least nominated) for Harvey
Jessica Chastain wins for The Heiress
Kelli O'Hara wins (if the rumours are true) for The King and I
Let's see if these even pan out first!
I just updated my final Tony nominations predictions in my predictions center.. Toughest category for me to predict? Best Actor in a Play. Oh, and I snubbed Matthew Broderick. I wonder why we have no Featured categories to post predictions?