After seeing "Follies" again this afternoon (this time in LA), I think Burstein can pull this off. It just reminded me again of how powerful and heartbreaking his performance is. Given the fact that there is really not a strong frontrunner in this category, I can definitely see a way he can win.
I realized I haven't made official predictions so here goes.
Best Musical: Once Momentum seems to be shifting that way. In addition to the nimber of nominations, other awards wins and the fact that they're touring leads me to believe they have the edge... and they are the best musical of the year
Best Revival: Follies It's going to be close, but I think Follies will just pull off the win over Porgy and Bess. I think that it is pretty much known that the revival was amazing and I don't think there is as much love as for Porgy as there is for Follies.
Director: John Tiffany, Once Just has to.
Best Score: Newsies There just isn't any competition and it would be a way to recognize Newsies
Best Book: Once For me it's just the strongest in the category and is another major award for Once
Lead Actor: Danny Burstein, Follies This is a really hard category. Literally any one of them could win. But I think that his performance can't be forgotten, it was incredible. Still, I wouldn't be surprised or dissapointed if Steve Kazee would make the walk to the podium.
Lead Actress: Audra McDonald, Porgy and Bess It would be a way to honor Porgy and Bess and I think she gave a fantastic performance either way. Although Maxwell did give the performance of her career and Milloti was just wonderful, McDonald has the edge.
Feat. Actor: Michael Cerveris, Evita Feat. Actress: Judy Kaye, Nice Work if you Can Get it Choreography: Newsies
Orchestrations: Once For me this is one of their most deserved awards.
Am surprised that everyone thinks Audra McDonald is going to win this in a cakewalk.. I actually liked Porgy and Bess more than I thought I would but I would put her third behind Maxwell and Milloti (sp?). The real question is how well do Tony voters know that Audra McDonald will tie the record? Remember we on Goldderby tend to know a lot more than the people that vote for these organizations.
I'd be fine with Milloti winning, I LOVED Once but for some reason I can't stomach McDonald winning her FIFTH before Maxwell gets her first, let alone the fact that I think Maxwell gave the better performance.
The leads of Follies (Maxwell & Burstein) could end up winning the award along with Best Revival.
If DEATH OF A SALESMAN win the best revival of a play will prolongued the streak of Best Production winnings from the same play as it won in 49' (Best Play), 84' (Best Revival) and 99' (Best Revival of a Play) and will untie the record that shared with La Cage (84', 05' & 10').
First of all, I'm very upset that a lot of people were predicting Once might win a Best Musical instead of Newsies. I thought Newsies is a smash hit. But some of you people don't like Newsies. I want Newsies to win Best Musical, becuase I'm a fan of Disney. I haven't seen the musical yet since I'm not from New York. And I will be very upset if Newsies didn't win best musical. I just wanted to be a Tony Winning Musical. I will be very happy if it won Best Score.So, ifit won best score, will that make Newsies a Tony Winning Musical?
Neither Once nor Newsies was nominated for Best Book at the Drama Desks. Nice Work still has no chance of winning the Tony for Best Book.
I have been saying, since before One Man, Two Guvnors even opened, that Corden was at least a co-favorite for Best Actor in a Play; he will go into Tony night as such. It's one of the most acclaimed performances of the season and it will not surprise me at all if he beats PSH at the Tonys. Voters will feel obliged to vote for Death of a Salesman in Best Revival; they will have the freedom to choose in Best Actor and might choose not to vote again for the foregone conclusion. It will be close, and this narrative that Hoffman is miles ahead of the competition is, it seems to me, mostly a fiction made up by those who believe in some sort of magic formula that an Oscar winner in a legendary role automatically equals a Tony.
Danny Burstein has as good a shot as anyone in his category, again, been saying it for a while, and others have as well, and given that these awards so often favor the home team, I expected him to win here.
Am picking Burstein for the win, Benedick.. Corden is very close to edging out PSH. Could it be a night of the theater folks and not the stars getting their due? Revival wins seem to be on lockdown. Another win for McDonald who was very good as Bess, I still say she's third in her category in terms of most deserving.
I honestly can't remember following a season of Tony awards that was this wide open.. Is there a frontrunner in any category beyond Best Book and Best Score?