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| Jun 4th 2012, 11:32 |
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Share your thoughts here. I'll take on the Musical categories first. The NY Times Poll usually released a few days before the ceremony is typically accurate and helpful; some of my thoughts may change based on that. BEST MUSICAL ONCE We were braced for a showdown but it's become the consensus best musical of the season, sweeping every major NY theater award. I can't remember the last time that happened and the show didn't go on to win the Tony. BEST ORIGINAL SCORE NEWSIES By default, really, and also probably its major consolation prize. BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL ONCE There's a chance "Newsies" take this as well (and still loses Best Musical) but "Once" is really well set-up to take the top award and that tips this in its favor. BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL FOLLIES There has always seemed more passion for "Follies" than "P&B", and I think that will carry it through here, but "P&B" topped it in overall nominations and got that surprise Best Direction nod. I'll be looking for a little clarity in the Times poll on this one. BEST DIRECTION OF A MUSICAL JOHN TIFFANY, ONCE His contribution to the success of the show feels significant, and with the DD and the OCC to his name and his show taking every Best Musical trophy of the season, it seems unlikely he'll lose. BEST LEADING ACTOR IN A MUSICAL DANNY BURSTEIN, FOLLIES Jeremy Jordan and Steve Kazee will likely be disadvantaged by both being male ingenues up against a respected Broadway vet giving probably the best performance of his career. Having already taken the DD and OCC, it's looking like it may finally be Burstein's year. BEST LEADING ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL AUDRA McDONALD, PORGY AND BESS Still a chance Jan Maxwell can upset if voters are tired of Audra winning and Jan losing, but the marriage Audra and Bess has long been anticipated, and she didn't disappoint. It's also her first serious shot at a Leading Actress Tony. Feels like hers to lose. BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL MICHAEL McGRATH, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT Michael Cerveris may be the best thing about "Evita", but I'm not sure that's enough to win, considering how nobody really likes the show. If he'd never won before, different story maybe, but he has, and sort of recently. Instead I feel the momentum is with McGrath, a lovable Broadway character actor, who has already nabbed the DD and OCC for this role. BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL JUDY KAYE, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT Judy Kaye's first and last Tony was for "Phantom of the Opera", and the community seems ready to give her another, and for doing what she does best: stealing scenes. Also some nice symmetry that her two Tonys would be from shows whose most memorable scenes feature chandeliers. BEST CHOREOGRAPHY CHRISTOPHER GATELLI, NEWSIES Really one of the major reasons to see it: agile young men flipping and kicking and twirling through the air for two hours. BEST ORCHESTRATIONS MARTIN LOWE, ONCE Bit of a toughie. Could go hand-in-hand with score, and usually does, or there might be an upset coming from "P&B", though I have a feeling purists may prevent that from happening. Instead I think voters will feel that the finessing of "Once's" songs from film to stage deserves their vote. BEST SCENIC DESIGN: SPIDER MAN BEST COSTUME DESIGN: FOLLIES BEST LIGHTING DESIGN: GHOST BEST SOUND DESIGN: PORGY AND BESS (just a guess) Plays tomorrow. |
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| Jun 4th 2012, 11:59 |
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Which day do we get the NYTimes Poll? | |
| Jun 4th 2012, 12:54 |
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Best Play “Clybourne Park” seems to have the most going for it in terms of critical and audience acceptance verging on “Yes, this is ART worthy of consideration” snob appeal. That having been said, there seems to be a very eager audience for “Peter and the Starcatcher” and the consensus that there is more of a good time to be had (rather than making an appeal to loftier heights) with “Other Desert Cities.” “Venus in Fur” falls somewhere in the middle of that spectrum, and doesn’t have a chance. I wouldn’t be averse to an “Other Desert Cities” upset, but wouldn’t it be SOMETHING if “Peter” flew off with the Tony?
By now, the burgeoning swell for “Once” is looking increasingly like a genuine wave. And as “Mary Poppins” taught us, the lack of the top trophy need not necessarily deter box office receipts (besides, Disney & Co. have their “Lion King” honors to keep warm with). One may give a respectful salute to the never-really-had-a-shot “Nice Work,” even though it revisits the same formula as 1992’s top winner, “Crazy for You” (the best of Gershwin set to an original book). Still scratching my head over the solitary nod for “Leap of Faith”…
Admittedly a rather pallid lineup, though “The Best Man” deserved more attention than it got. “Death of a Salesman” wins purely by default, as an inoffensive but not especially inspired re-tooling of a classic.
“Evita” tried to hold its head above the mixed reviews, and no one was particularly dancing in the streets when “Jesus Christ” came to town. The two duking it out are surely the critically hosanna-ed “Follies” (filling the now-essential “Sondheim spot” this year) and the top-nominated revival “Porgy and Bess,” which received mixed reviews but stars one of Broadway’s most celebrated contemporary leading women. (“Porgy” also benefits from the fact that it is still currently playing on the boards, whereas “Follies” has been closed for some time.) However, given its lavish production, stirring performances, and still sharp-as-a-whiskey-sour book and score, “Follies” should take the prize easily.
Best Book of a Musical
The goofy “Lysistrata Jones” is up for what was its strongest asset, but it’s still a dark horse. Never count out the venerable four-time Tony winner Fierstein, who has as many writing trophies as he has acting trophies. “Nice Work” just copped a Drama Desk win (without, however, having to go up against either of the two Best Musical frontrunners). But “Once” seems like the most likely scenario for the win out of this lineup, a smooth adaptation from screen to stage, which, particularly this year, has been pointed up as a very tricky tightrope to walk.
Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics)
Written for the Theatre Newsies (Music: Alan Menken, Lyrics: Jack Feldman) * One Man, Two Guvnors (Music & Lyrics: Grant Olding) Peter and the Starcatcher (Music: Wayne Barker, Lyrics: Rick Elice)
A truly dyspeptic lineup (two straight plays are included; the surest sign of creative ennui in this category). The notoriously cursed Frank Wildhorn manages to pull out nominations for so-so shows, and “Bonnie & Clyde” did nothing to further his particular reputation. Menken has been chasing Tonys for adapting his celebrated Disney scores to the stage since 1994’s “Beauty and the Beast,” and he will finally cop the elusive honor this go-round… which he can to add to his mountain of Oscars for those celebrated Disney scores.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play James Corden, One Man, Two Guvnors *
Our three past winners (Jones, Langella and Lithgow) are all sitting it out this time (like last year’s Brian Bedford, Jones would have had a FAR better opportunity had he been placed in the Featured category). The battle here is between two heavyweights: the unknown Corden, who highlights the year’s most celebrated comedy, and Hoffman, the movie star who helms one of the year’s most acclaimed dramas. Corden has been a favorite underdog all season long, and he has swept up the precursor prizes that have eluded his competitor Hoffman (whose turn got decidedly mixed notices, which even his high profile may be unable to overcome). Lately, the Tonys seem to be leaning more and more toward comedy turns (Julie White, Mark Rylance, of late), and if that particular trend holds up, Corden would benefit… deservedly so. But watch out. This will be a close one.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading
Role in a Play
It’s a pretty decent lineup when Cynthia Nixon is the undisputable dark horse. There are three women worth keeping eyes on here. Channing and Arianda both benefit from being in well-received Best Play nominees. Channing is a veteran (and past Tony winner), and hers is a role (overbearing mom in a dysfunctial family) that the Tonys really gravitate toward (see recently: Deanna Dunagan of “August: Osage County”). Arianda has a great deal of goodwill stored up from her critical raves for “Venus,” as well as her nominated performance only last season in “Born Yesterday.” Conveniently for Bennett, however, Arianda and Channing have been ineligible for this year’s precursor prizes, and Bennett has snapped each one up. She could easily continue her streak for the biggest prize of all, in a role that the entertainment cognoscenti will be hard-pressed to resist: as the iconic, emotionally troubled singer Judy Garland, Bennett acts and sings up a storm in “End of the Rainbow,” and the sheer amount of work she’s putting into her performance each night will be difficult to floss out of the memory as voters are marking their ballots. Arianda could edge her out, but I’m betting on Bennett.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
in a Musical
Yeah, lousy vehicle or not, I was shocked that Tony darling Raul Esparza didn’t make the cut, too. After bombing out earlier in the year in one of the season’s biggest misfires, “Bonnie & Clyde,” Jordan dusted himself off and redeemed himself by starring in one of the season’s biggest hits. He could win in a showing of ‘cursory nod to a talented up-and-comer” acknowledgement (see John Lloyd Young of “Jersey Boys”), but so could Steve Kazee of “Once,” who I’ve felt from Day One was an underrated player in the game. But with the announcement of the Drama Desk Awards, a wild card has emerged in Burstein, who has recently found himself on the Tony radar in the last few years via his scene-stealing turns in “The Drowsy Chaperone” and “South Pacific.” He’s got as good a shot as any of these guys, frankly (Lewis and Raines, excellent though they are, are here only as choice filler). I’m leaning toward Burstein for the moment, but don’t be overly surprised if Jordan jetes over him in the final vote.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading
Role in a Musical
It’s got to be frustrating to be Maxwell at the Tonys. A hardworking theatre veteran, she’s racked up a mantelpiece of nomination certificates, and she’s never yet won. Praised for having given one of the finest musical performances of the season in “Follies,” Maxwell nevertheless seems to be having her thunder stolen from her by another competitor… one who, rubbing salt in an already open wound, has already won FOUR Tonys. Indeed, the Tonys have displayed a lavish affection for McDonald on par with their seeming indifference to Maxwell, and with McDonald having copped the OCC and Drama Desk Awards, there seems to be a pretty good chance that she is about to join the esteemed ranks of Julie Harris and Angela Lansbury as only the third woman to win five acting Tonys (incidentally, this would be McDonald’s first Leading Actress award, if she is in fact the victor). Milioti and Osnes don’t have a prayer between them, and O’Hara, who has racked up her own mantelpiece of nominations over the past decade, desperately needs a role that allows her to be more than a cute and spunky soprano-for-hire. She is a Tony waiting to happen, but not this year.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured
Role in a Play
All of these men bring excellent work to the table to be considered. However, Borle and Garfield are the two to bet on. Borle, a Broadway veteran and the only one to be a previous Tony nominee, stars in a highly versatile, scene-stealing comic turn, while Garfield, heretofore known for his film star status, essays the role of one of the American theatre’s most tortured young sons. Whether Borle’s momentum with the voters or whether Garfield’s starpower will win the day remains to be seen (remember: only two years ago, film ingénue Scarlett Johansson managed a Tony win over some august stage elders), but if the voting Broadway-ites decide to embrace one of their own, make way for Borle.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured
Role in a Play
A very odd cache of nominees, though three have better-than-adequate chances. Keenan-Bolger is the lone female in one of the year’s most thoroughly enjoyed-across-the-boards productions, Emond is in a Tony-magnet role that has done the trick for one predecessor as Linda Loman (Elizabeth Franz), and Light is a veteran with not just stage but television recognition to amp up her profile (she also has momentum from her nomination in last season’s “Lombardi” in this same category). It could be Emond, but Light has the most in her favor, as she has the esteem of her colleagues for her years of consistent work and the fact that she is looking increasingly like the best (maybe only) place to throw the well-liked “Other Desert Cities” a bone.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured
Role in a Musical
Probably the most up-in-the-air acting race of the night (and also the category where it’s easiest to win for being the best thing in a so-so vehicle). The ever-reliable Cerveris and McGrath received an expected accolade for their consistently fine work in “Evita” and “Nice Work” respectively, and Young received a surprise nod in “Superstar”’s baitiest role (though he could legitimately qualify as a lead in his vehicle). There are also two nominees from “Porgy” to battle each other. While Grier has the higher profile, Boykin got the superior reviews… Then again, Cerveris is nearly a decade away from his first Tony win (for “Assassins”) and some may feel he is due again… Then again, McGrath, fresh off a Drama Desk win, might usurp them all. In a no-guts-no-glory pick, I’m going to go with Boykin.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured
Role in a Musical
Houdyshell won some appreciative applause (and knocked out her higher-profile co-star Elaine Paige in the bargain) by singing the Sondheim chestnut “Broadway Baby,” but past winner Kaye looks like she may be returning to the winners’ circle, having copped the Drama Desk Award for “Nice Work If You Can Get It.” (In a category with no one clear favorite, it sometimes becomes necessary to follow where the wind is blowing.) Randolph really ought to take this in a cakewalk, but for some bizarre reason, despite getting nominated in all the right places and walking off with some of her vehicle’s best notices, she has never really gained the momentum needed to translate into a win. If the Tonys throw us a legitimate and deserved curveball anywhere in the acting categories, it would be here. (Speaking of curveballs: who, I ask, WHO saw the Davis and Mueller nods coming?)
Best Direction of a Play
Too bad “Other Desert Cities” Joe Mantello is MIA… Earlier in the season, I was predicting a return to glory for Hytner (who helmed the Tony-winning “Carousel” in 1994), but I’m starting to wonder if “Death of a Salesman” may get some excess love besides its much-anticipated Revival win. If that does happen, I think that perhaps Nichols will be the likely beneficiary. I hope I’m wrong, but… It’s also really a shame that Rees and Timbers have to go up against such heavy hitters; in most other years, their highly innovative efforts would have stood a much better chance.
Best Direction of a Musical
It could be argued that he’s got the least to do with the least unwieldy production of these four, but Tiffany takes a small jewel in “Once” and polishes it up to a shining pearl. In most other years, it probably could have gone to Calhoun easily.
Best Choreography
The one slam-dunk for “Newsies” of the night. Marshall has already been (recently) honored, so no one will feel too badly asking her to sit out this time; both she and Ashford will surely be back again, and soon.
Best Scenic Design of a Play
Actually, any of these could win, but “Peter” is bound to sweep up a few tech wins.
Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Yeah, the show is a train wreck, but the innovative sets of “Spider-Man” were nominated for a reason. Runner-up: “Ghost.”
Best Costume Design of a Play
At first glance, this may seem like another easy tech nod for “Peter” to sweep up, but the Tonys are unusually fond of Long, and he doesn’t always win for having the most elaborate costumes (remember his “Grey Gardens” victory over “Mary Poppins” from only several years ago?). Also: how long has it been since Catherine Zuber wasn’t up for ANYTHING?
Best Costume Design of a Musical
The bouquets of color, swaths of furs and overpowering Ziegfeld-esque regalia will allow Barnes to win easily. Ishioka and Pakledinaz, thanks for playing.
Best Lighting Design of a Play
The much-nominated veteran MacDevitt could certainly pull it off for “Salesman,” but I’m checking this off as another “Peter” victory.
Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Probably “Ghost”’s best shot at a win, and it is certainly a worthy competitor. Akerlind and Katz will definitely be back before long.
Best Sound Design of a Play
This also has a decent shot at going to Owen, who juggles dramatic book scenes with impromptu concert numbers in “Rainbow,” but I’ll say West, who I predict will cap off the trail of tech wins for “Peter.”
Best Sound Design of a Musical
Always an iffy proposition to predict, but three wins for all of "Porgy"'s nominations sounds like a fairly legitimate ratio to me.
Best Orchestrations
Brohn/Jahnke and Troob aren’t out-of-this-world impossibilities, but Lowe stands a decent shot at benefiting from his vehicle’s frontrunner status. Why not? |
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| Jun 4th 2012, 16:49 |
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I just made Peter and the Starcatcher my pick for Best Play. Other Desert Cities and Clybourne Park have had very little buzz, unlike One Man, Two Guvners, End of the Rainbow and Peter and the Starcatcher. The only one of those three nominated? Peter and the Starcatcher. I'd personally be fine with either Other Desert Cities or Peter and the Starcatcher winning.. | |
| Jun 5th 2012, 08:54 |
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BEST PLAY CLYBOURNE PARK All of these plays premiered off-Broadway either last season or the season before that, which makes it difficult to weigh their odds against one another. "Peter" has the biggest nominations haul of the bunch and could benefit from being an alternative for voters who can't decide between "Other Desert Cities" and "Clybourne Park". But will voters let this go to an adaptation of a children's book for the second consecutive year, when they have two big new plays by noteworthy American playwrights? I don't think they will. "ODC" is more traditional Broadway comfort food -- it's a Hellman-esque play with secrets some slightly forced reversals -- whereas "Clybourne" is an ensemble piece with an innovative structure that centers around a theme rather than a single character's arc. "Clybourne" brought a lot of thoughtful observation to the subject of race, which will haunt us forever, and its connection to "Raisin in the Sun" certainly can do nothing but help it. I say it edges out the others but expect this to be close. BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY DEATH OF A SALESMAN There is really no other competition, and that's mostly why it will win. People forget that the production, while a big financial hit because of PSH and Spiderman, got mostly mixed reviews; from the way journalists and media pundits talk about the show, you'd think the production was some sort of masterpiece. It really makes me wonder if some of these people haven't either read or seen "Death of a Salesman" since high school. BEST DIRECTION OF A PLAY MIKE NICHOLS, DEATH OF A SALESMAN I really hope voters, before marking their ballots, stop to consider if this "Salesman" (which uses the original sets and music) was enough of a directorial accomplishment to hand Mike Nichols his NINTH Tony Award -- especially since there are some pretty terrific achievements to choose from here. Farce is deadly without a good director nimbly pulling the strings, and that's just what Nick Hytner did; Pam MacKinnon smoothly handled a play where the entire cast is onstage together pretty much the entire show; and perhaps nowhere is the contribution of the director more obvious than in the imaginative "Peter and the Starcatcher". It should go to one of them, but I can't decide which is most likely. And they love Mike Nichols. BEST LEADING ACTOR IN A PLAY JAMES CORDEN, ONE MAN, TWO GUVNORS One has to wonder why journalists and self-styled "experts" continue to claim that PSH will win this in his sleep, considering James Corden has ritualistically beaten him in their pre-cursor match-ups, and Hoffman lost the Drama League performance of the year award to Audra McDonald. It could just as easily go to Hoffman, but Corden is the one people seem to be talking about; it's a star-making performance and the guy is hugely charismatic. Also probably the best shot his play has at a win, and I think the show is too well-liked to go home empty-handed. Salesman is virtually guaranteed other prizes. BEST LEADING ACTRESS IN A PLAY TRACIE BENNETT, END OF THE RAINBOW Lavin once again demonstrates how giftedly naturalistic a comic actress she is and Channing does some sharp but beautifully restrained work in her play. Either could have won in another year, but against this roster both feel a little too low-key to win. I would give it without reservations to the brilliant Nina Arianda--it helps that her play was nominated as well, and that she's a major new home-grown talent--but the emotional turmoil of Judy Garland is reliable awards bait, and Tracie Bennett throws herself into it with manic abandon. Plus, she sings. A lot. BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY ANDREW GARFIELD, DEATH OF A SALESMAN Tom Edden is the category's requisite scene-stealer (never count them out) and Jeremy Shamos, being the only member of his cast nominated, could benefit from a desire to honor the acting in his play. But the frontrunners seem to be Christian Borle and Andrew Garfield, in extremely different types of performances, so different it almost feels bizarre to compare them. Garfield's the real deal as an actor, even if he was slightly miscast in the role, and I think the gravitas of what he gets to play edges out Borle's charmingly sly turn. BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY JUDITH LIGHT, OTHER DESERT CITIES Spencer Kayden is the category's requisite scene-stealer (never count them out) but Judith Light seems to have the most going for her; she was nominated in this category last year for a well-recieved performance, and it's the most logical place for "ODC" to pick up a win. Linda Emond, by virtue of the role she's playing, could have a chance as well, but seems to have no buzz. BEST SCENIC DESIGN: PETER AND THE STARCATCHER BEST COSTUME DESIGN: PETER AND THE STARCATCHER BEST LIGHTING DESIGN: PETER AND THE STARCATCHER BEST SOUND DESIGN: PETER AND THE STARCATCHER |
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| Jun 5th 2012, 09:07 |
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I find it interesting that you say there's a consensus that there's more of a good time to be had at "ODC" than "Clybourne Park". I feel exactly the opposite. The audience response to "Clybourne" was by far the more enthusiastic of the two at the performances I attended; no question it's the funnier and livelier of the two. Furthermore, I have to say I completely disagree that "Clybourne" relies more on snob appeal than "ODC", which for all its virtues (and they are many) is essentially a play about an upper middle-class family throwing back highballs and sparing over politics. It's a bread and butter play for Lincoln Center Theater's subscription base, an elderly well-to-do crowd, and seems to be appealing to the same sort of audience on Broadway. |
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| Jun 5th 2012, 11:18 |
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I would freak the heck out, in a good way, if 'Peter and the Starcatcher' nads the top prize. | |
| Jun 5th 2012, 11:35 |
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I am hearing SO MUCH about Peter and the Starcatcher that it is tough for me to ignore.. I hear next to nothing about Clybourne Park or Other Desert Cities which makes me think that Peter is peaking at exactly the right time. If its a choice between CP and ODC, I would quite easily vote for Other Desert Cities. Peter and the Starcatcher is still my choice for the win. |
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| Jun 6th 2012, 19:41 |
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The buzz for 'Clybourne Park' is certainly there. Afterall, anything that wins a Pulitzer can't be ignored. 'Other Desert Cities' on the other hand, I rolled my eyes during the entire 2nd act. Overacting (most subtle being the frontrunner Light), overdramatic, all melodrama (oh, that "twist"). But you're right. It seems 'Peter and the Starcatcher' is peaking at the right time. |
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| Jun 6th 2012, 21:53 |
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My final predictions:
BEST PLAY "CLYBOURNE PARK" This Pulitzer Prize winner seems to be the near-perfect storm of critical acclaim, snob appeal, and crowd-pleasing comedy that can win over voters. However, while many believe that "Other Desert Cities" is the play to offer the biggest upset, I think that "Peter and the Starcatcher" is the audience favorite that could take the top prize. The enthusiasm for the show is incredible, and it might add up to a surprise win here.
BEST MUSICAL "ONCE" As
far as I'm concerned, "Leap of Faith" and "Nice Work If You Can Get It"
are non-factors here, leaving the race between "Once" (the critics
darling with a heart of gold) and "Newsies," the big-budget Disney
adaptation with a heck of a production value and a much larger scale. In
other years, I would side with the latter, because the Tony is often
won by the show that would do better on tour. But with the well-timed
announcement that "Once" will also be going on tour next year, I think that factor is neutralized, leaving voters to follow their hearts and choose "Once."
BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY "DEATH OF A SALESMAN" Despite
its mixed reviews, I think that "Salesman" gets this award. "The Best
Man" could've done it at one point, but the showing hasn't been as good
as it could've been.
BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL "FOLLIES" Earlier this year, I thought that "Porgy and Bess" might've won this
race. But the buzz for "Follies" continues to hum across the Interwebs,
making me think that it'll win this award. And from what I hear, it is
much deserved.
BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL ENDA WALSH, "ONCE" "Nice Work If You Can Get It" won the Drama Desk, sure. But I don't
see "Nice Work" winning any of the top awards, and especially not while
it is against the two Best Musical frontrunners here. "Lysistrata Jones"
will be the "Xanadu" of the year, nominated for a quirky, enjoyable
book that could make for a fun win but really doesn't have a chance (the
fact that Beane wrote both books should not seem like a coincidence).
Fierstein has a long history of winning Tonys for his writing. But even
so, and even if "Newsies" ends up with the Best Musical award, I still
think that voters will look at this category as a way to acknowledge
"Once," which is understandably not present in the Best Score category. BEST ORIGINAL SCORE "NEWSIES" Part
of me dislikes the idea of even predicting "Newsies" for the win here,
as many Disney films adapted for Broadway feel as though they had lyrics
changed and extra songs tacked on if only to qualify for this award.
Many lyric changes made to this score make little sense to me, and yet I
can't picture a scenario where "Newsies" loses. "Bonnie & Clyde,"
which does feature the destined-to-be-sung-at-auditions "Dyin' Ain't So
Bad," won't beat it. And the other two nominees are plays. In fact, the
only way that "Newsies" can lose here (which is won't) is if the "Peter
and the Starcatcher" love is so huge that voters check it off the ballot
here too. Menken does have a bit of a curse in this category after all,
doesn't he?
BEST ACTOR, PLAY JAMES CORDEN, "ONE MAN, TWO GUVNORS" I
will freely admit to know very, very little about Corden, or about the
play that he is in. But what I do know is his track record with awards
this year, where he has been snabbing prize after prize. If I had
anything to compare this to, it would be Rylance's first win for "Boeing
Boeing," for which he won the Tony despite being pitted against some
really heavyweight dramatic actors. I say Corden takes this one.
BEST ACTRESS, PLAY TRACIE BENNETT, "END OF THE RAINBOW" I
thought this was going to be Nina Arianda's year. After missing out a
few years back, Arianda reviving her much-acclaimed role in "Venus in
Fur" felt like the envelope was practically sealed. But then Bennett hit
the stage. Linda
who? Stockard who? I'm told that Bennett's performance commands your
attention from start to finish, and that the sheer energy she exudes
night after night is exhausting to even watch. That's the kind of
powerhouse performance that voters have trouble ignoring. If Nina loses,
it will be to Ms. Bennett.
BEST ACTOR, MUSICAL DANNY BURSTEIN, "FOLLIES" This
was looking like Jeremy Jordan's year, as the young guy who demands you
pay attention through his work. But Burstein's the vet, and he is in
what I have down as the best revival of the season. He takes it.
BEST ACTRESS, MUSICAL AUDRA MACDONALD, "PORGY AND BESS" Audra
has won before. Jan Maxwell hasn't. Remember that year when she was
nominated in both featured and lead categories, and lost both? I do. And
I'm sure some voters do too. If this becomes a case of spreading the
wealth, Jan's got this, both for her great work and because she's due.
But Audra MacDonald keeps winning for a reason: she's fantastic! I'm
sticking with her for now, but in solidarity for giving credit where
credit is (over)due, I'm rooting for Jan Maxwell.
The rest are predictions without explanations, which I might come back in and write up later.
BEST FEATURED ACTOR, PLAY: Christian Borle, "Peter and the Starcatcher" BEST FEATURED ACTRESS, PLAY: Judith Light, "Other Desert Cities" BEST FEATURED ACTOR, MUSICAL: Michael McGrath, "Nice Work If You Can Get It" BEST FEATURED ACTRESS, MUSICAL: Judy Kaye, "Nice Work If You Can Get It" BEST DIRECTION, PLAY: Mike Nichols, "Death of a Salesman" BEST DIRECTION, MUSICAL: John Tiffany, "Once"
Please visit my blog MY ONE SENTENCE REVIEWS. It is fast, easy, and a little gimmicky.
http://myonesentencereviews.wordpress.com< |
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| Jun 7th 2012, 03:16 |
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I'm keeping my predictions so I just copied and pasted them.
SAG voters get your s**t together! |
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| Jun 10th 2012, 10:27 |
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Coming from Lexington, Kentucky, I'd like to note that Steve Kazee has received quite a bit of press here. Today's newspaper lists Jeremy Jordan & Norm Lewis as his prime competition (Danny Burstein & Ron Raines are noted only parenthetically as modest contenders). | |
| Jun 10th 2012, 10:57 |
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FINAL PREDICTIONS Best Play: “Clybourne Park” Best Revival of a Play: “Arthur Miller’s Death of a Salesman” Best Direction of a Play: Mike Nichols, “Arthur Miller’s Death of a Salesman” Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play: Philip Seymour Hoffman, “Arthur Miller’s Death of a Salesman” Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play: Tracie Bennett, “End of the Rainbow” Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play: Christian Borle, “Peter & the Starcatcher” Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play: Judith Light, “Other Desert Cities” Best Musical: “Once” Best Revival of a Musical: “Follies” Best Direction of a Musical: John Tiffany, “Once” Best Book of a Musical: Enda Walsh, “Once” Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre: Alan Menken, Jack Feldman, “Newsies” Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical: Danny Burstein, “Follies” Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical: Audra McDonald, “The Gershwins’ Porgy & Bess” Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical: Michael McGrath, “Nice Work If You Can Get It” Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical: Judy Kaye, “Nice Work If You Can Get It” Best Choreography: Christopher Gattelli, “Newsies” Best Costume Design of a Play: Paloma Young, “Peter & the Starcatcher” Best Costume Design of a Musical: Gregg Barnes, “Follies” Best Lighting Design of a Play: Brian MacDevitt, “Arthur Miller’s Death of a Salesman” Best Lighting Design of a Musical: Hugh Vanstone, “Ghost the Musical” Best Orchestrations: Danny Troob, “Newsies” Best Scenic Design of a Play: Daniel Ostling, “Clybourne Park” Best Scenic Design of a Musical: George Tsypin, “Spider-Man Turn Off the Dark” Best Sound Design of a Play: Darron L. West, “Peter & the Starcatcher” Best Sound Design of a Musical: Clive Goodwin, “Once”
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| Jun 10th 2012, 11:02 |
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I picked Burstein for the win but put him and Kazee even in terms of odds to win; Jordan slightly behind, Lewis slightly behind him. All of them are possible. The only revision I think I am going to make to my predictions will be switching to Nina Arianda. |
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| Jun 10th 2012, 11:07 |
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I 100% think that there could be a tie in Best Actor in a Musical. I could see any combination of Burstein, Jordan or Kazee tying for the win.
2013 Emmys FYC
Amy Poehler, Jane Krakowski, Matthew Perry, Martha Plimpton, Louis CK, Nick Offerman, Adam Scott, Garret Dillahunt |
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