Boardwalk Empire could be out next year only to be replaced by The Newsroom.
The Newsroom has no chance it is a horrible show and Boardwalk/Thrones are twelve times better, Newsroom will be so forgotten by the time nominations come out with so much competition from other HBO Shows.
It has snob appeal and it's Aaron Sorkin's show. If the show sticks to the same airing schedule, it will air season 2 during the nomination process. And if any show can survive severe criticism, it will be this one. Then again, there could be some new shows, especially on cable, that completely render The Newsroom a non-factor, but as of now it seems to be the only new show that has a shot, maybe a longer one.
Studio 60 checked all of those boxes too (Sorkin, snob appeal), and it got mostly shut out at the Emmys as well; only the guest win for John Goodman, the guest nomination for Eli Wallach, and the directing nomination for the pilot. And Studio 60 was significantly better reviewed than The Newsroom (75 score on metacritic, almost 20 points higher than for The Newsroom).
The Newsroom does have some advantages over Studio 60; it's on HBO, has been renewed for it's second season, and seems to be a bigger hit for HBO than Studio 60 was for NBC. I would be foolish to rule it out entirely for love from the Academy, but right now I don't think it will get anything other than a Guest Actress nomination for Jane Fonda.
I think Jeff Daniels will get in for Drama Actor, Sam Waterston for Drama Supporting Actor, and Jane Fonda for Drama Guest Actress. Right now, Jane Fonda is a lock, Sam Waterston is close to a lock, and Jeff Daniels is likely.
Daniels is gonna sweat, though. This is a year where Kevin Bacon, Andre Braugher, Dennis Quaid, and maybe Woody Harrelson and Matthew McConaughey (if they go Drama instead of Mini) could become huge threats for nominations, not to count these years nominees, so being a film actor won't be much of a factor, for him, they would need to really embrace his show for it to happen (and I'm still don't think that will happen).
Okay I am really passionate about Lauren Graham for the 4th season of Parenthood to get into Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama. If she doesn't get in Lauren Graham will never get an Emmy nomination. I will be done with the Emmys and only focus on the oscars.
I'm wondering how long it will take until a broadcast network drama returns to the Outstanding Drama Series category? Was this year just an anomaly? The vast majority of fall network dramas don't look like Emmy contenders to me but I suppose we'll have to wait for reviews. My current prediction is that we're going to have another year without a broadcast nominee–The Good Wife will remain the only likely contender.
There were broadcast networks dramas that shined last season; the Emmys chose not to give them a nanosecond of consideration. Being a procedural doesn't mean it sucks right off the bat. Premium cable series have more freedom to do what the big four can't.