I absolutely love Elementary and Last Resort. Andre Braugher is simply fantastic in Last Resort, and if the show continues to do this good, and ABC keeps it around, we could hear his name called for Drama Lead Actor next year at the Emmy's.
I am loving Jonny Lee Miller's performance in Elementary. The pilot was an Emmy worthy episode for him, and he was great in the second episode as well. This show is by far my favorite new show of the season. I hope the writers give Lucy Liu a great episode, performance wise, soon, because she is great, but its obvious she is not keeping up with the performance of Jonny Lee Miller.
Vegas, however, is not doing as well as I hoped it would be. I hated the pilot (I literally fell asleep during the pilot, and I was watching it at 3 in the afternoon thanks to DVR). I didn't even bother watching the second episode.
I know it isnt on network TV, but I am also loving Major Crimes, though it is no where near how good The Closer was. Mary McDonnell is no doubt going to have to have a great episode to manage a deserved nomination. My favorite character on this show, surprisingly, is Graham Patrick Martin. He is the best thing performance wise about this series, and he kills it every episode. I didn't think I would appreciate or like a performance from a teenager this much until I saw this series.
I wouldn't be so sure about Danes winning again next year. The Drama Actress category does not give out alot of repeat CONSECUTIVE wins. In fact, since 1996, only one woman has won the award two years in a row, and that was Glenn Close in 2008 and 2009.
The winners after 1996 were:
1997: Gillian Anderson - The X-Files 1998: Christine Lahti - Chicago Hope 1999: Edie Falco - The Sopranos 2000: Sela Ward - Once and Again 2001: Edie Falco - The Sopranos 2002: Allison Janney - The West Wing 2003: Edie Falco - The Sopranos 2004: Allison Janney - The West Wing 2005: Patricia Arquette - Medium 2006: Mariska Hargitay - Law & Order: SVU 2007: Sally Field - Brothers & Sisters 2008: Glenn Close - Damages 2009: Glenn Close - Damages 2010: Kyra Sedgwick - The Closer 2011: Julianna Margulies - The Good Wife 2012: Claire Danes - Homeland
Who is gonna beat Claire Danes? Connie Britton in an ABC soap? Na-ah. Danes has the kind of character that is both awards bait and an instant reference for comparison in impact. Seriously. For the next few years, many characters and performances are gonna be comapred to Carrie Matheson. Unless someone completely unexpected shows up with a even more relevant show and character, she won't lose. Trends aren't the only thing that matters.
Drama Actor voters from 96-11 were obsessed with repeat actor wins;
96-99 had a 3x winner, 00-03 had a 3x winner, 04-07 had a 3x winner,
08-11 had a 3x winner. In the same period we've had just Falco on the
actress side, but perhaps the tide has shifted over and we'll see a
string of dominant actresses and more turnover for the actors.
I mean, historically 6 female roles have won 3+ times, and 6 male roles. So it used to be the female category that was uber-repeat happy. Maybe it will be again.
TCA Winner Tatiana Maslany, Globe Winner Elisabeth Moss, Kiernan Shipka, Lizzy Caplan, Matt Bomer James Spader, Jon Hamm, Sophie Turner, Jordan Gavaris, Sofia Vergara (T10 contenders)
It's been so long since I posted that the forums changed and I had to re-register! I'm from the UK and we are currently in season 3 of Downton. Tonight's was episode 5 and I'd say Maggie Smith has definitely got her Emmy tape (or at least one of 2 episodes she will submits?) Love Maggie on Downton but I wanted Christina Hendricks or Anna Gunn to win this year. I think however, Maggie was excellent tonight. If she's nominated again she will be in the running for sure.