The 85th Annual Academy Award nominations will be announced live in Hollywood on Thursday, January 10 at 5:30 AM (PST). This year's Oscar host Seth MacFarlane will be joined by actress Emma Stone to present the nominees.
Post your FINAL Oscar nomination predictions in all 24 categories or however many you choose right here.
Best Picture Argo Django Unchained Les Misérables Life of Pi Lincoln Silver Linings Playbook Skyfall Zero Dark Thirty
Alt. Amour, The Master, Beasts of the Southern Wild
I predict 8 nods- but if there are 10, I am on the wagon that believes Paul Thomas Anderson's The Master will be on the list. Also Amour will generate a lot of number one placements. I am going a bit whacko by including Skyfall but if there was a chance for voters to honor an "action" film, this is the most prestigious one to look good on paper- and it's the Bond genre, and many babyboomers will smile at a shot to see it prevail. This is still going to ultimately come down to four films- Lincoln, Les Mis, Zero Dark Thirty and Argo- for the final winner. I have no clue how they will respond to Tarantino's film- I see a lot of people predicting here, and then not anywhere else. Doesn't work that way. If its a best picture nominee, it needs some other categories as well- and supporting actor is a big factor. It's not like Four Weddings and a Funeral that only managed Screenplay after a best pic nod- this is the decade where most films up for best picture get other major nods (even The Blind Side had Bullock's nod to match it in best film). We'll see.
Best Actor Daniel Day-Lewis- Lincoln Hugh Jackman – Les Miserables John Hawkes- The Sessions Joaquin Phoenix- The Master Denzel Washington - Flight
Alt. Richard Gere (Arbitrage), Jean-Louis Trintignant (Amour), Bradley Cooper (Silver Lingings Playbook)
Three months ago I would have sworn Bill Murray would be coming up on easy street again, but alas- his film is only an afterthought. Daniel Day-Lewis better win his third Oscar for this masterful performance, and anyone else that holds his trophy this year is going to look mighty dumb years from now when people ask "so who actually beat Daniel Day-Lewis in 2012?" Certainly not Hugh Jackman, though when he wins the Golden Globe, his speech might have more flare then the more subdued Lewis. Hawkes could be shakey, but if Helen Hunt is in- I say he gets centered too. Denzel Washington wasn't my favorite for an overhyped film (I only thought Flight was OK), but he is ready for nod number 6. My final slot goes to Phoenix- I just can't see voters passing him up if they're going to go for Hoffman and Adams. Phoenix deserves a mention, and his badmouthing the academy should play no role in that (hell- it might even be the popular thing to bash the voters- look at Marlon Brandon, Dustin Hoffman and George C. Scott). Watch out for Trintignant in lead actor- his costar is fighting for a nod now, but he could sneak in. Cooper of course is the most close to bumping Phoenix and it probably will happen. I would love to see Gere get in, he's been around since Looking for Mr. Goodbar!
Jessica Chastain- Zero Dark Thirty Marion Cotillard- Rust and Bone Jennifer Lawrence- Silver Linings Playbook Emmanuelle Riva – Amour Naomi Watts – The Impossible
alt. Helen Mirren (Hitchcock), Rachel Weisz (The Deep Blue Sea), Quvenzhane Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild)
For the first time since 2007, I have no real investment or interest in the Best Actress race. 2007, as we remember, included Cate Blanchett's over the top role in Elizabeth: The Golden Age making the cut, because of such a weak lineup. Marion Cotillard (La Vie En Rose) deserved the award, but her competition was not that intriguing (her closest fare, Julie Christie in Away From Her, was arguably supporting and had a colead that was more impressive). This year there's no real standout, but I guess Jessica Chastain is our gal to beat. Her and Lawrence are good bets to win the Globe in their respective category, and then SAG will clear things up. Watts is OK in her movie but nothing special. Emmanuelle Riva really should be the one getting the bows of worthiness, but she's struggling to even make it to the final five. Ironically like 2007, Cotillard is in contention again. It's beteen her and Helen Mirren for that final spot- and Mirren's role isn't worth a hill of a beans (amazing to say that about this incredible actor!).
Best Supporting Actor Alan Arkin - Argo Leonardo DiCaprio - Django Unchained Philip Seymour Hoffman - The Master Tommy Lee Jones- Lincoln Christoph Waltz – Django Unchained
alt. Matthew McConaughey (Magic Mike), Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook), Eddie Redmayne (Les Miserables)
The hardest category to nail on the head- it's so open. Hopefully the academy gives us some curve balls (critical darling McConaughey I DID have, but have replaced him with Arkin- hope I'm wrong. ) but it could play it safe and keep Arkin and De Niro for phoned in performances- I have Arkin back in just because he seems sewn up, but I wouldn't cry if he missed. De Niro will only be a welcome back because he hasn't been nominated in over 20 years. If passion for Les Miserables is strong enough, Redmayne is in- and his reviews prove he will earn this citation on merit alone. I'm predicting both Django boys to make it- but DiCaprio more so, if only because when Harvey says you're getting a nomination, you're getting a nomination- right? (Has he ever made a statement like this before and wound up with egg on his face? Just curious).
Best Supporting Actress Amy Adams – The Master Sally Field – Lincoln Anne Hathaway- Les Misérables Helen Hunt- The Sessions Nicole Kidman- The Paperboy
Alt. Ann Dowd (Compliance), Judi Dench (Skyfall), Maggie Smith (The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel)
As I see it- only these eight ladies stand a chance to be called on Thursday morning. Anyone else who shows up must have been doing some serious under the table feet work to get pulled out of these fish hooks. Sally Field and Anne Hathaway are the only gals truly in and fighting it out for the gold. Many of the lower end critics are rubber stamping Hathaway to go with the rest of the sheep, but I still have a gut Sally Field will win. Helen Hunt can rest assure she's probably the third filler, welcome back to the party. I still stand by her 1997 Best Actress win and think she whole-heartily deserved every accolade given to her. But that's another blog. Two slots left. Next is Amy Adams. SAG nod or no SAG nod, Oscar voters love voting her in for the filler slots- and it will be her 4th. If they nominated her for Doubt, they'll nominate her here- and at least this performance has won prestigious critical honors. I think of the three of them, Hoffman is the closest bet, but I say Adams makes it. One slot left and four ladies- Dench, Kidman, Smith, Dowd. I think Dowd would have been great had she campaigned herself for LEAD- and with a weak slate, she would have gnared the votes. The problem lies with the film- its very small, and its very hard for many to sit through. I say nay but I'll yell Yay if she makes it. Dench would be a welcome addition, but she hasn't shown up anywhere- and that means she would be a true left field inclusion. With a race this close, it's too much to risk it. Between Nicole Kidman and Maggie Smith, I say Kidman- at least she DOES something a little more juicy with her role, and she managed a SAG nod- they usually don't go for her. But Maggie Smith poses the biggest threat to bump her off. She may not do much in the movie, but this year was ALL about her everywhere else, and the academy likes them some Smith (she already has 2 Oscars).
Best Director Ben Affleck- Argo Kathryn Bigelow- Zero Dark Thirty Tom Hooper- Les Miserables Steven Spielberg- Lincoln Quentin Tarantino – Django Unchained
Alt. Michael Haneke (Amour), Ang Lee (Life of Pi), Paul Thomas Anderson (The Master)
I honestly think Tarantino will probably be snubbed here because his direction is more aimed at shock value and insanity vs. grounded reality. But it's such a well made movie, so I'm keeping him based on my own personal favortism. I sadly can't say the same for Mr. Hooper, who is only on here because they'll love Les Mis and they love honoring directors like this. He is, as someone else wisely noted, the new Stephen Daldry. Affleck, Bigelow and Spielberg are competing to win it- the other slots are just an honor to be nominated club. I dropped Lee for Tarantino, because Lee can be hit and miss. But if they drop Lee, they may also opt for Haneke (think Mike Leigh nod for Vera Drake, 2004) or Anderson- who truly directs three unique performances to the edge. I think Spielberg will win his third, but they may MAY want to give Ben Affleck the gold- I don't know what to say about Bigelow, it would be awesome if she took her second and be 2/2 and a woman at that, making history!
Best Adapted Screenplay Argo Les Miserables Lincoln The Sessions Silver Linings Playbook
Best Original Screenplay Amour Django Unchained Looper The Master Zero Dark Thirty
Best Score Argo Cloud Atlas Life Of Pi Lincoln Zero Dark Thirty
Best Cinematography Life Of Pi Les Misérables Lincoln Skyfall Zero Dark Thirty
Best Production Design Anna Karenina Les Miserables The Hobbit Life of Pi Lincoln
Best Sound Mixing The Avengers The Dark Knight Rises Django Unchained Les Misérables Skyfall
Best Sound Editing The Avengers The Dark Knight Rises Django Unchained Skyfall Zero Dark Thirty
Best Costume Design Anna Karenina Django Unchained Les Misérables Lincoln Snow White and the Huntsman
Best Visual Effects Cloud Atlas The Dark Knight Rises The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey Life Of Pi Skyfall
Best Editing Argo Django Unchained Les Misérables Lincoln Zero Dark Thirty
Best Foreign Film A Royal Affair Amour The Intouchables Kon Tiki No
Best Documentary Feature The Gatekeepers Bully The Invisible War Mea Maxima Culpa: Silence In The House Of God Searching For Sugar Man
Best Original Song Freedom – Django Unchained Skyfall- Skyfall Pi's Lullaby – Life of Pi Still Alive- Paul Williams: Still Alive Suddenly- Les Misérables
Best Makeup/Hairstyling The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey Les Misérables Lincoln
Best Animated Feature Brave Frankenweenie Le Tableau (The Painting) Rise of the Guardians Wreck-It Ralph
5/5 Best Supporting Actor 3/3 Best Makeup 7th Place - Producers Guild Awards
Best Actor Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln) as Abraham Lincoln Hugh Jackman (Les Miserables) as Jean Valjean Denzel Washington (Flight) as Whip Whitaker Richard Gere (Arbitrage) as Robert Miller Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook) as Pat Solitano
Best Picture (I'm going with 10, although I think we'll end up with 7 or 8 films) * Argo * Beasts of the Southern Wild *Django Unchained *Les Miserables *Life of Pi *Lincoln *The Master *Silver Linings Playbook *Skyfall *Zero Dark Thirty
Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
John Hawkes, The Sessions
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
Daniel Day Lewis, Lincoln
Denzel Washington, Flight
Spoilers: Joaquin Phoenix (The Master)/ Jamie Foxx (Django Unchained)/ Anthony Hopkins (Hitchcock)
Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
Quvenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Naomi Watts, The Impossible
Spoilers: Emayatzy Corinealdi (Middle of Nowhere) *fingers cross this happens!*/ Marion Colltiard (Rust & Bone)/ Helen Mirren (Hitchcock)
Best Supporting Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained
Dwight Henry, Beasts of the Southern Wild (Longshot I know lol)
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
Spoilers: Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook)/ Alan Arkin (Argo)/ Samuel L. Jackson (Django Unchained)
Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, The Master
Sally Field, Lincoln
Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Kerry Washington, Django Unchained
Spoilers: Ann Dowd (Compliance)/ Judi Dench (Skyfall)/ Nicole Kidman (The Paperboy)
Ben Affleck, Argo
Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
Ang Lee, Life of Pi
Steven Speilberg, Lincoln
Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
Spoilers: Behn Zeitilin (Beasts of the Southern Wild)/ Thomas Hooper (Les Miserables)/ Paul Thomas Anderson (The Master)
My Best Picture predictions will be preferentially numbered, since we
don't know how many slots voters will call for. My acting and screenplay
nods, however, will be listed alphabetically.
BEST PICTURE 1. Lincoln 2. Zero Dark Thirty 3. Argo 4. Silver Linings Playbook 5. Django Unchained 6. Life of Pi 7. Les Miserables 8. Beasts of the Southern Wild 9. Moonrise Kingdom 10. The Master
I'm going to say we get 9 slots, with "Moonrise Kingdom" rounding out the lot.
BEST DIRECTOR Ben Affleck, "Argo" Kathryn Bigelow, "Zero Dark Thirty" Tom Hooper, "Les Miserables" Ang Lee, "Life of Pi" Steven Spielberg, "Lincoln"
It hurts to bet against Tarantino here,
and I hope I'm wrong about him being snubbed. Honestly, David O. Russell
has a much better chance of making this category than people are giving
him credit for. My guess? He replaces Hooper if I'm wrong.
BEST ACTOR Daniel Day-Lewis, "Lincoln" John Hawkes, "The Sessions" Hugh Jackman, "Les Miserables" Joaquin Phoenix, "The Master" Denzel Washington, "Flight"
If Phoenix is left out, it will be ridiculous; his harsh words will be the only reason the Academy went against him. In that case, Bradley Cooper will make the list.
BEST ACTRESS Jessica Chastain, "Zero Dark Thirty" Marion Cotillard, "Rust and Bone" Jennifer Lawrence, "Silver Linings Playbook" Quvenzhane Wallis, "Beasts of the Southern Wild" Naomi Watts, "The Impossible"
After seeing "Amour," I realize just how heartbreaking but understated Riva's performance is. If it is between her and Cotillard, as I don't think two foreign language performances will be nominated here, I'm going with the baitier Cotillard.
SUPPORTING ACTOR Alan Arkin, "Argo" Robert De Niro, "Silver Linings Playbook" Leonardo DiCaprio, "Django Unchained" Philip Seymour Hoffman, "The Master" Tommy Lee Jones, "Lincoln"
SUPPORTING ACTRESS Amy Adams, "The Master" Sally Field, "Lincoln" Anne Hathaway, "Les Miserables" Helen Hunt, "The Sessions" Nicole Kidman, "The Paperboy"
Maggie Smith and Samantha Barks might get in, but I'm not buying either.
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY "Amour," by Michael Haneke "Django Unchained" "The Master," by Paul Thomas Anderson "Moonrise Kingdom," by Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola "Zero Dark Thirty," by Mark Boal
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY "Argo," by Chris Terrio "Beasts of the Southern Wild," by Behn Zetlin, Lucy Alibar "Lincoln," by Tony Kushner "The Sessions," by Ben Lewin "Silver Linings Playbook," by David O. Russell
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE "Brave" "Frankenweenie" "ParaNorman" "The Rabbi's Cat" "Wreck-it Ralph"
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE "The Gatekeepers" "How to Survive a Plague" "The Invisible War" "Mea Maxima Culpa" "Searching for Sugarman"
BEST FOREIGN FILM "Amour" "A Royal Affair" "Beyond the Hills" "The Intouchables" "No"
ART DIRECTION "Anna Karenina" "Argo" "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey" "Les Miserables" "Lincoln"
CINEMATOGRAPHY "Les Miserables" "Life of Pi" "Lincoln" "Skyfall" "Zero Dark Thirty"
EDITING "Argo" "Django Unchained" "Lincoln" "Skyfall" "Zero Dark Thirty"
COSTUME DESIGN "Anna Karenina" "Django Unchained" "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey" "Les Miserables" "Lincoln"
MAKEUP "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey" "Les Miserables" "Lincoln"
BEST ORIGINAL SONG Brave, "Touch the Sky" Les Miserables, "Suddenly" Paul Williams, "Still Alive" Skyfall, "Skyfall" Ted, "Everybody Needs a Best Friend"
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE "Anna Karenina" "Argo" "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey" "Life of Pi" "Lincoln"
SOUND EDITING "The Avengers" "The Dark Knight Rises" "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey" "Les Miserables" "Zero Dark Thirty"
SOUND MIXING "The Dark Knight Rises" "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey" "Les Miserables" "Skyfall" "Zero Dark Thirty"
VISUAL EFFECTS "The Avengers" "Cloud Atlas" "The Dark Knight Rises" "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey" "Life of Pi"
Impossible" really deserves to be here, though, for creating what I
think is one of the greatest natural disasters in motion picture
history. It looks seamlessly realistic.
Here lies Spenser Davis. He'll miss bacon most of all.