Hiding Predictions

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  • Erik10101
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    Joined:
    Jan 11th, 2015
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    #458965

    Can I recommend the option to hide your predictions until a predictions contest has ended?

    I’m tired of other users copying my predictions, or the ability for me to steal the predictions of other users while a contest is going on. 

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    Macbeth
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    Oct 7th, 2011
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    #458967

    Sorry to say this, Erik – but no one is really interested in stealing or copying your predictions. So far, you only have 58% accuracy, which isn’t terrible, but is average. No one really steals predictions here, so it shouldn’t be a concern to you unless you’re making very radical predictions, which might then deter people from copying you. 

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    Erik10101
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    #458968

    I’m not going to toot my own horn, but in reality show competitions in particular, I’ve definitely noticed a trend where people will copy the predictions of the frontrunners to stay in the front. And yes, I know this has happened to me (in TAR in particular).

    Regardless, Gold Derby could really use an option for users to hide their own predictions if they want to.

    EDIT: To clarify, this only really applies for the long-running weekly competitions. Here’s an example of exploiting the shared predictions.

    Let’s say User X is currently in second place with 91% accuracy. User Y is currently in first place with 92% accuracy. For the final week of a contest, all User Y needs to do to guarantee himself a win is to copy User X’s predictions word for word. If User X had the option to hide his prediction, then we could actually get a competition where the winner is based purely on accuracy rather than gaming the system.

    Similarly, if people are noticing a frontrunner in a reality show competition, users won’t be able to just copy that user’s predictions. Otherwise, it’s easy to copy a strong predictor’s bets, but wait for the odds to change to a point that the person who copied can get more points. I’ve taken advantage of this myself, but in the end, it’s still unfair that I can just copy somebody and say I’m a good predictor.

    I know, according to the Prediction “Instructions” video, that you should be able to make predictions private through “Manage Predictions.” I’m not able to get to that though. “Manage Predictions” is not clickable for me for some reason.

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    J-No
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    Feb 16th, 2015
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    #458969

    Sorry to say this, Erik – but no one is really interested in stealing or copying your predictions. So far, you only have 58% accuracy, which isn’t terrible, but is average. No one really steals predictions here, so it shouldn’t be a concern to you unless you’re making very radical predictions, which might then deter people from copying you. 

    May I ask how you know that 58% is average? Is there an overall user accuracy rate that’s maintained somewhere on this site? (I’m at exactly 58% and considered that to be poor.)

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    Riley
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    Oct 11th, 2010
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    #458970

    Yeah, there used to be that option and it was a good one.

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    Erik10101
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    #458971

     May I ask how you know that 58% is average? Is there an overall user accuracy rate that’s maintained somewhere on this site? (I’m at exactly 58% and considered that to be poor.)

    I don’t think he means average in a literal sense, i.e. that the median user has 58. Just that it’s nothing remarkable.

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