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Independent Spirit Awards 2012: Handicapping

= Odds to Win
Silver Linings Playbook

After a stint in a mental institution, former teacher Pat Solitano moves back in with his parents and tries to reconcile with his ex-wife. Things get more challenging when Pat meets Tiffany, a mysterious girl with problems of her own. Directed by two-time Spirit Award winner David O. Russell.

100/1
Moonrise Kingdom

A pair of young lovers flee their New England town, which causes a local search party to fan out and find them. Directed by Wes Anderson, who won a Spirit Award for directing "Rushmore."

100/1
Keep the Lights On

In Manhattan, filmmaker Erik bonds with closeted lawyer Paul after a fling. As their relationship becomes one fueled by highs, lows, and dysfunctional patterns, Erik struggles to negotiate his own boundaries while being true to himself. Directed by Ira Sachs, who is also nominated for directing and writing the film.

100/1
Bernie

In small-town Texas, the local mortician strikes up a friendship with a wealthy widow, though when he kills her, he goes to great lengths to create the illusion that she's alive. Directed by Richard Linklater, who has five previous Spirit Award nominations.

100/1
Beasts of the Southern Wild

Faced with both her hot-tempered father's fading health and melting ice-caps that flood her ramshackle bayou community and unleash ancient aurochs, six-year-old Hushpuppy must learn the ways of courage and love. Directed by Benh Zeitlin.

100/1

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